Short Trade on XMR 21 Jan 2026 at 06:49:54

Take profit at 495.0129 (1.57 %) and Stop Loss at 506.8586 (0.79 %)

Short Trade on XMR

The 21 Jan 2026 at 06:49:54

With 2.0261 XMR at 502.91$ per unit.

Position size of 1018.9237 $

Take profit at 495.0129 (1.57 %) and Stop Loss at 506.8586 (0.79 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 4.38
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.72
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.62
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.78
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.353569

15m : 0.102661

1H : 0.029864

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0
  4. atr: 2.632372401
Details
  1. score: 1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 498.585
  4. ema21 : 512.829
  5. ema50 : 545.566
  6. ema100 : 571.288
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00867358
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0277753
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0600047
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.119691
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.340544
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.503225
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.427189
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.280778
  17. rsi : 0.416378
  18. adx : 0.48774
  19. kc_percentage : 0.352378
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.114622
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.442441
  22. volume_ema1 : 615982.84670983
  23. volume_ema2 : 1104785.2523177
  24. chop : 61.3062
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 498.132
  29. ema21 : 496.961
  30. ema50 : 501.463
  31. ema100 : 513.725
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00959038
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00235635
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00897752
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.021053
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0734733
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0070601
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0566558
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0791542
  42. rsi : 0.57509
  43. adx : 0.245857
  44. kc_percentage : 0.79604
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0401438
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.605207
  47. volume_ema1 : 83339.582334084
  48. volume_ema2 : 211097.09640248
  49. chop : 49.4969
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 499.54
  54. ema21 : 497.692
  55. ema50 : 496.153
  56. ema100 : 495.883
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00674472
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00371307
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00310171
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0141692
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0280126
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0470772
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0266642
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0125253
  67. rsi : 0.656833
  68. adx : 0.215684
  69. kc_percentage : 1.00364
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0200983
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.470161
  72. volume_ema1 : 28068.56422304
  73. volume_ema2 : 52975.650233468
  74. chop : 53.4307
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    89317.5
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00174333
  81. 5m_price:
    89161.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.353569
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    89692.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00591295
  86. 15m_price:
    89161.8
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.102661
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92117.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0320906
  91. 1H_price:
    89161.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.029864
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
                        [1] => 611.07
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 23:00:00
                        [1] => 556.53
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 04:00:00
                        [1] => 607.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 08:00:00
                        [1] => 574.34
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 534.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 04:00:00
                        [1] => 649.67
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
                        [1] => 601.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 17:00:00
                        [1] => 639.23
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 20:00:00
                        [1] => 481.78
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 04:00:00
                        [1] => 481.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -21.325657431597
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.5159815453676
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 37
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.12469346190614
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:15:00
                        [1] => 498.06
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                        [1] => 517.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:15:00
                        [1] => 495.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:45:00
                        [1] => 527.4
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 20:45:00
                        [1] => 481.78
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 21:30:00
                        [1] => 510.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 22:15:00
                        [1] => 487.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 00:00:00
                        [1] => 509.91
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 04:30:00
                        [1] => 481.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 06:45:00
                        [1] => 503.45
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10725990664415
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.5159815453676
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6282056610832
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 00:05:00
                        [1] => 509.91
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 01:10:00
                        [1] => 498
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 02:35:00
                        [1] => 491
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 03:20:00
                        [1] => 498.17
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 03:35:00
                        [1] => 483.45
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 04:25:00
                        [1] => 491.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 04:40:00
                        [1] => 481.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 05:35:00
                        [1] => 503.16
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 06:05:00
                        [1] => 493.67
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 06:45:00
                        [1] => 503.45
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10725990664415
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8716956671461
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9810804788624
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.87%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.98%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.0514
0.60%
TP to Pivot Distance
13.8329
2.79%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-21 00:05:00 509.91 ↑ High
2026-01-21 01:10:00 498 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 02:35:00 491 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 03:20:00 498.17 ↑ High
2026-01-21 03:35:00 483.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 04:25:00 491.09 ↑ High
2026-01-21 04:40:00 481.18 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 05:35:00 503.16 ↑ High
2026-01-21 06:05:00 493.67 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 06:45:00 503.45 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.52%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.63%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
20.5414
4.05%
TP to Pivot Distance
13.8329
2.79%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 14:15:00 498.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 517.6 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:15:00 495.61 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:45:00 527.4 ↑ High
2026-01-20 20:45:00 481.78 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 21:30:00 510.19 ↑ High
2026-01-20 22:15:00 487.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 00:00:00 509.91 ↑ High
2026-01-21 04:30:00 481.18 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 06:45:00 503.45 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-21.33%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.52%
Bars Since Swing High
37 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.12%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
142.8114
28.18%
TP to Pivot Distance
13.8329
2.79%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 10:00:00 611.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 23:00:00 556.53 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 04:00:00 607.66 ↑ High
2026-01-18 08:00:00 574.34 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 19:00:00 534.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 04:00:00 649.67 ↑ High
2026-01-19 13:00:00 601.48 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 17:00:00 639.23 ↑ High
2026-01-20 20:00:00 481.78 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 04:00:00 481.18 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
21 Jan 2026
06:49:54
21 Jan 2026
08:45:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
502.91 506.8586 495.0129 2 343.13
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 502.91
  • Stop Loss: 506.8586
  • Take Profit: 495.0129

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 506.8586 - 502.91 = 3.9486

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 502.91 - 495.0129 = 7.8971

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 7.8971 / 3.9486 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1018.9237 100 2.0261 10.19
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 3.9486

Taille de position = 8 / 3.9486 = 2.03

Taille de position USD = 2.03 x 502.91 = 1020.91

Donc, tu peux acheter 2.03 avec un stoploss a 506.8586

Avec un position size USD de 1020.91$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2.03 x 3.9486 = 8.02

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2.03 x 7.8971 = 16.03

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.03$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2.03
  • Taille de position USD 1020.91
  • Perte potentielle 8.02
  • Gain potentiel 16.03
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.57 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.79 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.57
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4991 % 63.56 % 13

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 495.0128
            [stop_loss] => 506.8586
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 08:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 493.0385
            [stop_loss] => 506.8586
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 08:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 491.0642
            [stop_loss] => 506.8586
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 08:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 489.0899
            [stop_loss] => 506.8586
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 09:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 487.1156
            [stop_loss] => 506.8586
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 09:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 485.1413
            [stop_loss] => 506.8586
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 09:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 483.167
            [stop_loss] => 506.8586
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 09:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 481.1927
            [stop_loss] => 506.8586
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 09:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 479.2184
            [stop_loss] => 506.8586
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 09:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 477.2441
            [stop_loss] => 506.8586
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 09:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 475.2698
            [stop_loss] => 506.8586
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 09:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 13.74
            [max_drawdown] => 2.51
            [rr_ratio] => 5.47
            [high] => 505.42000000
            [low] => 489.17000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.73
            [mae_pct] => 0.5
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.47
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-21T06:49:54-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T08:49:54-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 13.74
            [max_drawdown] => 21.86
            [rr_ratio] => 0.63
            [high] => 524.77000000
            [low] => 489.17000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.73
            [mae_pct] => 4.35
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.63
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-21T06:49:54-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T13:49:54-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 503.45000000
            [high_after] => 524.77000000
            [low_before] => 481.18000000
            [low_after] => 489.17000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)