Short Trade on XMR 21 Jan 2026 at 05:38:39

Take profit at 492.7088 (1.97 %) and Stop Loss at 507.5756 (0.99 %)

Short Trade on XMR

The 21 Jan 2026 at 05:38:39

With 1.6143 XMR at 502.62$ per unit.

Position size of 811.3937 $

Take profit at 492.7088 (1.97 %) and Stop Loss at 507.5756 (0.99 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 3.21
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.88
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.66
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.55
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.320666

15m : 0.088256

1H : 0.129666

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 3.30374778
Details
  1. score: 1.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 498.686
  4. ema21 : 514.359
  5. ema50 : 547.667
  6. ema100 : 573.715
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00788802
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0304707
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0608177
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.123921
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.39921
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.539522
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.439376
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.286608
  17. rsi : 0.4128
  18. adx : 0.499776
  19. kc_percentage : 0.328173
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.118783
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.350569
  22. volume_ema1 : 729643.81753141
  23. volume_ema2 : 1123513.1448509
  24. chop : 61.5512
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 493.8
  29. ema21 : 495.138
  30. ema50 : 502.31
  31. ema100 : 518.617
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0178605
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00270263
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0142773
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0308467
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0933211
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0960166
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.102465
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.114046
  42. rsi : 0.523299
  43. adx : 0.329986
  44. kc_percentage : 0.844394
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0442058
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.346174
  47. volume_ema1 : 149569.3909557
  48. volume_ema2 : 228760.40355377
  49. chop : 55.6698
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 496.713
  54. ema21 : 493.858
  55. ema50 : 494.499
  56. ema100 : 497.309
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0118908
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00578059
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00129575
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0106778
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.174633
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0712506
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00499093
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0119951
  67. rsi : 0.684053
  68. adx : 0.288313
  69. kc_percentage : 1.14495
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0267508
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.129908
  72. volume_ema1 : 79051.431309792
  73. volume_ema2 : 69962.658507674
  74. chop : 27.4764
  75. regime : bull_medium_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    89330.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000888686
  81. 5m_price:
    89250.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.320666
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    89694.9
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0044535
  86. 15m_price:
    89295.5
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.088256
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92157.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0315365
  91. 1H_price:
    89250.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.129666
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
                        [1] => 611.07
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 23:00:00
                        [1] => 556.53
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 04:00:00
                        [1] => 607.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 08:00:00
                        [1] => 574.34
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 534.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 04:00:00
                        [1] => 649.67
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
                        [1] => 601.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 17:00:00
                        [1] => 639.23
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 20:00:00
                        [1] => 481.78
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 04:00:00
                        [1] => 481.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -21.535284639332
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.2374994804439
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 36
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.12469346190614
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:15:00
                        [1] => 498.06
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                        [1] => 517.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:15:00
                        [1] => 495.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:45:00
                        [1] => 527.4
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 20:45:00
                        [1] => 481.78
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 21:30:00
                        [1] => 510.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 22:15:00
                        [1] => 487.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 00:00:00
                        [1] => 509.91
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 04:30:00
                        [1] => 481.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 05:30:00
                        [1] => 503.16
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.31600286191272
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.2374994804439
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.5679371544952
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 23:30:00
                        [1] => 500.05
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 23:50:00
                        [1] => 494.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 00:05:00
                        [1] => 509.91
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 01:10:00
                        [1] => 498
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 02:35:00
                        [1] => 491
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 03:20:00
                        [1] => 498.17
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 03:35:00
                        [1] => 483.45
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 04:25:00
                        [1] => 491.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 04:40:00
                        [1] => 481.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 05:35:00
                        [1] => 503.16
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.31600286191272
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.2374994804439
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.5679371544952
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.24%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.57%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.3344
0.46%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.5288
2.34%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 23:30:00 500.05 ↑ High
2026-01-20 23:50:00 494.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 00:05:00 509.91 ↑ High
2026-01-21 01:10:00 498 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 02:35:00 491 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 03:20:00 498.17 ↑ High
2026-01-21 03:35:00 483.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 04:25:00 491.09 ↑ High
2026-01-21 04:40:00 481.18 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 05:35:00 503.16 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.24%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.57%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.8244
3.91%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.5288
2.34%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 14:15:00 498.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 517.6 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:15:00 495.61 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:45:00 527.4 ↑ High
2026-01-20 20:45:00 481.78 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:30:00 510.19 ↑ High
2026-01-20 22:15:00 487.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 00:00:00 509.91 ↑ High
2026-01-21 04:30:00 481.18 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 05:30:00 503.16 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-21.54%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.24%
Bars Since Swing High
36 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.12%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
142.0944
27.99%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.5288
2.34%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 10:00:00 611.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 23:00:00 556.53 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 04:00:00 607.66 ↑ High
2026-01-18 08:00:00 574.34 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 19:00:00 534.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 04:00:00 649.67 ↑ High
2026-01-19 13:00:00 601.48 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 17:00:00 639.23 ↑ High
2026-01-20 20:00:00 481.78 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 04:00:00 481.18 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
21 Jan 2026
05:38:39
21 Jan 2026
08:45:00
3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
502.62 507.5756 492.7088 2 340.4
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 502.62
  • Stop Loss: 507.5756
  • Take Profit: 492.7088

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 507.5756 - 502.62 = 4.9556

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 502.62 - 492.7088 = 9.9112

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 9.9112 / 4.9556 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
811.3937 100 1.6143 8.11
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 4.9556

Taille de position = 8 / 4.9556 = 1.61

Taille de position USD = 1.61 x 502.62 = 809.22

Donc, tu peux acheter 1.61 avec un stoploss a 507.5756

Avec un position size USD de 809.22$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1.61 x 4.9556 = 7.98

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1.61 x 9.9112 = 15.96

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1.61
  • Taille de position USD 809.22
  • Perte potentielle 7.98
  • Gain potentiel 15.96
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.97 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.99 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.97
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5571 % 56.5 % 16

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 492.7088
            [stop_loss] => 507.5756
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 08:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 490.231
            [stop_loss] => 507.5756
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 08:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 487.7532
            [stop_loss] => 507.5756
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 09:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 485.2754
            [stop_loss] => 507.5756
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 09:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 482.7976
            [stop_loss] => 507.5756
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 09:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 480.3198
            [stop_loss] => 507.5756
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 09:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 477.842
            [stop_loss] => 507.5756
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 09:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 475.3642
            [stop_loss] => 507.5756
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 09:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 472.8864
            [stop_loss] => 507.5756
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 09:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 470.4086
            [stop_loss] => 507.5756
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 09:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 467.9308
            [stop_loss] => 507.5756
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 09:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 8.95
            [max_drawdown] => 2.52
            [rr_ratio] => 3.55
            [high] => 505.14000000
            [low] => 493.67000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.78
            [mae_pct] => 0.5
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.55
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-21T05:38:39-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T07:38:39-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 13.45
            [max_drawdown] => 22.15
            [rr_ratio] => 0.61
            [high] => 524.77000000
            [low] => 489.17000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.68
            [mae_pct] => 4.41
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.61
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-21T05:38:39-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T12:38:39-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 504.31000000
            [high_after] => 524.77000000
            [low_before] => 481.18000000
            [low_after] => 489.17000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)