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Short Trade on ARPA

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Short Trade on ARPA 21 Jan 2026 at 09:28:22

Take profit at 0.01535 (2.79 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01601 (1.39 %)

Short Trade on ARPA

The 21 Jan 2026 at 09:28:22

With 36146.2783 ARPA at 0.01579$ per unit.

Position size of 570.7497 $

Take profit at 0.01535 (2.79 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01601 (1.39 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.28
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.99
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.56
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.82
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.041868

15m : 0.178439

1H : 0.030011

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.0001475486158
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0156016
  4. ema21 : 0.0157996
  5. ema50 : 0.0160111
  6. ema100 : 0.0155404
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0120709
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0125298
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.013213
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0160556
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0311932
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.210276
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.125621
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0108759
  17. rsi : 0.483963
  18. adx : 0.0932987
  19. kc_percentage : 0.504774
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.150397
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.853116
  22. volume_ema1 : 130784.49386066
  23. volume_ema2 : 890397.04461841
  24. chop : 81.8398
  25. regime : range_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.0154322
  28. ema21 : 0.01548
  29. ema50 : 0.0155727
  30. ema100 : 0.0157118
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0231805
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00308503
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00595551
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.0049727
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.146329
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.107173
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0632576
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0477312
  41. rsi : 0.537497
  42. adx : 0.121695
  43. kc_percentage : 0.807454
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0647375
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.585468
  46. volume_ema1 : 21608.606501335
  47. volume_ema2 : 52127.814097432
  48. chop : 52.4891
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.015553
  52. ema21 : 0.0154551
  53. ema50 : 0.0154742
  54. ema100 : 0.0155286
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0152368
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00633351
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00123477
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0168271
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.145336
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0493618
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0034515
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.011178
  65. rsi : 0.664921
  66. adx : 0.189532
  67. kc_percentage : 1.05608
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0378451
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.0410971
  70. volume_ema1 : 11582.79691895
  71. volume_ema2 : 12079.217785673
  72. chop : 37.7801
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    89151.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00184778
  78. 5m_price: 
    89316
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.041868
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    89484.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000164084
  83. 15m_price: 
    89470.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.178439
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    91931.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0284545
  88. 1H_price: 
    89316
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.030011
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01299
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01368
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01172
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 08:00:00
                    [1] => 0.02267
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01789
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 17:00:00
                    [1] => 0.02209
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01535
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01474
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 01:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01616
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 08:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01507
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.4133663366337
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.6449900464499
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.2329130723291
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 16:45:00
                    [1] => 0.01548
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
                    [1] => 0.01616
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:30:00
                    [1] => 0.01474
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 22:15:00
                    [1] => 0.01597
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 23:30:00
                    [1] => 0.01522
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 01:30:00
                    [1] => 0.01616
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 03:30:00
                    [1] => 0.01527
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 06:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01606
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 08:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01507
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 09:15:00
                    [1] => 0.01586
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.56746532156368
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.6449900464499
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.242203052422
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 04:30:00
                    [1] => 0.01579
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 05:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01577
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 05:35:00
                    [1] => 0.01544
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 06:05:00
                    [1] => 0.01606
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 07:20:00
                    [1] => 0.01518
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 07:50:00
                    [1] => 0.0154
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 08:05:00
                    [1] => 0.01507
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 08:20:00
                    [1] => 0.01536
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 09:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01518
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 09:25:00
                    [1] => 0.01586
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.56746532156368
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.8866930171278
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.4795783926219
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.57%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.89%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.48%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0001
0.31%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0003
1.82%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-21 04:30:00 0.01579 ↑ High
2026-01-21 05:00:00 0.01577 ↑ High
2026-01-21 05:35:00 0.01544 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 06:05:00 0.01606 ↑ High
2026-01-21 07:20:00 0.01518 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 07:50:00 0.0154 ↑ High
2026-01-21 08:05:00 0.01507 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 08:20:00 0.01536 ↑ High
2026-01-21 09:00:00 0.01518 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 09:25:00 0.01586 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.57%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.64%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.24%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0002
0.94%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0006
3.97%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 16:45:00 0.01548 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:30:00 0.01616 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:30:00 0.01474 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 22:15:00 0.01597 ↑ High
2026-01-20 23:30:00 0.01522 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 01:30:00 0.01616 ↑ High
2026-01-21 03:30:00 0.01527 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 06:00:00 0.01606 ↑ High
2026-01-21 08:00:00 0.01507 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 09:15:00 0.01586 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.41%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.64%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.23%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0067
41.60%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0036
23.65%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 10:00:00 0.01299 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:00:00 0.01368 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 0.01172 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 08:00:00 0.02267 ↑ High
2026-01-19 15:00:00 0.01789 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 17:00:00 0.02209 ↑ High
2026-01-20 12:00:00 0.01535 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:00:00 0.01474 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 01:00:00 0.01616 ↑ High
2026-01-21 08:00:00 0.01507 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
21 Jan 2026
09:28:22		 21 Jan 2026
10:00:00		 31 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01579 0.01601 0.01535 2 0.00968
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01579
  • Stop Loss: 0.01601
  • Take Profit: 0.01535

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01601 - 0.01579 = 0.00022

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01579 - 0.01535 = 0.00044

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00044 / 0.00022 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
570.7497 100 36146.2783 5.71
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00022

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00022 = 36363.64

Taille de position USD = 36363.64 x 0.01579 = 574.18

Donc, tu peux acheter 36363.64 avec un stoploss a 0.01601

Avec un position size USD de 574.18$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 36363.64 x 0.00022 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 36363.64 x 0.00044 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 36363.64
  • Taille de position USD 574.18
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.79 % 15.9 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.39 % 7.95 $
PNL PNL %
-7.95 $ -1.39
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.1666 % 227.27 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01535
            [entry_price] => 0.01579
            [stop_loss] => 0.016032
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 10:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01535
            [entry_price] => 0.01579
            [stop_loss] => 0.016054
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 10:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01535
            [entry_price] => 0.01579
            [stop_loss] => 0.016076
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 10:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01535
            [entry_price] => 0.01579
            [stop_loss] => 0.01612
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-21 10:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00023
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00093
            [rr_ratio] => 0.25
            [high] => 0.01672000
            [low] => 0.01556000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.46
            [mae_pct] => 5.89
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.25
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-21T09:28:22-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T11:28:22-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00023
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00168
            [rr_ratio] => 0.14
            [high] => 0.01747000
            [low] => 0.01556000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.46
            [mae_pct] => 10.64
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-21T09:28:22-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T16:28:22-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.01606000
            [high_after] => 0.01747000
            [low_before] => 0.01507000
            [low_after] => 0.01556000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)