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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 20 Jan 2026 at 21:17:58

Take profit at 160.2446 (0.71 %) and Stop Loss at 161.9627 (0.35 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 20 Jan 2026 at 21:17:58

With 13.969 MSTR at 161.39$ per unit.

Position size of 2254.4525 $

Take profit at 160.2446 (0.71 %) and Stop Loss at 161.9627 (0.35 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 4.1
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.9
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.84
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.349232

15m : -0.051535

1H : -0.007423

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.3817985347
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 160.769
  4. ema21 : 162.726
  5. ema50 : 166.649
  6. ema100 : 169.668
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00386218
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0120298
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0235404
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0487923
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.204557
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.233783
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.182462
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.118778
  17. rsi : 0.400588
  18. adx : 0.650246
  19. kc_percentage : 0.331943
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0427432
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.386869
  22. volume_ema1 : 1328497.9950009
  23. volume_ema2 : 957911.18000885
  24. chop : 41.8367
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 160.609
  28. ema21 : 160.413
  29. ema50 : 161.356
  30. ema100 : 163.18
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00485737
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00122225
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00584274
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.010974
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0453824
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00735275
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0369421
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0420016
  41. rsi : 0.583029
  42. adx : 0.1842
  43. kc_percentage : 0.852849
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.017352
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.0701263
  46. volume_ema1 : 451207.74406751
  47. volume_ema2 : 421639.68636338
  48. chop : 54.9421
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.055
  52. ema21 : 160.568
  53. ema50 : 160.212
  54. ema100 : 160.2
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00207929
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00302827
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00222389
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00742529
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0607845
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0494205
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0236304
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0102262
  65. rsi : 0.751581
  66. adx : 0.368676
  67. kc_percentage : 1.01131
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00958055
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.739148
  70. volume_ema1 : 242684.54898938
  71. volume_ema2 : 139542.14257873
  72. chop : 46.7904
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    89112
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0011839
  78. 5m_price: 
    89217.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.349232
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    90300.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0119938
  83. 15m_price: 
    89217.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.051535
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92713.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0377084
  88. 1H_price: 
    89217.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.007423
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 09:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 11:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 15:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 17:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 19:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 166.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
                    [1] => 159.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 21:00:00
                    [1] => 161.45
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.092908021059137
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7537219278325
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8483472117083
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 20:15:00
                    [1] => 169.83
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 04:30:00
                    [1] => 163.26
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 166.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 10:15:00
                    [1] => 159.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 12:15:00
                    [1] => 164.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 13:00:00
                    [1] => 159.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
                    [1] => 160
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                    [1] => 163.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 21:00:00
                    [1] => 161.45
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.092908021059137
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7537219278325
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8483472117083
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 15:25:00
                    [1] => 163.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 15:50:00
                    [1] => 160.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 16:25:00
                    [1] => 160.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 18:05:00
                    [1] => 158.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 18:55:00
                    [1] => 159.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:05:00
                    [1] => 159.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:30:00
                    [1] => 159.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 21:05:00
                    [1] => 161.45
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 21:15:00
                    [1] => 161.45
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.092908021059137
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4018985352361
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.40%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
21 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.3873
0.86%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.7246
1.08%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 15:25:00 163.35 ↑ High
2026-01-20 15:50:00 160.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 16:25:00 160.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:05:00 158.62 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:55:00 159.58 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:05:00 159.58 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:30:00 159.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:05:00 161.45 ↑ High
2026-01-20 21:15:00 161.45 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.75%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.85%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.8673
4.86%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.7246
1.08%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 20:15:00 169.83 ↑ High
2026-01-20 04:30:00 163.26 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:00:00 166.22 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:15:00 159.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 12:15:00 164.36 ↑ High
2026-01-20 13:00:00 159.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 14:30:00 160 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 163.35 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:00:00 161.45 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.75%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.85%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.5973
7.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.7246
1.08%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 09:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 11:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 13:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 15:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 17:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 19:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-20 07:00:00 166.22 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:00:00 159.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:00:00 161.45 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
21:17:58		 20 Jan 2026
22:00:00		 42 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
161.39 161.9627 160.2446 2 129.11
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 161.39
  • Stop Loss: 161.9627
  • Take Profit: 160.2446

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 161.9627 - 161.39 = 0.57270000000003

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 161.39 - 160.2446 = 1.1454

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1454 / 0.57270000000003 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2254.4525 100 13.969 22.54
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.57270000000003

Taille de position = 8 / 0.57270000000003 = 13.97

Taille de position USD = 13.97 x 161.39 = 2254.62

Donc, tu peux acheter 13.97 avec un stoploss a 161.9627

Avec un position size USD de 2254.62$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 13.97 x 0.57270000000003 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 13.97 x 1.1454 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 13.97
  • Taille de position USD 2254.62
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.71 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.35 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.71
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1053 % 29.67 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.2446
            [stop_loss] => 161.9627
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 22:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.95825
            [stop_loss] => 161.9627
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.6719
            [stop_loss] => 161.9627
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.38555
            [stop_loss] => 161.9627
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 159.0992
            [stop_loss] => 161.9627
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.81285
            [stop_loss] => 161.9627
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.5265
            [stop_loss] => 161.9627
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.24015
            [stop_loss] => 161.9627
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.9538
            [stop_loss] => 161.9627
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.66745
            [stop_loss] => 161.9627
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.3811
            [stop_loss] => 161.9627
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 23:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.33
            [max_drawdown] => 0.31
            [rr_ratio] => 4.29
            [high] => 161.70000000
            [low] => 160.06000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.82
            [mae_pct] => 0.19
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.29
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T21:17:58-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T23:17:58-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.33
            [max_drawdown] => 1.2
            [rr_ratio] => 1.11
            [high] => 162.59000000
            [low] => 160.06000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.82
            [mae_pct] => 0.74
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.11
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T21:17:58-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T04:17:58-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 161.45000000
            [high_after] => 162.59000000
            [low_before] => 158.52000000
            [low_after] => 160.06000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)