Short Trade on AAPL 20 Jan 2026 at 19:59:01
Take profit at 247.9632 (0.15 %) and Stop Loss at 248.5134 (0.074 %)
Short Trade on AAPL 20 Jan 2026 at 19:59:01
Take profit at 247.9632 (0.15 %) and Stop Loss at 248.5134 (0.074 %)
Position size of 10832.5738 $
Take profit at 247.9632 (0.15 %) and Stop Loss at 248.5134 (0.074 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.98 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.87 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.77 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_low 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.046137 15m : 0.048298 1H : -0.357433 |
3 |
Indicators:
89170.3
-0.00324071
88881.4
0.046137
90452.7
-0.0173464
88883.7
0.048298
92856.3
-0.0428079
88881.4
-0.357433
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 09:00:00
[1] => 255.71
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 11:00:00
[1] => 255.71
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
[1] => 255.71
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 15:00:00
[1] => 255.71
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 17:00:00
[1] => 255.71
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 19:00:00
[1] => 255.71
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 20:00:00
[1] => 253.05
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 05:00:00
[1] => 251.71
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 09:00:00
[1] => 255.53
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:00:00
[1] => 244.55
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.817673071655
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.545696176651
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.4898793702719
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 00:30:00
[1] => 254.51
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 04:00:00
[1] => 252.99
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 05:00:00
[1] => 251.71
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 06:15:00
[1] => 253.33
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 07:45:00
[1] => 253.54
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
[1] => 255.53
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:45:00
[1] => 244.55
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 17:15:00
[1] => 248.3
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 18:45:00
[1] => 247.56
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 19:30:00
[1] => 248.38
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.020130445285443
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.31103570851511
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.33123283244466
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 11:40:00
[1] => 252.37
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 11:50:00
[1] => 251.15
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:50:00
[1] => 244.55
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 16:15:00
[1] => 247.97
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 16:45:00
[1] => 247.93
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 17:15:00
[1] => 248.3
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 18:05:00
[1] => 248.06
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 18:50:00
[1] => 247.56
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 19:40:00
[1] => 248.38
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 19:50:00
[1] => 248.38
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.020130445285443
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.31103570851511
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 11:40:00 | 252.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 11:50:00 | 251.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 15:50:00 | 244.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 16:15:00 | 247.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 16:45:00 | 247.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 17:15:00 | 248.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 18:05:00 | 248.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 18:50:00 | 247.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 19:40:00 | 248.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 19:50:00 | 248.38 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 00:30:00 | 254.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 04:00:00 | 252.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 05:00:00 | 251.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 06:15:00 | 253.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 07:45:00 | 253.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 09:30:00 | 255.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 15:45:00 | 244.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 17:15:00 | 248.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 18:45:00 | 247.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 19:30:00 | 248.38 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 09:00:00 | 255.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 11:00:00 | 255.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 13:00:00 | 255.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 15:00:00 | 255.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 17:00:00 | 255.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 19:00:00 | 255.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 20:00:00 | 253.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 05:00:00 | 251.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 09:00:00 | 255.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 15:00:00 | 244.55 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 19:59:01 |
20 Jan 2026 20:45:00 |
45 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 248.33 | 248.5134 | 247.9632 | 2 | 262.16 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 248.5134 - 248.33 = 0.18339999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 248.33 - 247.9632 = 0.36680000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.36680000000001 / 0.18339999999998 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10832.5738 | 100 | 43.6217 | 108.33 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.18339999999998 = 43.62
Taille de position USD = 43.62 x 248.33 = 10832.15
Donc, tu peux acheter 43.62 avec un stoploss a 248.5134
Avec un position size USD de 10832.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 43.62 x 0.18339999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 43.62 x 0.36680000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.15 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.074 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0443 % | 59.95 % | 3 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 247.9632
[stop_loss] => 248.5134
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 20:45:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 247.8715
[stop_loss] => 248.5134
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 20:45:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 247.7798
[stop_loss] => 248.5134
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 22:00:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.47
[max_drawdown] => 0.10999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 4.27
[high] => 248.44000000
[low] => 247.86000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.19
[mae_pct] => 0.04
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.27
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-20T19:59:01-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-20T21:59:01-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.79000000000002
[max_drawdown] => 0.10999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 7.18
[high] => 248.44000000
[low] => 247.54000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.32
[mae_pct] => 0.04
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.18
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-20T19:59:01-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-21T02:59:01-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 248.38000000
[high_after] => 248.44000000
[low_before] => 247.27000000
[low_after] => 247.73000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)