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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 20 Jan 2026 at 22:53:37

Take profit at 160.7646 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 161.9577 (0.25 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 20 Jan 2026 at 22:53:37

With 20.1144 MSTR at 161.56$ per unit.

Position size of 3249.6857 $

Take profit at 160.7646 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 161.9577 (0.25 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.89
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.88
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.64
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.84
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.357082

15m : 0.023647

1H : -0.047878

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.2651497433
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 160.807
  4. ema21 : 162.558
  5. ema50 : 166.427
  6. ema100 : 169.533
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00468098
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0107737
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0232454
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0470348
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.17466
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.218207
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.178013
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.118179
  17. rsi : 0.416566
  18. adx : 0.602165
  19. kc_percentage : 0.380624
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0430606
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.132921
  22. volume_ema1 : 1074446.7147784
  23. volume_ema2 : 948385.99137536
  24. chop : 43.7626
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 160.985
  28. ema21 : 160.677
  29. ema50 : 161.249
  30. ema100 : 162.728
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00356889
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0019152
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00354462
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00718305
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.082212
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0353491
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00959665
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0249081
  41. rsi : 0.58942
  42. adx : 0.166221
  43. kc_percentage : 0.860921
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0150467
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.728982
  46. volume_ema1 : 96284.391841638
  47. volume_ema2 : 355269.67744834
  48. chop : 54.5677
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.247
  52. ema21 : 160.991
  53. ema50 : 160.642
  54. ema100 : 160.56
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00194018
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00158731
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00217017
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00622528
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0231304
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0166109
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0138523
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00692396
  65. rsi : 0.679527
  66. adx : 0.236606
  67. kc_percentage : 1.06469
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00603745
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.907249
  70. volume_ema1 : 8314.2032633686
  71. volume_ema2 : 89640.253944119
  72. chop : 36.7691
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    89070.8
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0032457
  78. 5m_price: 
    89359.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.357082
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    90142.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00772169
  83. 15m_price: 
    89446.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.023647
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92632.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0353251
  88. 1H_price: 
    89359.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.047878
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 09:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 11:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 15:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 17:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 19:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 166.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
                    [1] => 159.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 22:00:00
                    [1] => 161.67
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.061854394754744
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.924047438809
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9871309613929
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 04:30:00
                    [1] => 163.26
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 166.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 10:15:00
                    [1] => 159.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 12:15:00
                    [1] => 164.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 13:00:00
                    [1] => 159.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
                    [1] => 160
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                    [1] => 163.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 22:45:00
                    [1] => 161.67
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.061854394754744
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.94339622641509
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0058727977009
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 15:50:00
                    [1] => 160.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 16:25:00
                    [1] => 160.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 18:05:00
                    [1] => 158.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 18:55:00
                    [1] => 159.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:05:00
                    [1] => 159.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:30:00
                    [1] => 159.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 21:20:00
                    [1] => 161.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 22:45:00
                    [1] => 161.67
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.061854394754744
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.94339622641509
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0058727977009
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.94%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.01%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2877
0.18%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2446
1.40%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 15:50:00 160.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 16:25:00 160.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:05:00 158.62 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:55:00 159.58 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:05:00 159.58 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:30:00 159.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:20:00 161.56 ↑ High
2026-01-20 22:00:00 160.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:45:00 161.67 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.94%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.01%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.2623
2.63%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2446
1.40%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 04:30:00 163.26 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:00:00 166.22 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:15:00 159.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 12:15:00 164.36 ↑ High
2026-01-20 13:00:00 159.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 14:30:00 160 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 163.35 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:00:00 160.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:45:00 161.67 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.92%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.99%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.6023
7.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2446
1.40%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 09:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 11:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 13:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 15:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 17:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 19:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-20 07:00:00 166.22 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:00:00 159.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:00:00 161.67 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
22:53:37		 20 Jan 2026
23:20:00		 26 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
161.56 161.9577 160.7646 2 129.21
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 161.56
  • Stop Loss: 161.9577
  • Take Profit: 160.7646

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 161.9577 - 161.56 = 0.39769999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 161.56 - 160.7646 = 0.7954

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7954 / 0.39769999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3249.6857 100 20.1144 32.50
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.39769999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.39769999999999 = 20.12

Taille de position USD = 20.12 x 161.56 = 3250.59

Donc, tu peux acheter 20.12 avec un stoploss a 161.9577

Avec un position size USD de 3250.59$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 20.12 x 0.39769999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 20.12 x 0.7954 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 20.12
  • Taille de position USD 3250.59
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.49 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2662 % 108.12 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.7646
            [entry_price] => 161.56
            [stop_loss] => 161.99747
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.7646
            [entry_price] => 161.56
            [stop_loss] => 162.03724
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.7646
            [entry_price] => 161.56
            [stop_loss] => 162.07701
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.7646
            [entry_price] => 161.56
            [stop_loss] => 162.15655
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.30000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 1.03
            [rr_ratio] => 0.29
            [high] => 162.59000000
            [low] => 161.26000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.19
            [mae_pct] => 0.64
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.29
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T22:53:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T00:53:37-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.13
            [max_drawdown] => 1.03
            [rr_ratio] => 1.1
            [high] => 162.59000000
            [low] => 160.43000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.7
            [mae_pct] => 0.64
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T22:53:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T05:53:37-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 161.67000000
            [high_after] => 162.59000000
            [low_before] => 158.52000000
            [low_after] => 160.59000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)