Short Trade on XPL 20 Jan 2026 at 20:38:01

Take profit at 0.1228 (1.05 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1248 (0.56 %)

Short Trade on XPL

The 20 Jan 2026 at 20:38:01

With 11877.3835 XPL at 0.1241$ per unit.

Position size of 1473.9833 $

Take profit at 0.1228 (1.05 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1248 (0.56 %)

That's a 1.86 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 2
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.81
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.86
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.745556

15m : -0.180249

1H : 0.122333

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.12
  4. atr: 0.0004490326787
Details
  1. score: 1.12
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.12297
  4. ema21 : 0.124615
  5. ema50 : 0.128282
  6. ema100 : 0.132417
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00918581
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0132004
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0285834
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0628103
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.210646
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.248512
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.209426
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.158444
  17. rsi : 0.450831
  18. adx : 0.436681
  19. kc_percentage : 0.458077
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0709316
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.390528
  22. volume_ema1 : 214971.15612262
  23. volume_ema2 : 352717.36437824
  24. chop : 51.4304
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.12287
  29. ema21 : 0.122517
  30. ema50 : 0.123315
  31. ema100 : 0.125239
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0100101
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00287997
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00647262
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00909663
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0405427
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0143848
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0468494
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0562851
  42. rsi : 0.601324
  43. adx : 0.282578
  44. kc_percentage : 0.941574
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0289342
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.522276
  47. volume_ema1 : 32601.463897708
  48. volume_ema2 : 68243.342621783
  49. chop : 30.7938
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.123696
  54. ema21 : 0.12299
  55. ema50 : 0.122436
  56. ema100 : 0.122422
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0032657
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0057362
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00452791
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0137039
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.146077
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.111983
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0531661
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0231633
  67. rsi : 0.677608
  68. adx : 0.381542
  69. kc_percentage : 1.12059
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0138185
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.734708
  72. volume_ema1 : 5108.4348890552
  73. volume_ema2 : 19255.899798138
  74. chop : 33.0653
  75. regime : bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    89165.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00103293
  81. 5m_price:
    89073.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.745556
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    90374.4
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0146143
  86. 15m_price:
    89053.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.180249
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92780.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0399569
  91. 1H_price:
    89073.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.122333
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1419
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1382
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1422
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1134
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1319
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 08:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1281
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1362
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1362
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1184
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1244
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.32154340836013
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7297297297297
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.0675675675676
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 19:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1337
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 23:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1263
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1243
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1275
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:15:00
                        [1] => 0.1227
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1263
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 12:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1212
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                        [1] => 0.124
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1184
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 20:15:00
                        [1] => 0.1244
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.32154340836013
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7297297297297
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.0675675675676
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1213
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1233
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1218
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:25:00
                        [1] => 0.124
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 16:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1218
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 16:55:00
                        [1] => 0.1218
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:10:00
                        [1] => 0.1224
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1184
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 18:25:00
                        [1] => 0.1201
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 20:15:00
                        [1] => 0.1244
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.32154340836013
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.2472939217319
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 26
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.5803497085762
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.25%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
26 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.58%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0004
0.32%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0044
3.58%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 13:45:00 0.1213 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 14:00:00 0.1233 ↑ High
2026-01-20 14:30:00 0.1218 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:25:00 0.124 ↑ High
2026-01-20 16:45:00 0.1218 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 16:55:00 0.1218 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:10:00 0.1224 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:30:00 0.1184 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:25:00 0.1201 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 20:15:00 0.1244 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.73%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.07%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0089
7.13%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0044
3.58%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 19:30:00 0.1337 ↑ High
2026-01-19 23:45:00 0.1263 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 03:30:00 0.1243 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 06:00:00 0.1275 ↑ High
2026-01-20 09:15:00 0.1227 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 09:45:00 0.1263 ↑ High
2026-01-20 12:45:00 0.1212 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 0.124 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:30:00 0.1184 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 20:15:00 0.1244 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.73%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.07%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0174
13.94%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0094
7.65%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 04:00:00 0.1419 ↑ High
2026-01-18 10:00:00 0.1382 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 14:00:00 0.1422 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 0.1134 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 0.1319 ↑ High
2026-01-19 08:00:00 0.1281 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 12:00:00 0.1362 ↑ High
2026-01-19 15:00:00 0.1362 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:00:00 0.1184 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 20:00:00 0.1244 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
20:38:01
20 Jan 2026
21:50:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1241 0.1248 0.1228 1.86 0.095
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1241
  • Stop Loss: 0.1248
  • Take Profit: 0.1228

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1248 - 0.1241 = 0.00069999999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1241 - 0.1228 = 0.0013

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0013 / 0.00069999999999999 = 1.8571

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1473.9833 100 11877.3835 14.74
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00069999999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00069999999999999 = 11428.57

Taille de position USD = 11428.57 x 0.1241 = 1418.29

Donc, tu peux acheter 11428.57 avec un stoploss a 0.1248

Avec un position size USD de 1418.29$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 11428.57 x 0.00069999999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 11428.57 x 0.0013 = 14.86

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 14.86$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 11428.57
  • Taille de position USD 1418.29
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 14.86
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.8571

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.05 % 15.44 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.56 % 8.31 $
PNL PNL %
15.44 $ 1.05
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0806 % 14.29 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1227
            [stop_loss] => 0.1248
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 21:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.12235
            [stop_loss] => 0.1248
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 22:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.122
            [stop_loss] => 0.1248
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 22:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.12165
            [stop_loss] => 0.1248
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 22:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1213
            [stop_loss] => 0.1248
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 22:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.12095
            [stop_loss] => 0.1248
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 22:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1206
            [stop_loss] => 0.1248
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 22:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.12025
            [stop_loss] => 0.1248
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 22:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1199
            [stop_loss] => 0.1248
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 22:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.11955
            [stop_loss] => 0.1248
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 22:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1192
            [stop_loss] => 0.1248
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 22:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0014
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00069999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [high] => 0.12480000
            [low] => 0.12270000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.13
            [mae_pct] => 0.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T20:38:01-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T22:38:01-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0014
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0021
            [rr_ratio] => 0.67
            [high] => 0.12620000
            [low] => 0.12270000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.13
            [mae_pct] => 1.69
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T20:38:01-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T03:38:01-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.12440000
            [high_after] => 0.12620000
            [low_before] => 0.11840000
            [low_after] => 0.12270000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)