Short Trade on XMR 21 Jan 2026 at 05:27:04

Take profit at 489.7187 (1.97 %) and Stop Loss at 504.4806 (0.98 %)

Short Trade on XMR

The 21 Jan 2026 at 05:27:04

With 1.6258 XMR at 499.56$ per unit.

Position size of 812.1864 $

Take profit at 489.7187 (1.97 %) and Stop Loss at 504.4806 (0.98 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -70
ML Pullback Score: 1.09
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.9
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.82
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.31715

15m : 0.11025

1H : 0.087183

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 3.280429262
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 498.074
  4. ema21 : 514.081
  5. ema50 : 547.547
  6. ema100 : 573.655
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00298279
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0311365
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0611199
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.129163
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.408947
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.543737
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.441105
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.287458
  17. rsi : 0.39814
  18. adx : 0.503439
  19. kc_percentage : 0.276852
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.11686
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.407685
  22. volume_ema1 : 660666.25643141
  23. volume_ema2 : 1115398.1376626
  24. chop : 61.513
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 492.664
  29. ema21 : 494.814
  30. ema50 : 502.5
  31. ema100 : 519.246
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0139961
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00434516
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0152952
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0379144
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.134738
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.112885
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.10981
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.118526
  42. rsi : 0.520528
  43. adx : 0.348065
  44. kc_percentage : 0.713089
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0465091
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.217161
  47. volume_ema1 : 185362.13568354
  48. volume_ema2 : 236782.11489046
  49. chop : 52.7471
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 494.81
  54. ema21 : 492.601
  55. ema50 : 493.925
  56. ema100 : 496.227
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00959891
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00448402
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00268142
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00671544
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0992923
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0230986
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0177119
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0199523
  67. rsi : 0.64018
  68. adx : 0.281078
  69. kc_percentage : 1.01857
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0267147
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.349443
  72. volume_ema1 : 42317.021280364
  73. volume_ema2 : 65047.429083193
  74. chop : 32.7184
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    89338
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000807266
  81. 5m_price:
    89265.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.31715
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    89701.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0042627
  86. 15m_price:
    89319.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.11025
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92157.5
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0313769
  91. 1H_price:
    89265.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.087183
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
                        [1] => 611.07
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 23:00:00
                        [1] => 556.53
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 04:00:00
                        [1] => 607.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 08:00:00
                        [1] => 574.34
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 534.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 04:00:00
                        [1] => 649.67
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
                        [1] => 601.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 17:00:00
                        [1] => 639.23
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 20:00:00
                        [1] => 481.78
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 04:00:00
                        [1] => 481.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -22.071867715846
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.5246685232138
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 36
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.12469346190614
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:15:00
                        [1] => 498.06
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                        [1] => 517.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:15:00
                        [1] => 495.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:45:00
                        [1] => 527.4
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 20:45:00
                        [1] => 481.78
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 21:30:00
                        [1] => 510.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 22:15:00
                        [1] => 487.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 00:00:00
                        [1] => 509.91
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 04:30:00
                        [1] => 481.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 05:15:00
                        [1] => 500.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.43771111066696
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.5246685232138
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.9797996591712
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 23:30:00
                        [1] => 500.05
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 23:50:00
                        [1] => 494.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 00:05:00
                        [1] => 509.91
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 01:10:00
                        [1] => 498
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 02:35:00
                        [1] => 491
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 03:20:00
                        [1] => 498.17
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 03:35:00
                        [1] => 483.45
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 04:25:00
                        [1] => 491.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 04:40:00
                        [1] => 481.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 05:25:00
                        [1] => 500.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.43771111066696
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.5246685232138
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.9797996591712
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.44%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.52%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.98%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.4294
1.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.5387
1.74%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 23:30:00 500.05 ↑ High
2026-01-20 23:50:00 494.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 00:05:00 509.91 ↑ High
2026-01-21 01:10:00 498 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 02:35:00 491 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 03:20:00 498.17 ↑ High
2026-01-21 03:35:00 483.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 04:25:00 491.09 ↑ High
2026-01-21 04:40:00 481.18 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 05:25:00 500.33 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.44%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.52%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.98%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
22.9194
4.54%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.5387
1.74%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 14:15:00 498.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 517.6 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:15:00 495.61 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:45:00 527.4 ↑ High
2026-01-20 20:45:00 481.78 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:30:00 510.19 ↑ High
2026-01-20 22:15:00 487.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 00:00:00 509.91 ↑ High
2026-01-21 04:30:00 481.18 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 05:15:00 500.33 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-22.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.52%
Bars Since Swing High
36 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.12%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
145.1894
28.78%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.5387
1.74%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 10:00:00 611.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 23:00:00 556.53 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 04:00:00 607.66 ↑ High
2026-01-18 08:00:00 574.34 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 19:00:00 534.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 04:00:00 649.67 ↑ High
2026-01-19 13:00:00 601.48 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 17:00:00 639.23 ↑ High
2026-01-20 20:00:00 481.78 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 04:00:00 481.18 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
21 Jan 2026
05:27:04
21 Jan 2026
06:50:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
499.56 504.4806 489.7187 2 342.12
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 499.56
  • Stop Loss: 504.4806
  • Take Profit: 489.7187

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 504.4806 - 499.56 = 4.9206

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 499.56 - 489.7187 = 9.8413

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 9.8413 / 4.9206 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
812.1864 100 1.6258 8.12
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 4.9206

Taille de position = 8 / 4.9206 = 1.63

Taille de position USD = 1.63 x 499.56 = 814.28

Donc, tu peux acheter 1.63 avec un stoploss a 504.4806

Avec un position size USD de 814.28$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1.63 x 4.9206 = 8.02

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1.63 x 9.8413 = 16.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.04$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1.63
  • Taille de position USD 814.28
  • Perte potentielle 8.02
  • Gain potentiel 16.04
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.97 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.98 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.98
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.117 % 113.4 % 8

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 489.7187
            [entry_price] => 499.56
            [stop_loss] => 504.97266
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 06:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 489.7187
            [entry_price] => 499.56
            [stop_loss] => 505.46472
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 08:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 489.7187
            [entry_price] => 499.56
            [stop_loss] => 505.95678
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 08:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 489.7187
            [entry_price] => 499.56
            [stop_loss] => 506.9409
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 08:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.89
            [max_drawdown] => 5.58
            [rr_ratio] => 1.06
            [high] => 505.14000000
            [low] => 493.67000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.18
            [mae_pct] => 1.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.06
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-21T05:27:04-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T07:27:04-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 10.39
            [max_drawdown] => 25.21
            [rr_ratio] => 0.41
            [high] => 524.77000000
            [low] => 489.17000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.08
            [mae_pct] => 5.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.41
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-21T05:27:04-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T12:27:04-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 506.36000000
            [high_after] => 524.77000000
            [low_before] => 481.18000000
            [low_after] => 489.17000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)