Long Trade on XAU 21 Jan 2026 at 02:11:52

Take profit at 4864.5373 (0.45 %) and Stop Loss at 4831.7064 (0.23 %)

Long Trade on XAU

The 21 Jan 2026 at 02:11:52

With 0.731 XAU at 4842.65$ per unit.

Position size of 3540.0641 $

Take profit at 4864.5373 (0.45 %) and Stop Loss at 4831.7064 (0.23 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 6.99
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.95
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.88
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.54
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_low

15m_regime : bull_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.039321

15m : -0.160819

1H : -0.171889

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.13
  4. atr: 7.295762397
Details
  1. score: 2.13
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4834.43
  4. ema21 : 4796.21
  5. ema50 : 4741.06
  6. ema100 : 4693.81
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00169882
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00796968
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0116311
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.031708
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.155577
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.126321
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.0900382
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0616237
  17. rsi : 0.73214
  18. adx : 0.626268
  19. kc_percentage : 0.996822
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0181814
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.352156
  22. volume_ema1 : 632018.7565614
  23. volume_ema2 : 467415.46771034
  24. chop : 18.3246
  25. regime : bull_low
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4860.63
  29. ema21 : 4849.63
  30. ema50 : 4817.86
  31. ema100 : 4785.7
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00369958
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00226784
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00659367
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0118994
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0436074
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0566616
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0512245
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0380117
  42. rsi : 0.502121
  43. adx : 0.57073
  44. kc_percentage : 0.348634
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0111907
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.45096
  47. volume_ema1 : 266952.38481648
  48. volume_ema2 : 183983.23210064
  49. chop : 42.1475
  50. regime : bull_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4855.33
  54. ema21 : 4862.31
  55. ema50 : 4855.84
  56. ema100 : 4837.24
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00261241
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0014359
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00133229
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00111745
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0286844
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0089971
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0071819
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0123539
  67. rsi : 0.322099
  68. adx : 0.302695
  69. kc_percentage : -0.132517
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00637135
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.168955
  72. volume_ema1 : 82647.051417368
  73. volume_ema2 : 70701.648656254
  74. chop : 19.8077
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    89246.9
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00451688
  81. 5m_price:
    89650.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.039321
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    89882.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00258606
  86. 15m_price:
    89650.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.160819
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92382.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.029575
  91. 1H_price:
    89650.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.171889
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 04:00:00
                        [1] => 4598.37
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 07:00:00
                        [1] => 4610.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                        [1] => 4607.92
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 18:00:00
                        [1] => 4690.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 02:00:00
                        [1] => 4678.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 06:00:00
                        [1] => 4662.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
                        [1] => 4678.67
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4659.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:00:00
                        [1] => 4715.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 01:00:00
                        [1] => 4890
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0179959100204
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6503366735592
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7060601240655
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 04:30:00
                        [1] => 4738.71
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 06:00:00
                        [1] => 4725.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 06:45:00
                        [1] => 4736.5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:30:00
                        [1] => 4715.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:00:00
                        [1] => 4753.36
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:15:00
                        [1] => 4725.21
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:15:00
                        [1] => 4765.97
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                        [1] => 4747.79
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 01:15:00
                        [1] => 4890
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 02:00:00
                        [1] => 4838.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0179959100204
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.045679938652463
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0746153893853
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 20:55:00
                        [1] => 4847.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 21:25:00
                        [1] => 4821.12
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 22:10:00
                        [1] => 4850
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 22:15:00
                        [1] => 4830.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 22:40:00
                        [1] => 4847.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 23:10:00
                        [1] => 4839.71
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 00:35:00
                        [1] => 4880.65
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 01:05:00
                        [1] => 4866.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 01:25:00
                        [1] => 4890
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 02:10:00
                        [1] => 4838.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0179959100204
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.045679938652463
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0746153893853
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.05%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.07%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.5864
0.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
25.4627
0.52%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 20:55:00 4847.09 ↑ High
2026-01-20 21:25:00 4821.12 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:10:00 4850 ↑ High
2026-01-20 22:15:00 4830.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:40:00 4847.85 ↑ High
2026-01-20 23:10:00 4839.71 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 00:35:00 4880.65 ↑ High
2026-01-21 01:05:00 4866.03 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 01:25:00 4890 ↑ High
2026-01-21 02:10:00 4838.01 ↓ Low
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.05%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.07%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
116.4564
2.41%
TP to Pivot Distance
25.4627
0.52%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 04:30:00 4738.71 ↑ High
2026-01-20 06:00:00 4725.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 06:45:00 4736.5 ↑ High
2026-01-20 08:30:00 4715.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 09:00:00 4753.36 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:15:00 4725.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 13:15:00 4765.97 ↑ High
2026-01-20 15:15:00 4747.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 01:15:00 4890 ↑ High
2026-01-21 02:00:00 4838.01 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.65%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.71%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
233.3364
4.83%
TP to Pivot Distance
25.4627
0.52%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 04:00:00 4598.37 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 07:00:00 4610.96 ↑ High
2026-01-18 17:00:00 4607.92 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 18:00:00 4690.09 ↑ High
2026-01-19 02:00:00 4678.18 ↑ High
2026-01-19 06:00:00 4662.5 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 13:00:00 4678.67 ↑ High
2026-01-19 19:00:00 4659.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:00:00 4715.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 01:00:00 4890 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
21 Jan 2026
02:11:52
21 Jan 2026
03:05:00
53 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4842.65 4831.7064 4864.5373 2 5181.42
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4842.65
  • Stop Loss: 4831.7064
  • Take Profit: 4864.5373

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4831.7064 - 4842.65 = -10.9436

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4842.65 - 4864.5373 = -21.8873

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -21.8873 / -10.9436 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3540.0641 100 0.731 35.40
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -10.9436

Taille de position = 8 / -10.9436 = -0.73

Taille de position USD = -0.73 x 4842.65 = -3535.13

Donc, tu peux acheter -0.73 avec un stoploss a 4831.7064

Avec un position size USD de -3535.13$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -0.73 x -10.9436 = 7.99

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -0.73 x -21.8873 = 15.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -0.73
  • Taille de position USD -3535.13
  • Perte potentielle 7.99
  • Gain potentiel 15.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.45 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.23 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.45
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1167 % 51.64 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4864.5372
            [stop_loss] => 4831.7064
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 03:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4870.009
            [stop_loss] => 4831.7064
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 03:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4875.4808
            [stop_loss] => 4831.7064
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 04:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 28.280000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 5.6499999999996
            [rr_ratio] => 5.01
            [high] => 4870.93000000
            [low] => 4837.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.58
            [mae_pct] => 0.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.01
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-21T02:11:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T04:11:52-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 37.35
            [max_drawdown] => 5.6499999999996
            [rr_ratio] => 6.61
            [high] => 4880.00000000
            [low] => 4837.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.77
            [mae_pct] => 0.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.61
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-21T02:11:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T09:11:52-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4890.00000000
            [high_after] => 4878.32000000
            [low_before] => 4830.01000000
            [low_after] => 4837.00000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)