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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 22 Jan 2026 at 20:48:28

Take profit at 161.4176 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 162.3212 (0.19 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 22 Jan 2026 at 20:48:28

With 26.5619 MSTR at 162.02$ per unit.

Position size of 4303.5637 $

Take profit at 161.4176 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 162.3212 (0.19 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.94
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.7
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.47
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.66
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.620189

15m : -0.007887

1H : 0.014958

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.2007886302
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 161.782
  4. ema21 : 162.341
  5. ema50 : 163.173
  6. ema100 : 165.333
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00146951
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00344483
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0051011
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0200423
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.116729
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0675569
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0434444
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0478804
  17. rsi : 0.474507
  18. adx : 0.266237
  19. kc_percentage : 0.443202
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0318237
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.626789
  22. volume_ema1 : 446586.04692053
  23. volume_ema2 : 1196607.1792438
  24. chop : 53.2814
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 161.609
  28. ema21 : 161.601
  29. ema50 : 162.092
  30. ema100 : 162.752
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00254144
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 4.99073E-5
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00302808
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00450362
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0171154
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00739647
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0189772
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0176867
  41. rsi : 0.556387
  42. adx : 0.137923
  43. kc_percentage : 0.747049
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0107339
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.927406
  46. volume_ema1 : 17193.116056711
  47. volume_ema2 : 236841.16685664
  48. chop : 73.2125
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.778
  52. ema21 : 161.602
  53. ema50 : 161.54
  54. ema100 : 161.701
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00149517
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00108523
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000386141
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00196841
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0239893
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0152102
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00519547
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.000165467
  65. rsi : 0.678479
  66. adx : 0.146596
  67. kc_percentage : 1.03053
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0047415
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.810986
  70. volume_ema1 : 5185.8978142884
  71. volume_ema2 : 27436.656408927
  72. chop : 44.1599
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    89454.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00318146
  78. 5m_price: 
    89738.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.620189
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    89619.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00132771
  83. 15m_price: 
    89738.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.007887
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    90775.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0114185
  88. 1H_price: 
    89738.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.014958
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 19:00:00
                    [1] => 173.56
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                    [1] => 166.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
                    [1] => 159.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                    [1] => 158.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 00:00:00
                    [1] => 162.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 12:00:00
                    [1] => 156.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 14:00:00
                    [1] => 165.63
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-21 23:00:00
                    [1] => 164.94
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 10:00:00
                    [1] => 159.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 16:00:00
                    [1] => 160.73
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.8006547835577
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.77148012194364
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 21
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.56309829193517
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 09:30:00
                    [1] => 164.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 10:30:00
                    [1] => 159.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 11:45:00
                    [1] => 163.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 14:00:00
                    [1] => 161.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 14:45:00
                    [1] => 163.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 16:00:00
                    [1] => 160.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 18:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 18:30:00
                    [1] => 161.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 19:30:00
                    [1] => 161
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 20:45:00
                    [1] => 162.03
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.037030179596372
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.60248447204969
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.63975155279503
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 14:45:00
                    [1] => 163.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 16:00:00
                    [1] => 160.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 16:55:00
                    [1] => 160.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 17:30:00
                    [1] => 160.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 17:40:00
                    [1] => 161.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 18:00:00
                    [1] => 160.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 18:30:00
                    [1] => 161.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 19:30:00
                    [1] => 161
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 20:00:00
                    [1] => 161.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-22 20:45:00
                    [1] => 162.03
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.037030179596372
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.54003724394786
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.57728119180634
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.54%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.58%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.4088
0.87%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6876
0.43%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-22 14:45:00 163.73 ↑ High
2026-01-22 16:00:00 160.73 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 16:55:00 160.88 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 17:30:00 160.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 17:40:00 161.27 ↑ High
2026-01-22 18:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 18:30:00 161.77 ↑ High
2026-01-22 19:30:00 161 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 20:00:00 161.1 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 20:45:00 162.03 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.60%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.64%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.3688
1.46%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5876
0.98%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-22 09:30:00 164.69 ↑ High
2026-01-22 10:30:00 159.83 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 11:45:00 163.08 ↑ High
2026-01-22 14:00:00 161.16 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 14:45:00 163.73 ↑ High
2026-01-22 16:00:00 160.73 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 18:00:00 160.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 18:30:00 161.77 ↑ High
2026-01-22 19:30:00 161 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 20:45:00 162.03 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.80%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.77%
Bars Since Swing High
21 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.56%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.2388
6.92%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.8076
2.98%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 19:00:00 173.56 ↑ High
2026-01-20 07:00:00 166.22 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:00:00 159.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:00:00 158.52 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 00:00:00 162.59 ↑ High
2026-01-21 12:00:00 156.61 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 14:00:00 165.63 ↑ High
2026-01-21 23:00:00 164.94 ↑ High
2026-01-22 10:00:00 159.83 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 16:00:00 160.73 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
22 Jan 2026
20:48:28		 22 Jan 2026
21:10:00		 21 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
162.02 162.3212 161.4176 2 133.41
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 162.02
  • Stop Loss: 162.3212
  • Take Profit: 161.4176

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 162.3212 - 162.02 = 0.30119999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 162.02 - 161.4176 = 0.60240000000002

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.60240000000002 / 0.30119999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4303.5637 100 26.5619 43.04
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.30119999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.30119999999999 = 26.56

Taille de position USD = 26.56 x 162.02 = 4303.25

Donc, tu peux acheter 26.56 avec un stoploss a 162.3212

Avec un position size USD de 4303.25$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 26.56 x 0.30119999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 26.56 x 0.60240000000002 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 26.56
  • Taille de position USD 4303.25
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.37 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.19 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.19
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2345 % 126.14 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.4176
            [entry_price] => 162.02
            [stop_loss] => 162.35132
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-22 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.4176
            [entry_price] => 162.02
            [stop_loss] => 162.38144
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-22 21:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.36000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.38
            [rr_ratio] => 0.95
            [high] => 162.40000000
            [low] => 161.66000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.22
            [mae_pct] => 0.23
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.95
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-22T20:48:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-22T22:48:28-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.75
            [max_drawdown] => 0.38
            [rr_ratio] => 1.97
            [high] => 162.40000000
            [low] => 161.27000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.46
            [mae_pct] => 0.23
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.97
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-22T20:48:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-23T03:48:28-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 162.03000000
            [high_after] => 162.40000000
            [low_before] => 160.79000000
            [low_after] => 161.65000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)