Short Trade on PLTR 21 Jan 2026 at 15:04:45
Take profit at 165.0608 (1.38 %) and Stop Loss at 168.5246 (0.69 %)
Short Trade on PLTR 21 Jan 2026 at 15:04:45
Take profit at 165.0608 (1.38 %) and Stop Loss at 168.5246 (0.69 %)
Position size of 1159.688 $
Take profit at 165.0608 (1.38 %) and Stop Loss at 168.5246 (0.69 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.99 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.68 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.95 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.543112 15m : -0.025853 1H : 0.155115 |
1 |
Indicators:
88896.3
0.0119239
89956.3
0.543112
89118.2
0.00940415
89956.3
-0.025853
91620.7
-0.0181671
89956.3
0.155115
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 12:00:00
[1] => 171.41
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
[1] => 171.41
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
[1] => 171.41
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 20:00:00
[1] => 171.44
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 04:00:00
[1] => 164.88
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 11:00:00
[1] => 172.01
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 18:00:00
[1] => 167.8
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 03:00:00
[1] => 170
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 09:00:00
[1] => 170.11
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 12:00:00
[1] => 161.29
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.657750867086
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.7200074400149
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4684109368219
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 18:45:00
[1] => 167.8
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 20:00:00
[1] => 169.91
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 22:30:00
[1] => 169.61
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 00:15:00
[1] => 169.03
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 03:45:00
[1] => 170
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 07:30:00
[1] => 167.18
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 09:00:00
[1] => 170.11
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 09:30:00
[1] => 166.1
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 12:30:00
[1] => 161.29
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 14:45:00
[1] => 167.8
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.30393325387367
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.7200074400149
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.0362080724162
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 08:40:00
[1] => 167.94
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 09:10:00
[1] => 170.11
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 09:20:00
[1] => 170.11
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 09:40:00
[1] => 166.1
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 10:00:00
[1] => 169.49
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 10:50:00
[1] => 169.33
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 12:40:00
[1] => 161.29
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 13:20:00
[1] => 161.87
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 14:05:00
[1] => 162.27
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 14:55:00
[1] => 167.8
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.30393325387367
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0936094164047
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4079004128921
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 08:40:00 | 167.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 09:10:00 | 170.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 09:20:00 | 170.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 09:40:00 | 166.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 10:00:00 | 169.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 10:50:00 | 169.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 12:40:00 | 161.29 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 13:20:00 | 161.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 14:05:00 | 162.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 14:55:00 | 167.8 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 18:45:00 | 167.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 20:00:00 | 169.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 22:30:00 | 169.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 00:15:00 | 169.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 03:45:00 | 170 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 07:30:00 | 167.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 09:00:00 | 170.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 09:30:00 | 166.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 12:30:00 | 161.29 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 14:45:00 | 167.8 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 12:00:00 | 171.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 13:00:00 | 171.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 14:00:00 | 171.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 20:00:00 | 171.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 04:00:00 | 164.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 11:00:00 | 172.01 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 18:00:00 | 167.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 03:00:00 | 170 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 09:00:00 | 170.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 12:00:00 | 161.29 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 15:04:45 |
21 Jan 2026 15:30:00 |
25 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167.37 | 168.5246 | 165.0608 | 2 | 135.55 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 168.5246 - 167.37 = 1.1546
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 167.37 - 165.0608 = 2.3092
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3092 / 1.1546 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1159.688 | 100 | 6.9289 | 11.60 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.1546 = 6.93
Taille de position USD = 6.93 x 167.37 = 1159.87
Donc, tu peux acheter 6.93 avec un stoploss a 168.5246
Avec un position size USD de 1159.87$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6.93 x 1.1546 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6.93 x 2.3092 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.38 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.69 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0777 % | 11.26 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 165.0608
[stop_loss] => 168.5246
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 15:30:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.31
[max_drawdown] => 0.13
[rr_ratio] => 17.77
[high] => 167.50000000
[low] => 165.06000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.38
[mae_pct] => 0.08
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 17.77
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-21T15:04:45-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-21T17:04:45-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.31
[max_drawdown] => 0.59999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 3.85
[high] => 167.97000000
[low] => 165.06000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.38
[mae_pct] => 0.36
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.85
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-21T15:04:45-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-21T22:04:45-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 168.68000000
[high_after] => 167.87000000
[low_before] => 161.29000000
[low_after] => 165.06000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)