Short Trade on APP 21 Jan 2026 at 18:14:36
Take profit at 533.2444 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 536.2828 (0.19 %)
Short Trade on APP 21 Jan 2026 at 18:14:36
Take profit at 533.2444 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 536.2828 (0.19 %)
Position size of 4228.0281 $
Take profit at 533.2444 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 536.2828 (0.19 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.82 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.350388 15m : -0.011974 1H : 0.059867 |
1 |
Indicators:
89576.6
0.00397975
89933.1
0.350388
89304.7
0.00703619
89933.1
-0.011974
91529.2
-0.0174381
89933.1
0.059867
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
[1] => 567.61
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
[1] => 567.61
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 15:00:00
[1] => 567.61
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 17:00:00
[1] => 567.61
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 19:00:00
[1] => 567.61
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 22:00:00
[1] => 536.37
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 04:00:00
[1] => 501.72
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 11:00:00
[1] => 578.23
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 20:00:00
[1] => 568.87
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 15:00:00
[1] => 530.08
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.9064461124686
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.97909749471777
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 22
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.3177633564745
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 01:30:00
[1] => 561.79
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 03:30:00
[1] => 564.99
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 04:15:00
[1] => 561.48
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 07:45:00
[1] => 550.2
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 09:15:00
[1] => 559.38
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 09:45:00
[1] => 536.93
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 12:15:00
[1] => 532.06
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 14:30:00
[1] => 546.41
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 15:30:00
[1] => 530.08
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 18:00:00
[1] => 535.27
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.97909749471777
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.97909749471777
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 13:30:00
[1] => 538.96
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 14:10:00
[1] => 532.97
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 14:30:00
[1] => 546.41
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 15:40:00
[1] => 530.08
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 16:15:00
[1] => 534.19
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 16:25:00
[1] => 534.19
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 17:00:00
[1] => 534.14
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 17:30:00
[1] => 532.97
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 17:40:00
[1] => 532.97
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 18:05:00
[1] => 535.27
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.43154398934273
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.43154398934273
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 13:30:00 | 538.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 14:10:00 | 532.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 14:30:00 | 546.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 15:40:00 | 530.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 16:15:00 | 534.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 16:25:00 | 534.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 17:00:00 | 534.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 17:30:00 | 532.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 17:40:00 | 532.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 18:05:00 | 535.27 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 01:30:00 | 561.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 03:30:00 | 564.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 04:15:00 | 561.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 07:45:00 | 550.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 09:15:00 | 559.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 09:45:00 | 536.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 12:15:00 | 532.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 14:30:00 | 546.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 15:30:00 | 530.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 18:00:00 | 535.27 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 13:00:00 | 567.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 14:00:00 | 567.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 15:00:00 | 567.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 17:00:00 | 567.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 19:00:00 | 567.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 22:00:00 | 536.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 04:00:00 | 501.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 11:00:00 | 578.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 20:00:00 | 568.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 15:00:00 | 530.08 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 18:14:36 |
21 Jan 2026 20:00:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 535.27 | 536.2828 | 533.2444 | 2 | 434 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 536.2828 - 535.27 = 1.0128
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 535.27 - 533.2444 = 2.0255999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.0255999999999 / 1.0128 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4228.0281 | 100 | 7.8989 | 42.28 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.0128 = 7.9
Taille de position USD = 7.9 x 535.27 = 4228.63
Donc, tu peux acheter 7.9 avec un stoploss a 536.2828
Avec un position size USD de 4228.63$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7.9 x 1.0128 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7.9 x 2.0255999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.19 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6539 % | 345.61 % | 7 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 533.2444
[stop_loss] => 536.2828
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 20:00:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 532.738
[stop_loss] => 536.2828
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 20:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 532.2316
[stop_loss] => 536.2828
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 20:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 531.7252
[stop_loss] => 536.2828
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 20:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 531.2188
[stop_loss] => 536.2828
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 20:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 530.7124
[stop_loss] => 536.2828
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 20:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 530.206
[stop_loss] => 536.2828
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 20:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 529.6996
[stop_loss] => 536.2828
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 20:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 529.1932
[stop_loss] => 536.2828
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 20:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 528.6868
[stop_loss] => 536.2828
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 20:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 528.1804
[stop_loss] => 536.2828
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-21 20:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.54
[max_drawdown] => 3.5
[rr_ratio] => 1.01
[high] => 538.77000000
[low] => 531.73000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.66
[mae_pct] => 0.65
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.01
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-21T18:14:36-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-21T20:14:36-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.54
[max_drawdown] => 4.58
[rr_ratio] => 0.77
[high] => 539.85000000
[low] => 531.73000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.66
[mae_pct] => 0.86
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.77
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-21T18:14:36-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-22T01:14:36-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 546.41000000
[high_after] => 539.85000000
[low_before] => 530.08000000
[low_after] => 531.73000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)