Long Trade on XAU 21 Jan 2026 at 02:07:43

Take profit at 4866.6864 (0.45 %) and Stop Loss at 4833.9618 (0.23 %)

Long Trade on XAU

The 21 Jan 2026 at 02:07:43

With 0.7334 XAU at 4844.87$ per unit.

Position size of 3553.1984 $

Take profit at 4866.6864 (0.45 %) and Stop Loss at 4833.9618 (0.23 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 5.32
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.97
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.92
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.55
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_low

15m_regime : bull_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.050613

15m : 0.012462

1H : -0.10737

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.13
  4. atr: 7.272126026
Details
  1. score: 2.13
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4834.88
  4. ema21 : 4796.41
  5. ema50 : 4741.15
  6. ema100 : 4693.86
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.002066
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00801983
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0116551
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0321713
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.156357
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.126676
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.0901928
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0617023
  17. rsi : 0.74379
  18. adx : 0.627389
  19. kc_percentage : 1.02305
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0180542
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.326689
  22. volume_ema1 : 617913.89582807
  23. volume_ema2 : 465756.07232994
  24. chop : 18.3077
  25. regime : bull_low
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4861.07
  29. ema21 : 4849.83
  30. ema50 : 4817.95
  31. ema100 : 4785.74
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00333389
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00231768
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00661737
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.012354
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0443726
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0570107
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.051376
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0380886
  42. rsi : 0.513448
  43. adx : 0.571938
  44. kc_percentage : 0.384469
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0110667
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.386804
  47. volume_ema1 : 252847.52408315
  48. volume_ema2 : 182323.83672024
  49. chop : 43.1872
  50. regime : bull_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4859.03
  54. ema21 : 4864.52
  55. ema50 : 4856.5
  56. ema100 : 4837.31
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00291441
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00112869
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00165054
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00156192
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0224694
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.00448908
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00968235
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0136536
  67. rsi : 0.344445
  68. adx : 0.296123
  69. kc_percentage : -0.133463
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00638655
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.467965
  72. volume_ema1 : 107203.42265938
  73. volume_ema2 : 73028.593559021
  74. chop : 19.9473
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    89248.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00524168
  81. 5m_price:
    89716.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.050613
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    89883.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00186628
  86. 15m_price:
    89716.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.012462
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92383.6
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0288743
  91. 1H_price:
    89716.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.10737
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 04:00:00
                        [1] => 4598.37
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 07:00:00
                        [1] => 4610.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                        [1] => 4607.92
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 18:00:00
                        [1] => 4690.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 02:00:00
                        [1] => 4678.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 06:00:00
                        [1] => 4662.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
                        [1] => 4678.67
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4659.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:00:00
                        [1] => 4715.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 01:00:00
                        [1] => 4890
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.97668711656442
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6931763957372
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7060601240655
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 04:30:00
                        [1] => 4738.71
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 06:00:00
                        [1] => 4725.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 06:45:00
                        [1] => 4736.5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:30:00
                        [1] => 4715.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:00:00
                        [1] => 4753.36
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:15:00
                        [1] => 4725.21
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:15:00
                        [1] => 4765.97
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                        [1] => 4747.79
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 01:15:00
                        [1] => 4890
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 02:00:00
                        [1] => 4838.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.97668711656442
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.068817150969948
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0558162892056
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 20:55:00
                        [1] => 4847.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 21:25:00
                        [1] => 4821.12
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 22:10:00
                        [1] => 4850
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 22:15:00
                        [1] => 4830.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 22:40:00
                        [1] => 4847.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 23:10:00
                        [1] => 4839.71
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 00:35:00
                        [1] => 4880.65
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 01:05:00
                        [1] => 4866.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 01:25:00
                        [1] => 4890
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 02:05:00
                        [1] => 4838.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.97668711656442
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.068817150969948
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0558162892056
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.98%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.07%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.06%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.8418
0.27%
TP to Pivot Distance
23.3136
0.48%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 20:55:00 4847.09 ↑ High
2026-01-20 21:25:00 4821.12 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:10:00 4850 ↑ High
2026-01-20 22:15:00 4830.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:40:00 4847.85 ↑ High
2026-01-20 23:10:00 4839.71 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 00:35:00 4880.65 ↑ High
2026-01-21 01:05:00 4866.03 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 01:25:00 4890 ↑ High
2026-01-21 02:05:00 4838.91 ↓ Low
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.98%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.07%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.06%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
118.7118
2.46%
TP to Pivot Distance
23.3136
0.48%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 04:30:00 4738.71 ↑ High
2026-01-20 06:00:00 4725.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 06:45:00 4736.5 ↑ High
2026-01-20 08:30:00 4715.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 09:00:00 4753.36 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:15:00 4725.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 13:15:00 4765.97 ↑ High
2026-01-20 15:15:00 4747.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 01:15:00 4890 ↑ High
2026-01-21 02:00:00 4838.91 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.98%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.69%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.71%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
235.5918
4.87%
TP to Pivot Distance
23.3136
0.48%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 04:00:00 4598.37 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 07:00:00 4610.96 ↑ High
2026-01-18 17:00:00 4607.92 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 18:00:00 4690.09 ↑ High
2026-01-19 02:00:00 4678.18 ↑ High
2026-01-19 06:00:00 4662.5 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 13:00:00 4678.67 ↑ High
2026-01-19 19:00:00 4659.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:00:00 4715.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 01:00:00 4890 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
21 Jan 2026
02:07:43
21 Jan 2026
03:05:00
57 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4844.87 4833.9618 4866.6864 2 5187
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4844.87
  • Stop Loss: 4833.9618
  • Take Profit: 4866.6864

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4833.9618 - 4844.87 = -10.9082

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4844.87 - 4866.6864 = -21.8164

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -21.8164 / -10.9082 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3553.1984 100 0.7334 35.53
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -10.9082

Taille de position = 8 / -10.9082 = -0.73

Taille de position USD = -0.73 x 4844.87 = -3536.76

Donc, tu peux acheter -0.73 avec un stoploss a 4833.9618

Avec un position size USD de -3536.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -0.73 x -10.9082 = 7.96

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.96$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -0.73 x -21.8164 = 15.93

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.93$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -0.73
  • Taille de position USD -3536.76
  • Perte potentielle 7.96
  • Gain potentiel 15.93
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.45 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.23 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.45
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1624 % 72.15 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4866.6864
            [stop_loss] => 4833.9618
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 03:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4872.1405
            [stop_loss] => 4833.9618
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 04:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4877.5946
            [stop_loss] => 4833.9618
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 04:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 26.06
            [max_drawdown] => 7.8699999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 3.31
            [high] => 4870.93000000
            [low] => 4837.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.54
            [mae_pct] => 0.16
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.31
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-21T02:07:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T04:07:43-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 35.13
            [max_drawdown] => 7.8699999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 4.46
            [high] => 4880.00000000
            [low] => 4837.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.73
            [mae_pct] => 0.16
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.46
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-21T02:07:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T09:07:43-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4890.00000000
            [high_after] => 4878.32000000
            [low_before] => 4830.01000000
            [low_after] => 4837.00000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)