Short Trade on AAVE 20 Jan 2026 at 20:02:23

Take profit at 153.7554 (0.91 %) and Stop Loss at 155.8623 (0.45 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 20 Jan 2026 at 20:02:23

With 11.3909 AAVE at 155.16$ per unit.

Position size of 1767.4045 $

Take profit at 153.7554 (0.91 %) and Stop Loss at 155.8623 (0.45 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.14
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.95
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.87
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.85123

15m : 0.120475

1H : -0.020453

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.4682119977
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 155.045
  4. ema21 : 156.972
  5. ema50 : 160.985
  6. ema100 : 165.237
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000739437
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.012278
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0249276
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0609853
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.247461
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.237387
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.189163
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.138276
  17. rsi : 0.366736
  18. adx : 0.543174
  19. kc_percentage : 0.256216
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0436279
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.255232
  22. volume_ema1 : 334311.29444413
  23. volume_ema2 : 448879.88169823
  24. chop : 38.4056
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 154.326
  29. ema21 : 154.395
  30. ema50 : 155.602
  31. ema100 : 157.559
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00540259
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000449635
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00775818
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0152296
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0219678
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0370623
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0529483
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0513173
  42. rsi : 0.553592
  43. adx : 0.326711
  44. kc_percentage : 0.742014
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0210326
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.381812
  47. volume_ema1 : 77278.29399031
  48. volume_ema2 : 125007.87889288
  49. chop : 43.4974
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 154.627
  54. ema21 : 154.189
  55. ema50 : 154.142
  56. ema100 : 154.327
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00344416
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00284011
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000306479
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00539366
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0635015
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0304074
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00600426
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.000772142
  67. rsi : 0.649351
  68. adx : 0.310825
  69. kc_percentage : 1.0171
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0118856
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.337285
  72. volume_ema1 : 32441.447150293
  73. volume_ema2 : 48952.35830733
  74. chop : 38.3906
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    89163.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00309647
  81. 5m_price:
    88887.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.85123
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    90390.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0166294
  86. 15m_price:
    88887.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.120475
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92777.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0419278
  91. 1H_price:
    88887.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.020453
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
                        [1] => 173.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 11:00:00
                        [1] => 176.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 171.8
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 172.07
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 177.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 156.47
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:00:00
                        [1] => 161.29
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 16:00:00
                        [1] => 166.08
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 18:00:00
                        [1] => 162.68
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:00:00
                        [1] => 151.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.5149325626204
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4277609183269
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 28
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.3228658134318
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 22:45:00
                        [1] => 164.14
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 01:15:00
                        [1] => 160.94
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 04:30:00
                        [1] => 158.83
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 06:00:00
                        [1] => 160.25
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
                        [1] => 159.13
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
                        [1] => 155.24
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 12:45:00
                        [1] => 153.6
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                        [1] => 155.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
                        [1] => 151.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 20:00:00
                        [1] => 155.4
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0900900900901
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4277609183269
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5201213880459
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:05:00
                        [1] => 154.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
                        [1] => 153.93
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:25:00
                        [1] => 155.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 16:45:00
                        [1] => 154.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:15:00
                        [1] => 154.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
                        [1] => 151.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 18:00:00
                        [1] => 153.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 18:50:00
                        [1] => 152.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                        [1] => 153.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 20:00:00
                        [1] => 155.4
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0900900900901
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5368517428553
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.94186424163691
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.54%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.94%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1023
0.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1754
1.41%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 14:05:00 154.9 ↑ High
2026-01-20 14:30:00 153.93 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:25:00 155.76 ↑ High
2026-01-20 16:45:00 154.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:15:00 154.84 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:30:00 151.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:00:00 153.9 ↑ High
2026-01-20 18:50:00 152.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:00:00 153.95 ↑ High
2026-01-20 20:00:00 155.4 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.43%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.52%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.2777
5.31%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1754
1.41%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 22:45:00 164.14 ↑ High
2026-01-20 01:15:00 160.94 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 04:30:00 158.83 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 06:00:00 160.25 ↑ High
2026-01-20 09:30:00 159.13 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:00:00 155.24 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 12:45:00 153.6 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 155.76 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:30:00 151.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 20:00:00 155.4 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-6.51%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.43%
Bars Since Swing High
28 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.32%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
21.3177
13.68%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1754
1.41%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 03:00:00 173.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 11:00:00 176.51 ↑ High
2026-01-17 20:00:00 171.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 10:00:00 172.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:00:00 177.18 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 156.47 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 01:00:00 161.29 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 16:00:00 166.08 ↑ High
2026-01-19 18:00:00 162.68 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:00:00 151.58 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
20:02:23
20 Jan 2026
21:00:00
57 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
155.16 155.8623 153.7554 2 110.41
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 155.16
  • Stop Loss: 155.8623
  • Take Profit: 153.7554

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 155.8623 - 155.16 = 0.70230000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 155.16 - 153.7554 = 1.4046

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4046 / 0.70230000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1767.4045 100 11.3909 17.67
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.70230000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.70230000000001 = 11.39

Taille de position USD = 11.39 x 155.16 = 1767.27

Donc, tu peux acheter 11.39 avec un stoploss a 155.8623

Avec un position size USD de 1767.27$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 11.39 x 0.70230000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 11.39 x 1.4046 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 11.39
  • Taille de position USD 1767.27
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.91 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.45 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.45
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5349 % 118.18 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 153.7554
            [entry_price] => 155.16
            [stop_loss] => 155.93253
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 21:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 153.7554
            [entry_price] => 155.16
            [stop_loss] => 156.00276
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 21:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 153.7554
            [entry_price] => 155.16
            [stop_loss] => 156.07299
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 21:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 153.7554
            [entry_price] => 155.16
            [stop_loss] => 156.21345
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 21:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.15000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 1.1
            [rr_ratio] => 0.14
            [high] => 156.26000000
            [low] => 155.01000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.1
            [mae_pct] => 0.71
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T20:02:23-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T22:02:23-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.15000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 2.95
            [rr_ratio] => 0.05
            [high] => 158.11000000
            [low] => 155.01000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.1
            [mae_pct] => 1.9
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.05
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T20:02:23-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T03:02:23-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 155.61000000
            [high_after] => 158.11000000
            [low_before] => 151.58000000
            [low_after] => 155.01000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)