Short Trade on META 20 Jan 2026 at 21:26:58
Take profit at 608.0545 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 609.2327 (0.064 %)
Short Trade on META 20 Jan 2026 at 21:26:58
Take profit at 608.0545 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 609.2327 (0.064 %)
Position size of 12402.1653 $
Take profit at 608.0545 (0.13 %) and Stop Loss at 609.2327 (0.064 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.98 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.72 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.56 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.086506 15m : 0.02486 1H : 0.011263 |
2 |
Indicators:
89117.4
0.000591051
89170.1
0.086506
90300.5
-0.0120437
89213
0.02486
92712.7
-0.0382109
89170.1
0.011263
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 09:00:00
[1] => 621.71
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 11:00:00
[1] => 621.71
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
[1] => 621.71
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 15:00:00
[1] => 621.71
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 17:00:00
[1] => 621.71
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 19:00:00
[1] => 621.71
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 20:00:00
[1] => 608.12
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 09:00:00
[1] => 602.7
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
[1] => 613.1
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:00:00
[1] => 604.93
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.6948295547219
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.64635577670145
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3505694873787
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 04:45:00
[1] => 603.07
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 05:00:00
[1] => 608.96
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 08:15:00
[1] => 611.23
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
[1] => 602.7
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 10:30:00
[1] => 613.1
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:00:00
[1] => 604.93
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 16:15:00
[1] => 609.95
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 18:45:00
[1] => 605.78
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 21:00:00
[1] => 607.59
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 21:15:00
[1] => 608.84
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.20573083822973
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.20573083822973
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 18:10:00
[1] => 608.05
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 18:20:00
[1] => 608.05
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 18:50:00
[1] => 605.78
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 20:05:00
[1] => 608.57
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 20:15:00
[1] => 608.57
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 20:45:00
[1] => 608.23
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 20:55:00
[1] => 607.59
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 21:05:00
[1] => 607.59
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 21:15:00
[1] => 608.84
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 21:25:00
[1] => 608.84
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.20573083822973
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 18:10:00 | 608.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 18:20:00 | 608.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 18:50:00 | 605.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 20:05:00 | 608.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 20:15:00 | 608.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 20:45:00 | 608.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 20:55:00 | 607.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 21:05:00 | 607.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 21:15:00 | 608.84 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 21:25:00 | 608.84 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 04:45:00 | 603.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 05:00:00 | 608.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 08:15:00 | 611.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 09:30:00 | 602.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 10:30:00 | 613.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 15:00:00 | 604.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 16:15:00 | 609.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 18:45:00 | 605.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 21:00:00 | 607.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 21:15:00 | 608.84 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 09:00:00 | 621.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 11:00:00 | 621.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 13:00:00 | 621.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 15:00:00 | 621.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 17:00:00 | 621.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 19:00:00 | 621.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 20:00:00 | 608.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 09:00:00 | 602.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 10:00:00 | 613.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 15:00:00 | 604.93 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 21:26:58 |
20 Jan 2026 23:00:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608.84 | 609.2327 | 608.0545 | 2 | 641.65 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 609.2327 - 608.84 = 0.39269999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 608.84 - 608.0545 = 0.78550000000007
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.78550000000007 / 0.39269999999999 = 2.0003
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12402.1653 | 100 | 20.3702 | 124.02 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.39269999999999 = 20.37
Taille de position USD = 20.37 x 608.84 = 12402.07
Donc, tu peux acheter 20.37 avec un stoploss a 609.2327
Avec un position size USD de 12402.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 20.37 x 0.39269999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 20.37 x 0.78550000000007 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.064 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0082 % | 12.71 % | 9 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 608.0546
[stop_loss] => 609.2327
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 23:00:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 607.85825
[stop_loss] => 609.2327
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 607.6619
[stop_loss] => 609.2327
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 607.46555
[stop_loss] => 609.2327
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:00:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 607.2692
[stop_loss] => 609.2327
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:00:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 607.07285
[stop_loss] => 609.2327
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:05:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 606.8765
[stop_loss] => 609.2327
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 02:00:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 606.68015
[stop_loss] => 609.2327
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 02:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 606.4838
[stop_loss] => 609.2327
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 02:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 606.28745
[stop_loss] => 609.2327
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 02:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 606.0911
[stop_loss] => 609.2327
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 02:55:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.85000000000002
[max_drawdown] => 0.049999999999955
[rr_ratio] => 17
[high] => 608.89000000
[low] => 607.99000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.14
[mae_pct] => 0.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 17
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-20T21:26:58-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-20T23:26:58-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.0700000000001
[max_drawdown] => 1.02
[rr_ratio] => 2.03
[high] => 609.86000000
[low] => 606.77000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.34
[mae_pct] => 0.17
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.03
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-20T21:26:58-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-21T04:26:58-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 608.84000000
[high_after] => 609.86000000
[low_before] => 605.78000000
[low_after] => 606.77000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)