Short Trade on BTC 21 Jan 2026 at 00:58:09
Take profit at 89554.6445 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 90051.0778 (0.18 %)
Short Trade on BTC 21 Jan 2026 at 00:58:09
Take profit at 89554.6445 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 90051.0778 (0.18 %)
Position size of 4345.5075 $
Take profit at 89554.6445 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 90051.0778 (0.18 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.96 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.69 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.89 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : -0.101576 1H : 0.014285 |
2 |
Indicators:
89281.2
0.00676909
89885.6
1
89925.1
0.000729481
89990.7
-0.101576
92501.7
-0.028282
89885.6
0.014285
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
[1] => 94810.1
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 08:00:00
[1] => 94870
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 13:00:00
[1] => 95490.3
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 91850
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
[1] => 93316.5
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 09:00:00
[1] => 92662.7
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 11:00:00
[1] => 93380.2
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 03:00:00
[1] => 90638.3
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 17:00:00
[1] => 87801
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 00:00:00
[1] => 90083.8
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.18693705194498
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.408173027642
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.599970387581
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
[1] => 90638.3
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 06:00:00
[1] => 91409.7
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
[1] => 91350.9
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
[1] => 89820
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 11:15:00
[1] => 90943.5
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
[1] => 89255
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:45:00
[1] => 89825
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
[1] => 87801
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 21:00:00
[1] => 89309.1
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 00:45:00
[1] => 90083.8
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.18693705194498
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.408173027642
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 29
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.86743680095309
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 18:15:00
[1] => 87839
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 19:20:00
[1] => 88211
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 20:15:00
[1] => 89098
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 21:05:00
[1] => 89309.1
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 21:35:00
[1] => 88940.4
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 22:40:00
[1] => 89570.3
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 23:15:00
[1] => 89302.8
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 23:45:00
[1] => 89595
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 00:05:00
[1] => 89376.8
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 00:45:00
[1] => 90083.8
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.18693705194498
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.60261723400255
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.79103301975457
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 18:15:00 | 87839 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 19:20:00 | 88211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 20:15:00 | 89098 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 21:05:00 | 89309.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 21:35:00 | 88940.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 22:40:00 | 89570.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 23:15:00 | 89302.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 23:45:00 | 89595 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 00:05:00 | 89376.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 00:45:00 | 90083.8 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 03:30:00 | 90638.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 06:00:00 | 91409.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 09:30:00 | 91350.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 10:00:00 | 89820 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 11:15:00 | 90943.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 14:30:00 | 89255 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 15:45:00 | 89825 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 17:30:00 | 87801 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 21:00:00 | 89309.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 00:45:00 | 90083.8 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 20:00:00 | 94810.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 08:00:00 | 94870 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 13:00:00 | 95490.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 91850 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 03:00:00 | 93316.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 09:00:00 | 92662.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 11:00:00 | 93380.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 03:00:00 | 90638.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 17:00:00 | 87801 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 00:00:00 | 90083.8 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 00:58:09 |
21 Jan 2026 01:40:00 |
41 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89885.6 | 90051.0778 | 89554.6445 | 2 | 67505.5 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 90051.0778 - 89885.6 = 165.47779999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 89885.6 - 89554.6445 = 330.95550000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 330.95550000001 / 165.47779999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4345.5075 | 100 | 0.04834 | 43.46 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 165.47779999999 = 0.05
Taille de position USD = 0.05 x 89885.6 = 4494.28
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.05 avec un stoploss a 90051.0778
Avec un position size USD de 4494.28$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.05 x 165.47779999999 = 8.27
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.27$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.05 x 330.95550000001 = 16.55
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.55$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0333 % | 18.09 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89554.6444
[stop_loss] => 90051.0778
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 01:40:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89471.9055
[stop_loss] => 90051.0778
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 01:45:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89389.1666
[stop_loss] => 90051.0778
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 02:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89306.4277
[stop_loss] => 90051.0778
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 02:35:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89223.6888
[stop_loss] => 90051.0778
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 02:35:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89140.9499
[stop_loss] => 90051.0778
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 02:35:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 89058.211
[stop_loss] => 90051.0778
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 02:55:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88975.4721
[stop_loss] => 90051.0778
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 03:35:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88892.7332
[stop_loss] => 90051.0778
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 06:55:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88809.9943
[stop_loss] => 90051.0778
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 06:55:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 88727.2554
[stop_loss] => 90051.0778
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 06:55:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 838.20000000001
[max_drawdown] => 29.899999999994
[rr_ratio] => 28.03
[high] => 89915.50000000
[low] => 89047.40000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.93
[mae_pct] => 0.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 28.03
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-21T00:58:09-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-21T02:58:09-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1750.5
[max_drawdown] => 29.899999999994
[rr_ratio] => 58.55
[high] => 89915.50000000
[low] => 88135.10000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.95
[mae_pct] => 0.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 58.55
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-21T00:58:09-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-21T07:58:09-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 90083.80000000
[high_after] => 89915.50000000
[low_before] => 88940.40000000
[low_after] => 88650.00000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)