Short Trade on ORDI 20 Jan 2026 at 21:15:50
Take profit at 4.2014 (0.91 %) and Stop Loss at 4.2593 (0.46 %)
Short Trade on ORDI 20 Jan 2026 at 21:15:50
Take profit at 4.2014 (0.91 %) and Stop Loss at 4.2593 (0.46 %)
Position size of 1759.3744 $
Take profit at 4.2014 (0.91 %) and Stop Loss at 4.2593 (0.46 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.9 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.82 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.69 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.759169 15m : 0.281579 1H : -0.075021 |
2 |
Indicators:
89112.2
0.00129499
89227.7
0.759169
90300.8
-0.0118841
89227.7
0.281579
92713.8
-0.0376015
89227.7
-0.075021
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 12:00:00
[1] => 5.125
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
[1] => 5.01
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
[1] => 5.091
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 16:00:00
[1] => 5.254
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 4.318
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
[1] => 4.692
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 08:00:00
[1] => 4.375
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
[1] => 4.558
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 17:00:00
[1] => 4.05
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 20:00:00
[1] => 4.246
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.42392840320303
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3950617283951
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8395061728395
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 01:15:00
[1] => 4.353
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 06:30:00
[1] => 4.226
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 07:30:00
[1] => 4.273
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 08:45:00
[1] => 4.156
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
[1] => 4.304
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 12:45:00
[1] => 4.128
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
[1] => 4.13
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:45:00
[1] => 4.2
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
[1] => 4.05
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 20:30:00
[1] => 4.246
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.42392840320303
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3950617283951
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8395061728395
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 13:40:00
[1] => 4.136
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 14:00:00
[1] => 4.178
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 14:35:00
[1] => 4.13
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:55:00
[1] => 4.2
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 17:15:00
[1] => 4.172
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
[1] => 4.05
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 18:25:00
[1] => 4.099
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 20:35:00
[1] => 4.246
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 20:50:00
[1] => 4.216
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 21:10:00
[1] => 4.241
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.3065314784249
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.28462998102466
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.59297912713471
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 13:40:00 | 4.136 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 14:00:00 | 4.178 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 14:35:00 | 4.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 15:55:00 | 4.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 17:15:00 | 4.172 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 17:30:00 | 4.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 18:25:00 | 4.099 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 20:35:00 | 4.246 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 20:50:00 | 4.216 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 21:10:00 | 4.241 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 01:15:00 | 4.353 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 06:30:00 | 4.226 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 07:30:00 | 4.273 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 08:45:00 | 4.156 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 09:30:00 | 4.304 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 12:45:00 | 4.128 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 14:30:00 | 4.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 15:45:00 | 4.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 17:30:00 | 4.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 20:30:00 | 4.246 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 12:00:00 | 5.125 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 02:00:00 | 5.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 10:00:00 | 5.091 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 16:00:00 | 5.254 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 4.318 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 03:00:00 | 4.692 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 08:00:00 | 4.375 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 14:00:00 | 4.558 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 17:00:00 | 4.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 20:00:00 | 4.246 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 21:15:50 |
21 Jan 2026 03:00:00 |
5 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.24 | 4.2593 | 4.2014 | 2 | 2.411 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.2593 - 4.24 = 0.019299999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.24 - 4.2014 = 0.038600000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.038600000000001 / 0.019299999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1759.3744 | 100 | 414.9468 | 17.59 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.019299999999999 = 414.51
Taille de position USD = 414.51 x 4.24 = 1757.52
Donc, tu peux acheter 414.51 avec un stoploss a 4.2593
Avec un position size USD de 1757.52$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 414.51 x 0.019299999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 414.51 x 0.038600000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.91 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.02 $ | 0.91 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3302 % | 72.54 % | 10 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.2014
[stop_loss] => 4.2593
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 03:00:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.024
[max_drawdown] => 0.0099999999999998
[rr_ratio] => 2.4
[high] => 4.25000000
[low] => 4.21600000
[mfe_pct] => 0.57
[mae_pct] => 0.24
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.4
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-20T21:15:50-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-20T23:15:50-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.07
[max_drawdown] => 0.013999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 5
[high] => 4.25400000
[low] => 4.17000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.65
[mae_pct] => 0.33
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-20T21:15:50-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-21T04:15:50-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 4.24600000
[high_after] => 4.25400000
[low_before] => 4.05000000
[low_after] => 4.19500000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)