Short Trade on ORDI 20 Jan 2026 at 20:35:50
Take profit at 4.1929 (0.97 %) and Stop Loss at 4.2546 (0.49 %)
Short Trade on ORDI 20 Jan 2026 at 20:35:50
Take profit at 4.1929 (0.97 %) and Stop Loss at 4.2546 (0.49 %)
Position size of 1646.3245 $
Take profit at 4.1929 (0.97 %) and Stop Loss at 4.2546 (0.49 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.76 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.57 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.87 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.769535 15m : -0.153904 1H : 0.026555 |
2 |
Indicators:
89165.3
-0.00123851
89054.9
0.769535
90374.4
-0.0146143
89053.7
-0.153904
92780.4
-0.0401546
89054.9
0.026555
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 12:00:00
[1] => 5.125
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
[1] => 5.01
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
[1] => 5.091
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 16:00:00
[1] => 5.254
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 4.318
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
[1] => 4.692
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 08:00:00
[1] => 4.375
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
[1] => 4.558
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 17:00:00
[1] => 4.05
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 20:00:00
[1] => 4.246
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.070654733867172
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7654320987654
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8395061728395
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 01:15:00
[1] => 4.353
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 06:30:00
[1] => 4.226
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 07:30:00
[1] => 4.273
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 08:45:00
[1] => 4.156
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
[1] => 4.304
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 12:45:00
[1] => 4.128
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
[1] => 4.13
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:45:00
[1] => 4.2
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
[1] => 4.05
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 20:30:00
[1] => 4.246
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.070654733867172
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7654320987654
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8395061728395
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 12:20:00
[1] => 4.219
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 12:45:00
[1] => 4.128
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 13:40:00
[1] => 4.136
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 14:00:00
[1] => 4.178
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 14:35:00
[1] => 4.13
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:55:00
[1] => 4.2
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 17:15:00
[1] => 4.172
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
[1] => 4.05
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 18:25:00
[1] => 4.099
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 20:35:00
[1] => 4.246
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.070654733867172
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.5130519638936
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 26
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.5862405464748
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 12:20:00 | 4.219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 12:45:00 | 4.128 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 13:40:00 | 4.136 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 14:00:00 | 4.178 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 14:35:00 | 4.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 15:55:00 | 4.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 17:15:00 | 4.172 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 17:30:00 | 4.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 18:25:00 | 4.099 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 20:35:00 | 4.246 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 01:15:00 | 4.353 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 06:30:00 | 4.226 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 07:30:00 | 4.273 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 08:45:00 | 4.156 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 09:30:00 | 4.304 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 12:45:00 | 4.128 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 14:30:00 | 4.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 15:45:00 | 4.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 17:30:00 | 4.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 20:30:00 | 4.246 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 12:00:00 | 5.125 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 02:00:00 | 5.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 10:00:00 | 5.091 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 16:00:00 | 5.254 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 4.318 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 03:00:00 | 4.692 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 08:00:00 | 4.375 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 14:00:00 | 4.558 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 17:00:00 | 4.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 20:00:00 | 4.246 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 20:35:50 |
21 Jan 2026 03:35:00 |
6 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.234 | 4.2546 | 4.1929 | 2 | 2.584 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.2546 - 4.234 = 0.0206
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.234 - 4.1929 = 0.0411
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0411 / 0.0206 = 1.9951
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1646.3245 | 100 | 388.8343 | 16.46 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0206 = 388.35
Taille de position USD = 388.35 x 4.234 = 1644.27
Donc, tu peux acheter 388.35 avec un stoploss a 4.2546
Avec un position size USD de 1644.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 388.35 x 0.0206 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 388.35 x 0.0411 = 15.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.97 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.49 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.98 $ | 0.97 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4724 % | 97.1 % | 23 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.018
[max_drawdown] => 0.012
[rr_ratio] => 1.5
[high] => 4.24600000
[low] => 4.21600000
[mfe_pct] => 0.43
[mae_pct] => 0.28
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.5
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-20T20:35:50-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-20T22:35:50-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.064
[max_drawdown] => 0.02
[rr_ratio] => 3.2
[high] => 4.25400000
[low] => 4.17000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.51
[mae_pct] => 0.47
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.2
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-20T20:35:50-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-21T03:35:50-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 4.24600000
[high_after] => 4.25400000
[low_before] => 4.05000000
[low_after] => 4.20500000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)