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Short Trade on AVAX

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Short Trade on AVAX 20 Jan 2026 at 21:08:50

Take profit at 12.2252 (0.71 %) and Stop Loss at 12.3554 (0.35 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 20 Jan 2026 at 21:08:50

With 184.4254 AVAX at 12.312$ per unit.

Position size of 2270.6456 $

Take profit at 12.2252 (0.71 %) and Stop Loss at 12.3554 (0.35 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.21
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.92
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.49
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.84
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.83302

15m : -0.106167

1H : 0.049669

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.02891864751
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.241
  4. ema21 : 12.3326
  5. ema50 : 12.5913
  6. ema100 : 12.897
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00579457
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00742569
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0205481
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0453629
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.162357
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.169804
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.152525
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.118707
  17. rsi : 0.456142
  18. adx : 0.449705
  19. kc_percentage : 0.478367
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0437478
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.478469
  22. volume_ema1 : 399257.48896261
  23. volume_ema2 : 765549.30561458
  24. chop : 44.3584
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 12.2418
  28. ema21 : 12.2117
  29. ema50 : 12.2551
  30. ema100 : 12.3639
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00572863
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00246581
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00353934
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00420562
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0529774
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0126194
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0204099
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0296928
  41. rsi : 0.624905
  42. adx : 0.224879
  43. kc_percentage : 0.915519
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0195001
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.679411
  46. volume_ema1 : 58435.153974108
  47. volume_ema2 : 182274.90996409
  48. chop : 48.5188
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 12.2764
  52. ema21 : 12.2449
  53. ema50 : 12.2049
  54. ema100 : 12.1832
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00289531
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00257605
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0032781
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0105716
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0463499
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0502301
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0311951
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.017756
  65. rsi : 0.692981
  66. adx : 0.263551
  67. kc_percentage : 1.08846
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00892664
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.602196
  70. volume_ema1 : 18090.619175964
  71. volume_ema2 : 45476.260397173
  72. chop : 66.1245
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    89089.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000997266
  78. 5m_price: 
    89178.8
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.83302
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    90341.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0128683
  83. 15m_price: 
    89178.8
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.106167
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92712.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0381189
  88. 1H_price: 
    89178.8
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.049669
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                    [1] => 13.463
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                    [1] => 13.754
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 12.064
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                    [1] => 12.824
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 12:00:00
                    [1] => 12.613
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
                    [1] => 12.849
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 18:00:00
                    [1] => 12.615
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 00:00:00
                    [1] => 12.757
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 17:00:00
                    [1] => 11.948
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 21:00:00
                    [1] => 12.32
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0081168831168786
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1051221961835
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1134917977904
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
                    [1] => 12.393
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 05:15:00
                    [1] => 12.637
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 08:30:00
                    [1] => 12.317
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
                    [1] => 12.543
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
                    [1] => 12.297
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 12:45:00
                    [1] => 12.053
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 15:45:00
                    [1] => 12.291
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
                    [1] => 11.948
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:15:00
                    [1] => 12.052
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 21:00:00
                    [1] => 12.32
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0081168831168786
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.215399933621
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2236973116495
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
                    [1] => 12.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 15:45:00
                    [1] => 12.291
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 16:30:00
                    [1] => 12.167
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 17:15:00
                    [1] => 12.228
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
                    [1] => 11.948
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 18:25:00
                    [1] => 12.067
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 18:40:00
                    [1] => 12.134
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:15:00
                    [1] => 12.052
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 20:55:00
                    [1] => 12.252
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 21:05:00
                    [1] => 12.32
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0081168831168786
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.54684949396017
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.55501142670584
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.55%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.56%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0354
0.29%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2772
2.27%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 14:30:00 12.1 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:45:00 12.291 ↑ High
2026-01-20 16:30:00 12.167 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:15:00 12.228 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:30:00 11.948 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:25:00 12.067 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:40:00 12.134 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:15:00 12.052 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 20:55:00 12.252 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:05:00 12.32 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.22%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.22%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2816
2.28%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2772
2.27%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 03:30:00 12.393 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 05:15:00 12.637 ↑ High
2026-01-20 08:30:00 12.317 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 09:30:00 12.543 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:00:00 12.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 12:45:00 12.053 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:45:00 12.291 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:30:00 11.948 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:15:00 12.052 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:00:00 12.32 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.11%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.11%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.3986
11.32%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2772
2.27%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 10:00:00 13.463 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 13.754 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 12.064 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 12.824 ↑ High
2026-01-19 12:00:00 12.613 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 14:00:00 12.849 ↑ High
2026-01-19 18:00:00 12.615 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 00:00:00 12.757 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:00:00 11.948 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:00:00 12.32 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
21:08:50		 21 Jan 2026
00:45:00		 3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.312 12.3554 12.2252 2 9.279
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.312
  • Stop Loss: 12.3554
  • Take Profit: 12.2252

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.3554 - 12.312 = 0.0434

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.312 - 12.2252 = 0.0868

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0868 / 0.0434 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2270.6456 100 184.4254 22.71
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0434

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0434 = 184.33

Taille de position USD = 184.33 x 12.312 = 2269.47

Donc, tu peux acheter 184.33 avec un stoploss a 12.3554

Avec un position size USD de 2269.47$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 184.33 x 0.0434 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 184.33 x 0.0868 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 184.33
  • Taille de position USD 2269.47
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.71 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.35 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.35
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5361 % 152.09 % 15

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.2252
            [entry_price] => 12.312
            [stop_loss] => 12.35974
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.2252
            [entry_price] => 12.312
            [stop_loss] => 12.36408
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.2252
            [entry_price] => 12.312
            [stop_loss] => 12.36842
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.2252
            [entry_price] => 12.312
            [stop_loss] => 12.3771
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.078999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.025
            [rr_ratio] => 3.16
            [high] => 12.33700000
            [low] => 12.23300000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.64
            [mae_pct] => 0.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.16
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T21:08:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T23:08:50-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.185
            [max_drawdown] => 0.066000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 2.8
            [high] => 12.37800000
            [low] => 12.12700000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.5
            [mae_pct] => 0.54
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.8
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T21:08:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T04:08:50-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.32000000
            [high_after] => 12.37800000
            [low_before] => 11.94800000
            [low_after] => 12.20500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)