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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 20 Jan 2026 at 23:32:15

Take profit at 161.1941 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 162.1629 (0.2 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 20 Jan 2026 at 23:32:15

With 24.7731 MSTR at 161.84$ per unit.

Position size of 4009.2733 $

Take profit at 161.1941 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 162.1629 (0.2 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.54
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.68
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.56
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.58
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.287392

15m : 0.041847

1H : -0.070134

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.2152875601
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 161.017
  4. ema21 : 162.494
  5. ema50 : 166.248
  6. ema100 : 169.382
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00511118
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00909532
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0225759
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0445267
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.145876
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.201459
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.172433
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.116514
  17. rsi : 0.429957
  18. adx : 0.574714
  19. kc_percentage : 0.423172
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0401951
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.193126
  22. volume_ema1 : 736481.16039671
  23. volume_ema2 : 912759.69630723
  24. chop : 51.8752
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.367
  28. ema21 : 160.946
  29. ema50 : 161.317
  30. ema100 : 162.754
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00293028
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00261469
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00230013
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00562136
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0733711
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0426084
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00159783
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0209087
  41. rsi : 0.61414
  42. adx : 0.185428
  43. kc_percentage : 0.915295
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0130698
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.877538
  46. volume_ema1 : 38955.907362955
  47. volume_ema2 : 318108.68211044
  48. chop : 63.5663
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.675
  52. ema21 : 161.383
  53. ema50 : 160.951
  54. ema100 : 160.858
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00101977
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00180754
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00268517
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0061026
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0447933
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0336439
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0227655
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0112002
  65. rsi : 0.681236
  66. adx : 0.178668
  67. kc_percentage : 1.06925
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00472275
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.948319
  70. volume_ema1 : 3648.899635496
  71. volume_ema2 : 70604.397234271
  72. chop : 40.6895
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    89181.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0031209
  78. 5m_price: 
    89459.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.287392
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    90100.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00710978
  83. 15m_price: 
    89459.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.041847
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    92559
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0334866
  88. 1H_price: 
    89459.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.070134
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 09:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 11:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 15:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 17:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 19:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 166.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
                    [1] => 159.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 23:00:00
                    [1] => 161.99
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.067905426260889
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1196063588191
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1889982336614
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 04:30:00
                    [1] => 163.26
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 166.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 10:15:00
                    [1] => 159.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 12:15:00
                    [1] => 164.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 13:00:00
                    [1] => 159.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
                    [1] => 160
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                    [1] => 163.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 23:15:00
                    [1] => 161.99
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.067905426260889
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.137073597401
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2057978258153
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 16:25:00
                    [1] => 160.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 18:05:00
                    [1] => 158.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 18:55:00
                    [1] => 159.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:05:00
                    [1] => 159.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:30:00
                    [1] => 159.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 21:20:00
                    [1] => 161.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 22:00:00
                    [1] => 160.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 22:45:00
                    [1] => 161.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 23:20:00
                    [1] => 161.99
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.067905426260889
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.137073597401
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.1979340632152
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.14%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.20%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1729
0.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.6741
1.66%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 16:25:00 160.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:05:00 158.62 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:55:00 159.58 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:05:00 159.58 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:30:00 159.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:20:00 161.56 ↑ High
2026-01-20 22:00:00 160.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:45:00 161.67 ↑ High
2026-01-20 23:20:00 161.99 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.14%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.21%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.0571
2.50%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.6741
1.66%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 04:30:00 163.26 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:00:00 166.22 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:15:00 159.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 12:15:00 164.36 ↑ High
2026-01-20 13:00:00 159.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 14:30:00 160 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 163.35 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:00:00 160.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 23:15:00 161.99 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.12%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.19%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.3971
7.03%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.6741
1.66%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 09:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 11:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 13:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 15:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 17:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-19 19:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-20 07:00:00 166.22 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:00:00 159.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 23:00:00 161.99 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
23:32:15		 21 Jan 2026
00:35:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
161.84 162.1629 161.1941 2 134.42
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 161.84
  • Stop Loss: 162.1629
  • Take Profit: 161.1941

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 162.1629 - 161.84 = 0.3229

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 161.84 - 161.1941 = 0.64590000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.64590000000001 / 0.3229 = 2.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4009.2733 100 24.7731 40.09
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.3229

Taille de position = 8 / 0.3229 = 24.78

Taille de position USD = 24.78 x 161.84 = 4010.4

Donc, tu peux acheter 24.78 avec un stoploss a 162.1629

Avec un position size USD de 4010.4$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 24.78 x 0.3229 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 24.78 x 0.64590000000001 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 24.78
  • Taille de position USD 4010.4
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.4 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.2 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.20
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2595 % 130.08 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.1941
            [entry_price] => 161.84
            [stop_loss] => 162.19519
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.1941
            [entry_price] => 161.84
            [stop_loss] => 162.22748
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.1941
            [entry_price] => 161.84
            [stop_loss] => 162.25977
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.1941
            [entry_price] => 161.84
            [stop_loss] => 162.32435
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.38
            [max_drawdown] => 0.75
            [rr_ratio] => 0.51
            [high] => 162.59000000
            [low] => 161.46000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.23
            [mae_pct] => 0.46
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.51
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T23:32:15-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T01:32:15-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.41
            [max_drawdown] => 0.75
            [rr_ratio] => 1.88
            [high] => 162.59000000
            [low] => 160.43000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.87
            [mae_pct] => 0.46
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.88
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T23:32:15-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T06:32:15-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 161.99000000
            [high_after] => 162.59000000
            [low_before] => 159.07000000
            [low_after] => 160.43000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)