Short Trade on BTC 21 Jan 2026 at 00:43:56
Take profit at 89565.4311 (0.35 %) and Stop Loss at 90041.1844 (0.18 %)
Short Trade on BTC 21 Jan 2026 at 00:43:56
Take profit at 89565.4311 (0.35 %) and Stop Loss at 90041.1844 (0.18 %)
Position size of 4534.2459 $
Take profit at 89565.4311 (0.35 %) and Stop Loss at 90041.1844 (0.18 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.94 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.67 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.73 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low_confirmed |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : 0.09878 1H : -0.105776 |
2 |
Indicators:
89251.7
0.0070682
89882.6
1
90006.9
-0.00401032
89646
0.09878
92501.6
-0.0283138
89882.6
-0.105776
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
[1] => 94810.1
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 08:00:00
[1] => 94870
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 13:00:00
[1] => 95490.3
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 91850
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
[1] => 93316.5
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 09:00:00
[1] => 92662.7
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 11:00:00
[1] => 93380.2
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 03:00:00
[1] => 90638.3
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 17:00:00
[1] => 87801
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 00:00:00
[1] => 89887.9
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.011569966591715
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3650072322639
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.376852199861
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
[1] => 90638.3
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 06:00:00
[1] => 91409.7
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
[1] => 91350.9
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
[1] => 89820
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 11:15:00
[1] => 90943.5
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
[1] => 89255
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:45:00
[1] => 89825
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
[1] => 87801
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 21:00:00
[1] => 89309.1
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 00:30:00
[1] => 89887.9
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.011569966591715
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3650072322639
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 28
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.64808625324854
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 18:15:00
[1] => 87839
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 19:20:00
[1] => 88211
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 20:15:00
[1] => 89098
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 21:05:00
[1] => 89309.1
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 21:35:00
[1] => 88940.4
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 22:40:00
[1] => 89570.3
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 23:15:00
[1] => 89302.8
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 23:45:00
[1] => 89595
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 00:05:00
[1] => 89376.8
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 00:40:00
[1] => 89887.9
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.011569966591715
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.5602124936225
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.57184862290884
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 18:15:00 | 87839 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 19:20:00 | 88211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 20:15:00 | 89098 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 21:05:00 | 89309.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 21:35:00 | 88940.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 22:40:00 | 89570.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 23:15:00 | 89302.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 23:45:00 | 89595 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 00:05:00 | 89376.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 00:40:00 | 89887.9 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 03:30:00 | 90638.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 06:00:00 | 91409.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 09:30:00 | 91350.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 10:00:00 | 89820 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 11:15:00 | 90943.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 14:30:00 | 89255 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 15:45:00 | 89825 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 17:30:00 | 87801 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 21:00:00 | 89309.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 00:30:00 | 89887.9 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 20:00:00 | 94810.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 08:00:00 | 94870 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 13:00:00 | 95490.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 91850 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 03:00:00 | 93316.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 09:00:00 | 92662.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 11:00:00 | 93380.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 03:00:00 | 90638.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 17:00:00 | 87801 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 00:00:00 | 89887.9 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 00:43:56 |
21 Jan 2026 00:45:00 |
1 minute |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89882.6 | 90041.1844 | 89565.4311 | 2 | 67527.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 90041.1844 - 89882.6 = 158.58439999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 89882.6 - 89565.4311 = 317.1689
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 317.1689 / 158.58439999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4534.2459 | 100 | 0.05045 | 45.34 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 158.58439999999 = 0.05
Taille de position USD = 0.05 x 89882.6 = 4494.13
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.05 avec un stoploss a 90041.1844
Avec un position size USD de 4494.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.05 x 158.58439999999 = 7.93
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.93$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.05 x 317.1689 = 15.86
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.86$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.18 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2238 % | 126.87 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89565.4311
[entry_price] => 89882.6
[stop_loss] => 90057.04284
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89565.4311
[entry_price] => 89882.6
[stop_loss] => 90072.90128
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 00:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89565.4311
[entry_price] => 89882.6
[stop_loss] => 90088.75972
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 01:40:00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89565.4311
[entry_price] => 89882.6
[stop_loss] => 90120.4766
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 01:40:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 753.70000000001
[max_drawdown] => 201.2
[rr_ratio] => 3.75
[high] => 90083.80000000
[low] => 89128.90000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.84
[mae_pct] => 0.22
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.75
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-21T00:43:56-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-21T02:43:56-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1747.5
[max_drawdown] => 201.2
[rr_ratio] => 8.69
[high] => 90083.80000000
[low] => 88135.10000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.94
[mae_pct] => 0.22
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.69
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-21T00:43:56-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-21T07:43:56-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 89887.90000000
[high_after] => 90083.80000000
[low_before] => 88926.20000000
[low_after] => 88936.50000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)