Long Trade on ARM 22 Jan 2026 at 14:58:51
Take profit at 120.1305 (0.53 %) and Stop Loss at 119.1847 (0.26 %)
Long Trade on ARM 22 Jan 2026 at 14:58:51
Take profit at 120.1305 (0.53 %) and Stop Loss at 119.1847 (0.26 %)
Position size of 3032.4111 $
Take profit at 120.1305 (0.53 %) and Stop Loss at 119.1847 (0.26 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.52 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.66 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.51 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.280793 15m : 0.04557 1H : -0.056719 |
0 |
Indicators:
89482.6
0.00316844
89766.2
0.280793
89472.6
0.0017588
89630
0.04557
90900.6
-0.0124804
89766.2
-0.056719
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
[1] => 106.03
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 15:00:00
[1] => 106.03
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 17:00:00
[1] => 106.03
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 19:00:00
[1] => 106.03
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 04:00:00
[1] => 102.15
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
[1] => 110.75
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 20:00:00
[1] => 109
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 10:00:00
[1] => 117.4
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 09:00:00
[1] => 123.39
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 14:00:00
[1] => 119.15
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.1526055596077
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.29374737725556
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.5585396558959
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 21:00:00
[1] => 117.14
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 21:30:00
[1] => 116.38
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-21 23:45:00
[1] => 117.52
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 01:30:00
[1] => 116.13
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 05:45:00
[1] => 121.8
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 08:30:00
[1] => 119.72
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 09:30:00
[1] => 123.39
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 11:15:00
[1] => 119.32
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 13:00:00
[1] => 121.51
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 14:45:00
[1] => 119.15
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6541848407539
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.29374737725556
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9806966009232
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 09:05:00
[1] => 119.72
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 09:40:00
[1] => 123.39
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 10:00:00
[1] => 119.64
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 11:15:00
[1] => 119.32
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 13:05:00
[1] => 121.51
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 13:25:00
[1] => 120.88
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 13:50:00
[1] => 121.36
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 14:00:00
[1] => 121.36
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 14:30:00
[1] => 120.58
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 14:55:00
[1] => 119.15
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.89567092386797
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.29374737725556
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2001678556441
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 09:05:00 | 119.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-22 09:40:00 | 123.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-22 10:00:00 | 119.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-22 11:15:00 | 119.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-22 13:05:00 | 121.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-22 13:25:00 | 120.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-22 13:50:00 | 121.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-22 14:00:00 | 121.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-22 14:30:00 | 120.58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-22 14:55:00 | 119.15 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 21:00:00 | 117.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 21:30:00 | 116.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-21 23:45:00 | 117.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-22 01:30:00 | 116.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-22 05:45:00 | 121.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-22 08:30:00 | 119.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-22 09:30:00 | 123.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-22 11:15:00 | 119.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-22 13:00:00 | 121.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-22 14:45:00 | 119.15 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 13:00:00 | 106.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 15:00:00 | 106.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 17:00:00 | 106.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 19:00:00 | 106.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 04:00:00 | 102.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 10:00:00 | 110.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 20:00:00 | 109 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-21 10:00:00 | 117.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-22 09:00:00 | 123.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-22 14:00:00 | 119.15 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2026 14:58:51 |
22 Jan 2026 15:20:00 |
21 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119.5 | 119.1847 | 120.1305 | 2 | 129.16 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 119.1847 - 119.5 = -0.31529999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 119.5 - 120.1305 = -0.6305
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.6305 / -0.31529999999999 = 1.9997
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3032.4111 | 100 | 25.3758 | 30.32 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.31529999999999 = -25.37
Taille de position USD = -25.37 x 119.5 = -3031.72
Donc, tu peux acheter -25.37 avec un stoploss a 119.1847
Avec un position size USD de -3031.72$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -25.37 x -0.31529999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -25.37 x -0.6305 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.53 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.53 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 5 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 120.1306
[stop_loss] => 119.1847
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-22 15:20:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 120.28825
[stop_loss] => 119.1847
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-22 15:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 120.4459
[stop_loss] => 119.1847
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-22 15:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 120.60355
[stop_loss] => 119.1847
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-22 15:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 120.7612
[stop_loss] => 119.1847
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-22 15:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 120.91885
[stop_loss] => 119.1847
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-22 15:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 121.0765
[stop_loss] => 119.1847
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-22 15:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 121.23415
[stop_loss] => 119.1847
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-22 15:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 121.3918
[stop_loss] => 119.1847
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-22 15:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 121.54945
[stop_loss] => 119.1847
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-22 15:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 121.7071
[stop_loss] => 119.1847
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-22 15:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.78
[max_drawdown] => 0.5
[rr_ratio] => 1.56
[high] => 120.28000000
[low] => 119.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.65
[mae_pct] => 0.42
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.56
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-22T14:58:51-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-22T16:58:51-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.37
[max_drawdown] => 1.07
[rr_ratio] => 1.28
[high] => 120.87000000
[low] => 118.43000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.15
[mae_pct] => 0.9
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.28
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-22T14:58:51-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-22T21:58:51-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 121.51000000
[high_after] => 120.87000000
[low_before] => 119.15000000
[low_after] => 118.43000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)