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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 20 Jan 2026 at 23:22:29

Take profit at 161.2365 (0.43 %) and Stop Loss at 162.2918 (0.22 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 20 Jan 2026 at 23:22:29

With 22.7432 MSTR at 161.94$ per unit.

Position size of 3683.0315 $

Take profit at 161.2365 (0.43 %) and Stop Loss at 162.2918 (0.22 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.98
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.81
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.66
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.333692

15m : 0.086886

1H : 0.058174

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.24
  4. atr: 0.2345024715
Details
  1. score: 1.24
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 161.037
  4. ema21 : 162.504
  5. ema50 : 166.252
  6. ema100 : 169.384
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00560733
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00902768
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0225443
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0439475
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.144859
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.201004
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.17224
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.116418
  17. rsi : 0.434615
  18. adx : 0.575168
  19. kc_percentage : 0.436886
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0400467
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.193538
  22. volume_ema1 : 736065.76806338
  23. volume_ema2 : 912710.82662096
  24. chop : 51.8693
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.22
  28. ema21 : 160.844
  29. ema50 : 161.288
  30. ema100 : 162.755
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00446012
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00234212
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0027543
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00501015
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0756267
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0403419
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00426144
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0224241
  41. rsi : 0.60232
  42. adx : 0.172422
  43. kc_percentage : 0.985286
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0137967
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.825725
  46. volume_ema1 : 57685.570844432
  47. volume_ema2 : 331004.01916241
  48. chop : 53.4464
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.572
  52. ema21 : 161.282
  53. ema50 : 160.868
  54. ema100 : 160.773
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00227522
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00179451
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00257348
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00725326
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0417912
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0301398
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0206578
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0102099
  65. rsi : 0.734135
  66. adx : 0.181449
  67. kc_percentage : 1.24253
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0052916
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.887835
  70. volume_ema1 : 7588.8253131993
  71. volume_ema2 : 67658.281610996
  72. chop : 39.326
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    89130.8
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0024582
  78. 5m_price: 
    89350
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.333692
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    90107.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00840709
  83. 15m_price: 
    89350.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.086886
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92556.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.034648
  88. 1H_price: 
    89350
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.058174
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 09:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 11:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 15:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 17:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 19:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 166.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
                    [1] => 159.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 23:00:00
                    [1] => 161.99
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1889982336614
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1889982336614
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 04:30:00
                    [1] => 163.26
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 166.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 10:15:00
                    [1] => 159.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 12:15:00
                    [1] => 164.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 13:00:00
                    [1] => 159.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
                    [1] => 160
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                    [1] => 163.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 23:15:00
                    [1] => 161.99
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2057978258153
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2057978258153
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 16:25:00
                    [1] => 160.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 18:05:00
                    [1] => 158.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 18:55:00
                    [1] => 159.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:05:00
                    [1] => 159.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:30:00
                    [1] => 159.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 21:20:00
                    [1] => 161.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 22:45:00
                    [1] => 161.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 23:20:00
                    [1] => 161.99
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2057978258153
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.1979340632152
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.21%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
16 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.20%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3018
0.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.7165
1.68%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 16:25:00 160.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:05:00 158.62 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:55:00 159.58 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:05:00 159.58 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:30:00 159.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:20:00 161.56 ↑ High
2026-01-20 22:00:00 160.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:45:00 161.67 ↑ High
2026-01-20 23:20:00 161.99 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.21%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.21%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.9282
2.42%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.7165
1.68%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 04:30:00 163.26 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:00:00 166.22 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:15:00 159.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 12:15:00 164.36 ↑ High
2026-01-20 13:00:00 159.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 14:30:00 160 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 163.35 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:00:00 160.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 23:15:00 161.99 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.19%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.19%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.2682
6.94%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.7165
1.68%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 09:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 11:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 13:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 15:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 17:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 19:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-20 07:00:00 166.22 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:00:00 159.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 23:00:00 161.99 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
23:22:29		 21 Jan 2026
00:40:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
161.94 162.2918 161.2365 2 133.07
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 161.94
  • Stop Loss: 162.2918
  • Take Profit: 161.2365

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 162.2918 - 161.94 = 0.3518

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 161.94 - 161.2365 = 0.70349999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.70349999999999 / 0.3518 = 1.9997

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3683.0315 100 22.7432 36.83
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.3518

Taille de position = 8 / 0.3518 = 22.74

Taille de position USD = 22.74 x 161.94 = 3682.52

Donc, tu peux acheter 22.74 avec un stoploss a 162.2918

Avec un position size USD de 3682.52$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 22.74 x 0.3518 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 22.74 x 0.70349999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 22.74
  • Taille de position USD 3682.52
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9997

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.43 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.22 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.22
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2964 % 136.46 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.2365
            [entry_price] => 161.94
            [stop_loss] => 162.32698
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.2365
            [entry_price] => 161.94
            [stop_loss] => 162.36216
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.2365
            [entry_price] => 161.94
            [stop_loss] => 162.39734
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.2365
            [entry_price] => 161.94
            [stop_loss] => 162.4677
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.47999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.65000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 0.74
            [high] => 162.59000000
            [low] => 161.46000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.3
            [mae_pct] => 0.4
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.74
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T23:22:29-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T01:22:29-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.51
            [max_drawdown] => 0.65000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 2.32
            [high] => 162.59000000
            [low] => 160.43000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.93
            [mae_pct] => 0.4
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.32
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T23:22:29-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T06:22:29-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 161.99000000
            [high_after] => 162.59000000
            [low_before] => 159.07000000
            [low_after] => 160.43000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)