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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 20 Jan 2026 at 20:52:32

Take profit at 159.8278 (0.62 %) and Stop Loss at 161.3311 (0.31 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 20 Jan 2026 at 20:52:32

With 15.965 MSTR at 160.83$ per unit.

Position size of 2567.6449 $

Take profit at 159.8278 (0.62 %) and Stop Loss at 161.3311 (0.31 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.9
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.91
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.81
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.086694

15m : 0.00108

1H : -0.076385

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.3340648892
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 160.575
  4. ema21 : 162.842
  5. ema50 : 166.843
  6. ema100 : 169.736
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00158273
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0139222
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.023979
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0524738
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.265052
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.260548
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.190894
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.120736
  17. rsi : 0.373778
  18. adx : 0.678595
  19. kc_percentage : 0.245658
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0445711
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.395732
  22. volume_ema1 : 1305943.2737681
  23. volume_ema2 : 935668.43437601
  24. chop : 38.3235
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 160.137
  28. ema21 : 160.193
  29. ema50 : 161.335
  30. ema100 : 163.167
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00432737
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000351179
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00708067
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.014326
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00264888
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0343197
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0496309
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0474138
  41. rsi : 0.542548
  42. adx : 0.16637
  43. kc_percentage : 0.735818
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0174899
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.2999
  46. volume_ema1 : 281777.77361857
  47. volume_ema2 : 402482.55500605
  48. chop : 64.9044
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 160.534
  52. ema21 : 160.132
  53. ema50 : 160.003
  54. ema100 : 160.264
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00184019
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0025093
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000810577
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00353104
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0646947
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0429611
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0146677
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00244481
  65. rsi : 0.704458
  66. adx : 0.312003
  67. kc_percentage : 1.02815
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00795099
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.081854
  70. volume_ema1 : 120064.37873603
  71. volume_ema2 : 110980.19876742
  72. chop : 38.9111
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    89115.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00069652
  78. 5m_price: 
    89053.7
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.086694
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    90348.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.014329
  83. 15m_price: 
    89053.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.00108
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92780.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0401673
  88. 1H_price: 
    89053.7
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.076385
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 09:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 11:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 15:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 17:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 19:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 166.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
                    [1] => 159.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.2727710263506
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4256876103962
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.58667676003027
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 19:45:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 04:30:00
                    [1] => 163.26
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 166.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 10:15:00
                    [1] => 159.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 12:15:00
                    [1] => 164.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 13:00:00
                    [1] => 159.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
                    [1] => 160
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                    [1] => 163.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 20:45:00
                    [1] => 160.99
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13044288465123
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4256876103962
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5581630078224
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                    [1] => 161.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 15:25:00
                    [1] => 163.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 15:50:00
                    [1] => 160.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 16:25:00
                    [1] => 160.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 18:05:00
                    [1] => 158.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 18:55:00
                    [1] => 159.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:05:00
                    [1] => 159.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:30:00
                    [1] => 159.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 20:50:00
                    [1] => 160.99
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13044288465123
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0749984283649
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2070157792167
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.07%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
16 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.21%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.0189
1.25%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3078
0.82%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 15:15:00 161.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:25:00 163.35 ↑ High
2026-01-20 15:50:00 160.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 16:25:00 160.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:05:00 158.62 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:55:00 159.58 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:05:00 159.58 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:30:00 159.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 20:50:00 160.99 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.43%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.56%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.2289
7.58%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3078
0.82%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 19:45:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-20 04:30:00 163.26 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:00:00 166.22 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:15:00 159.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 12:15:00 164.36 ↑ High
2026-01-20 13:00:00 159.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 14:30:00 160 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 163.35 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 20:45:00 160.99 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.27%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.43%
Bars Since Swing High
13 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.59%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.2289
7.58%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3078
0.82%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 07:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 09:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 11:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 13:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 15:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 17:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 19:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-20 07:00:00 166.22 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:00:00 159.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
20:52:32		 20 Jan 2026
21:05:00		 12 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
160.83 161.3311 159.8278 2 133.02
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 160.83
  • Stop Loss: 161.3311
  • Take Profit: 159.8278

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 161.3311 - 160.83 = 0.50109999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 160.83 - 159.8278 = 1.0022

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0022 / 0.50109999999998 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2567.6449 100 15.965 25.68
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.50109999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.50109999999998 = 15.96

Taille de position USD = 15.96 x 160.83 = 2566.85

Donc, tu peux acheter 15.96 avec un stoploss a 161.3311

Avec un position size USD de 2566.85$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 15.96 x 0.50109999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 15.96 x 1.0022 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 15.96
  • Taille de position USD 2566.85
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.62 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.31 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.31
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3855 % 123.72 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.8278
            [entry_price] => 160.83
            [stop_loss] => 161.38121
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 21:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.8278
            [entry_price] => 160.83
            [stop_loss] => 161.43132
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 21:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.8278
            [entry_price] => 160.83
            [stop_loss] => 161.48143
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 21:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.8278
            [entry_price] => 160.83
            [stop_loss] => 161.58165
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 22:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.77000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.83999999999997
            [rr_ratio] => 0.92
            [high] => 161.67000000
            [low] => 160.06000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.48
            [mae_pct] => 0.52
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.92
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T20:52:32-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T22:52:32-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.77000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 1.76
            [rr_ratio] => 0.44
            [high] => 162.59000000
            [low] => 160.06000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.48
            [mae_pct] => 1.09
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.44
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T20:52:32-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T03:52:32-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 160.99000000
            [high_after] => 162.59000000
            [low_before] => 158.52000000
            [low_after] => 160.06000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)