Long Trade on XAU 21 Jan 2026 at 01:58:37

Take profit at 4873.4452 (0.44 %) and Stop Loss at 4841.4274 (0.22 %)

Long Trade on XAU

The 21 Jan 2026 at 01:58:37

With 0.7496 XAU at 4852.1$ per unit.

Position size of 3637.0437 $

Take profit at 4873.4452 (0.44 %) and Stop Loss at 4841.4274 (0.22 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -90
ML Pullback Score: 2.1
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.98
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.91
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.58
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_low_confirmed

15m_regime : bull_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.079677

15m : -0.08319

1H : 0.017464

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 7.115082658
Details
  1. score: 2.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4832.25
  4. ema21 : 4791.51
  5. ema50 : 4736.92
  6. ema100 : 4690.97
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00410575
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.008504
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0115243
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.034347
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.157607
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.124175
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.0876225
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0597572
  17. rsi : 0.7847
  18. adx : 0.634831
  19. kc_percentage : 1.13376
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0188148
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.65964
  22. volume_ema1 : 785563.55142544
  23. volume_ema2 : 473333.48417304
  24. chop : 16.7572
  25. regime : bull_low_confirmed
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4867.47
  29. ema21 : 4851.4
  30. ema50 : 4817.37
  31. ema100 : 4785.18
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.0031589
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00331365
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00706391
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.013984
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0592075
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0644606
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0541852
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0390573
  42. rsi : 0.634296
  43. adx : 0.609229
  44. kc_percentage : 0.485264
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0102752
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.0927922
  47. volume_ema1 : 187903.36977472
  48. volume_ema2 : 171947.93012315
  49. chop : 38.7232
  50. regime : bull_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4867.62
  54. ema21 : 4868.89
  55. ema50 : 4857.56
  56. ema100 : 4837
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00319003
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000260089
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00233178
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0031204
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0096828
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.00409177
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0142941
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0161066
  67. rsi : 0.368848
  68. adx : 0.283467
  69. kc_percentage : -0.0559609
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00629198
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.358581
  72. volume_ema1 : 91203.881466949
  73. volume_ema2 : 67131.707216403
  74. chop : 27.9446
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    89245.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0037841
  81. 5m_price:
    89583
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.079677
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    89911.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00424899
  86. 15m_price:
    89529.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.08319
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92445
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0309591
  91. 1H_price:
    89583
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.017464
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 04:00:00
                        [1] => 4598.37
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 07:00:00
                        [1] => 4610.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                        [1] => 4607.92
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 18:00:00
                        [1] => 4690.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 02:00:00
                        [1] => 4678.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 06:00:00
                        [1] => 4662.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
                        [1] => 4678.67
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4659.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:00:00
                        [1] => 4715.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 01:00:00
                        [1] => 4890
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.76237218813905
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9154339642649
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 17
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7060601240655
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 04:30:00
                        [1] => 4738.71
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 06:00:00
                        [1] => 4725.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 06:45:00
                        [1] => 4736.5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:30:00
                        [1] => 4715.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:00:00
                        [1] => 4753.36
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:15:00
                        [1] => 4725.21
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:15:00
                        [1] => 4765.97
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                        [1] => 4747.79
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 01:15:00
                        [1] => 4890
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 01:45:00
                        [1] => 4851
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.76237218813905
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.035456606885184
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.80395794681509
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 20:55:00
                        [1] => 4847.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 21:25:00
                        [1] => 4821.12
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 22:10:00
                        [1] => 4850
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 22:15:00
                        [1] => 4830.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 22:40:00
                        [1] => 4847.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 23:10:00
                        [1] => 4839.71
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 00:35:00
                        [1] => 4880.65
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 01:05:00
                        [1] => 4866.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 01:25:00
                        [1] => 4890
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 01:55:00
                        [1] => 4851
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.76237218813905
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.035456606885184
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.80395794681509
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.76%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.04%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.80%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
20.3074
0.42%
TP to Pivot Distance
16.5548
0.34%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 20:55:00 4847.09 ↑ High
2026-01-20 21:25:00 4821.12 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:10:00 4850 ↑ High
2026-01-20 22:15:00 4830.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:40:00 4847.85 ↑ High
2026-01-20 23:10:00 4839.71 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 00:35:00 4880.65 ↑ High
2026-01-21 01:05:00 4866.03 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 01:25:00 4890 ↑ High
2026-01-21 01:55:00 4851 ↓ Low
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.76%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.04%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.80%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
126.1774
2.61%
TP to Pivot Distance
16.5548
0.34%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 04:30:00 4738.71 ↑ High
2026-01-20 06:00:00 4725.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 06:45:00 4736.5 ↑ High
2026-01-20 08:30:00 4715.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 09:00:00 4753.36 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:15:00 4725.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 13:15:00 4765.97 ↑ High
2026-01-20 15:15:00 4747.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 01:15:00 4890 ↑ High
2026-01-21 01:45:00 4851 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.76%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.92%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
17 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.71%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
243.0574
5.02%
TP to Pivot Distance
16.5548
0.34%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 04:00:00 4598.37 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 07:00:00 4610.96 ↑ High
2026-01-18 17:00:00 4607.92 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 18:00:00 4690.09 ↑ High
2026-01-19 02:00:00 4678.18 ↑ High
2026-01-19 06:00:00 4662.5 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 13:00:00 4678.67 ↑ High
2026-01-19 19:00:00 4659.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:00:00 4715.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 01:00:00 4890 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
21 Jan 2026
01:58:37
21 Jan 2026
02:00:00
1 minute

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4852.1 4841.4274 4873.4452 2 5195.09
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4852.1
  • Stop Loss: 4841.4274
  • Take Profit: 4873.4452

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4841.4274 - 4852.1 = -10.672600000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4852.1 - 4873.4452 = -21.3452

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -21.3452 / -10.672600000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3637.0437 100 0.7496 36.37
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -10.672600000001

Taille de position = 8 / -10.672600000001 = -0.75

Taille de position USD = -0.75 x 4852.1 = -3639.08

Donc, tu peux acheter -0.75 avec un stoploss a 4841.4274

Avec un position size USD de -3639.08$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -0.75 x -10.672600000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -0.75 x -21.3452 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -0.75
  • Taille de position USD -3639.08
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.44 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.22 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.22
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2607 % 118.5 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4873.4452
            [entry_price] => 4852.1
            [stop_loss] => 4840.36014
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 02:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4873.4452
            [entry_price] => 4852.1
            [stop_loss] => 4839.29288
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 02:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4873.4452
            [entry_price] => 4852.1
            [stop_loss] => 4838.22562
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 02:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4873.4452
            [entry_price] => 4852.1
            [stop_loss] => 4836.0911
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 04:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 18.83
            [max_drawdown] => 15.1
            [rr_ratio] => 1.25
            [high] => 4870.93000000
            [low] => 4837.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.39
            [mae_pct] => 0.31
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.25
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-21T01:58:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T03:58:37-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 27.79
            [max_drawdown] => 15.1
            [rr_ratio] => 1.84
            [high] => 4879.89000000
            [low] => 4837.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.57
            [mae_pct] => 0.31
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.84
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-21T01:58:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T08:58:37-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4890.00000000
            [high_after] => 4878.32000000
            [low_before] => 4830.01000000
            [low_after] => 4837.00000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)