Short Trade on AVAX 23 Jan 2026 at 06:40:18

Take profit at 12.152 (0.44 %) and Stop Loss at 12.233 (0.22 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 23 Jan 2026 at 06:40:18

With 296.0385 AVAX at 12.206$ per unit.

Position size of 3613.4463 $

Take profit at 12.152 (0.44 %) and Stop Loss at 12.233 (0.22 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 6.46
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.73
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.46
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.68
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.64586

15m : -0.100924

1H : -0.075633

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.01801567284
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.1811
  4. ema21 : 12.2116
  5. ema50 : 12.2742
  6. ema100 : 12.3749
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00203711
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00249494
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00509834
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0136562
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.000215986
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0237338
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.029783
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0308421
  17. rsi : 0.487475
  18. adx : 0.186035
  19. kc_percentage : 0.491797
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0316409
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.23305
  22. volume_ema1 : 391782.84274668
  23. volume_ema2 : 510832.53544599
  24. chop : 60.354
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 12.169
  29. ema21 : 12.1725
  30. ema50 : 12.1954
  31. ema100 : 12.2331
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00303994
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0002875
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00188533
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00222072
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0118798
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0188011
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0173494
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0149418
  42. rsi : 0.53198
  43. adx : 0.171236
  44. kc_percentage : 0.720033
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.01284
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.54471
  47. volume_ema1 : 47644.585168452
  48. volume_ema2 : 104646.71217532
  49. chop : 52.615
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 12.1893
  54. ema21 : 12.1718
  55. ema50 : 12.1674
  56. ema100 : 12.1903
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00136741
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00143434
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000359965
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00128067
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0293162
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0221022
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00702252
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00135754
  67. rsi : 0.647405
  68. adx : 0.229311
  69. kc_percentage : 1.0171
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0052408
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.850525
  72. volume_ema1 : 4968.7683786595
  73. volume_ema2 : 33241.573488817
  74. chop : 52.6227
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    89376.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00123501
  81. 5m_price:
    89266.3
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.64586
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    89532.2
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00315196
  86. 15m_price:
    89250
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.100924
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    90288.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0113254
  91. 1H_price:
    89266.3
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.075633
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
                        [1] => 12.849
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 18:00:00
                        [1] => 12.615
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 00:00:00
                        [1] => 12.757
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:00:00
                        [1] => 11.948
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 00:00:00
                        [1] => 12.378
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 11:00:00
                        [1] => 11.869
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-21 16:00:00
                        [1] => 12.714
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 10:00:00
                        [1] => 12.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.36
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.041
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3349514563107
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2789635412341
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.6492816211278
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 14:00:00
                        [1] => 12.072
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 15:30:00
                        [1] => 12.076
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 17:00:00
                        [1] => 12.199
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 18:00:00
                        [1] => 12.111
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 21:00:00
                        [1] => 12.297
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 22:00:00
                        [1] => 12.198
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 23:45:00
                        [1] => 12.36
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 03:45:00
                        [1] => 12.041
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 04:15:00
                        [1] => 12.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 06:30:00
                        [1] => 12.208
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1064875491481
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2789635412341
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.22988505747127
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 23:10:00
                        [1] => 12.353
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 23:50:00
                        [1] => 12.36
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 00:55:00
                        [1] => 12.251
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 01:20:00
                        [1] => 12.319
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 01:25:00
                        [1] => 12.235
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 02:45:00
                        [1] => 12.101
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 03:50:00
                        [1] => 12.041
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 04:15:00
                        [1] => 12.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 05:10:00
                        [1] => 12.168
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 06:35:00
                        [1] => 12.208
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1064875491481
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.61881188118813
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.32873109796187
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.62%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.33%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1270
1.04%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1110
0.91%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-22 23:10:00 12.353 ↑ High
2026-01-22 23:50:00 12.36 ↑ High
2026-01-23 00:55:00 12.251 ↓ Low
2026-01-23 01:20:00 12.319 ↑ High
2026-01-23 01:25:00 12.235 ↓ Low
2026-01-23 02:45:00 12.101 ↓ Low
2026-01-23 03:50:00 12.041 ↓ Low
2026-01-23 04:15:00 12.18 ↑ High
2026-01-23 05:10:00 12.168 ↑ High
2026-01-23 06:35:00 12.208 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.28%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.23%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1270
1.04%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1110
0.91%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-22 14:00:00 12.072 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 15:30:00 12.076 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 17:00:00 12.199 ↑ High
2026-01-22 18:00:00 12.111 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 21:00:00 12.297 ↑ High
2026-01-22 22:00:00 12.198 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 23:45:00 12.36 ↑ High
2026-01-23 03:45:00 12.041 ↓ Low
2026-01-23 04:15:00 12.18 ↑ High
2026-01-23 06:30:00 12.208 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.33%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.28%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.65%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.6160
5.04%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2830
2.33%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 14:00:00 12.849 ↑ High
2026-01-19 18:00:00 12.615 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 00:00:00 12.757 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:00:00 11.948 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 00:00:00 12.378 ↑ High
2026-01-21 11:00:00 11.869 ↓ Low
2026-01-21 16:00:00 12.714 ↑ High
2026-01-22 10:00:00 12.03 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 23:00:00 12.36 ↑ High
2026-01-23 03:00:00 12.041 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
23 Jan 2026
06:40:18
23 Jan 2026
09:30:00
2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.206 12.233 12.152 2 9.139
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.206
  • Stop Loss: 12.233
  • Take Profit: 12.152

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.233 - 12.206 = 0.027000000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.206 - 12.152 = 0.054

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.054 / 0.027000000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3613.4463 100 296.0385 36.13
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.027000000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.027000000000001 = 296.3

Taille de position USD = 296.3 x 12.206 = 3616.64

Donc, tu peux acheter 296.3 avec un stoploss a 12.233

Avec un position size USD de 3616.64$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 296.3 x 0.027000000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 296.3 x 0.054 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 296.3
  • Taille de position USD 3616.64
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.44 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.22 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
15.99 $ 0.44
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1884 % 85.17 % 9

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.152
            [stop_loss] => 12.233
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-23 09:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.1385
            [stop_loss] => 12.233
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-23 09:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.125
            [stop_loss] => 12.233
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-23 09:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.1115
            [stop_loss] => 12.233
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-23 09:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.098
            [stop_loss] => 12.233
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-23 09:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.0845
            [stop_loss] => 12.233
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-23 09:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.071
            [stop_loss] => 12.233
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-23 09:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.0575
            [stop_loss] => 12.233
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-23 09:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.044
            [stop_loss] => 12.233
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-23 09:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.0305
            [stop_loss] => 12.233
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-23 09:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.017
            [stop_loss] => 12.233
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-23 09:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.045
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0020000000000007
            [rr_ratio] => 22.5
            [high] => 12.20800000
            [low] => 12.16100000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.37
            [mae_pct] => 0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 22.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-23T06:40:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-23T08:40:18-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.219
            [max_drawdown] => 0.286
            [rr_ratio] => 0.77
            [high] => 12.49200000
            [low] => 11.98700000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.79
            [mae_pct] => 2.34
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.77
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-23T06:40:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-23T13:40:18-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.20800000
            [high_after] => 12.49200000
            [low_before] => 12.04100000
            [low_after] => 11.98700000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)