Short Trade on XMR 25 Jan 2026 at 03:25:33

Take profit at 490.2356 (1.24 %) and Stop Loss at 499.4372 (0.62 %)

Short Trade on XMR

The 25 Jan 2026 at 03:25:33

With 2.6082 XMR at 496.37$ per unit.

Position size of 1294.6469 $

Take profit at 490.2356 (1.24 %) and Stop Loss at 499.4372 (0.62 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.65
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.51
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.55
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.225124

15m : 0.103761

1H : 0.0423

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 2.044809784
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 496.046
  4. ema21 : 502.817
  5. ema50 : 509.288
  6. ema100 : 511.226
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000651851
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0134656
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0127054
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0290613
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.277579
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.206197
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.112305
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0561773
  17. rsi : 0.391968
  18. adx : 0.209322
  19. kc_percentage : 0.297767
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0599711
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.525639
  22. volume_ema1 : 741926.87104147
  23. volume_ema2 : 486305.41996559
  24. chop : 42.0606
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 491.419
  29. ema21 : 493.218
  30. ema50 : 499.143
  31. ema100 : 505.672
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0100745
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00364804
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0118697
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0183963
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0412099
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0884404
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0878956
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0676275
  42. rsi : 0.483885
  43. adx : 0.312318
  44. kc_percentage : 0.72334
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.030343
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.397244
  47. volume_ema1 : 98561.100901883
  48. volume_ema2 : 163517.5606554
  49. chop : 55.2874
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 493.391
  54. ema21 : 492.072
  55. ema50 : 492.663
  56. ema100 : 495.36
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00603611
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00268075
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00119864
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00203717
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.044465
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0245496
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00263559
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0139563
  67. rsi : 0.639275
  68. adx : 0.193516
  69. kc_percentage : 1.04237
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.015776
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.315492
  72. volume_ema1 : 94277.412649563
  73. volume_ema2 : 71666.997037916
  74. chop : 47.4499
  75. regime : range_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    88918.9
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00246666
  81. 5m_price:
    88699.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.225124
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    89191.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00576475
  86. 15m_price:
    88677.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.103761
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    89466
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00856686
  91. 1H_price:
    88699.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.0423
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 05:00:00
                        [1] => 521.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 08:00:00
                        [1] => 494.45
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 15:00:00
                        [1] => 530.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 01:00:00
                        [1] => 536.38
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 08:00:00
                        [1] => 508.16
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 12:00:00
                        [1] => 531.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 20:00:00
                        [1] => 500.6
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 04:00:00
                        [1] => 531.98
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 10:00:00
                        [1] => 506.41
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 02:00:00
                        [1] => 482.71
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.4024963344487
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1509602038491
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 23
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.9097801992915
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 10:30:00
                        [1] => 506.41
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 12:15:00
                        [1] => 517.65
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 14:15:00
                        [1] => 507.84
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 16:15:00
                        [1] => 506.84
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 16:30:00
                        [1] => 514.88
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 18:00:00
                        [1] => 501.88
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 20:00:00
                        [1] => 510.12
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 01:45:00
                        [1] => 494.73
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 02:00:00
                        [1] => 482.71
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:15:00
                        [1] => 498.63
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14239014900828
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1509602038491
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.2980464461064
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 21:40:00
                        [1] => 502.81
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 23:00:00
                        [1] => 489.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 23:45:00
                        [1] => 497.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 00:30:00
                        [1] => 485.7
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 01:05:00
                        [1] => 484.6
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 01:45:00
                        [1] => 494.73
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 02:00:00
                        [1] => 482.71
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 02:25:00
                        [1] => 493.73
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 02:50:00
                        [1] => 487.99
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:25:00
                        [1] => 498.63
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14239014900828
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0348777638886
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1803725486178
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.03%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.18%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.8072
0.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.5256
1.54%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-24 21:40:00 502.81 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 23:00:00 489.75 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 23:45:00 497.09 ↑ High
2026-01-25 00:30:00 485.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 01:05:00 484.6 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 01:45:00 494.73 ↑ High
2026-01-25 02:00:00 482.71 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 02:25:00 493.73 ↑ High
2026-01-25 02:50:00 487.99 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 03:25:00 498.63 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.15%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.30%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
18.2128
3.65%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.5256
1.54%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-24 10:30:00 506.41 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 12:15:00 517.65 ↑ High
2026-01-24 14:15:00 507.84 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 16:15:00 506.84 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 16:30:00 514.88 ↑ High
2026-01-24 18:00:00 501.88 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 20:00:00 510.12 ↑ High
2026-01-25 01:45:00 494.73 ↑ High
2026-01-25 02:00:00 482.71 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 03:15:00 498.63 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-6.40%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.15%
Bars Since Swing High
23 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.91%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
36.9428
7.40%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.5256
1.54%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-22 05:00:00 521.95 ↑ High
2026-01-22 08:00:00 494.45 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 15:00:00 530.68 ↑ High
2026-01-23 01:00:00 536.38 ↑ High
2026-01-23 08:00:00 508.16 ↓ Low
2026-01-23 12:00:00 531.33 ↑ High
2026-01-23 20:00:00 500.6 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 04:00:00 531.98 ↑ High
2026-01-24 10:00:00 506.41 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 02:00:00 482.71 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Jan 2026
03:25:33
25 Jan 2026
03:45:00
19 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
496.37 499.4372 490.2356 2 342.55
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 496.37
  • Stop Loss: 499.4372
  • Take Profit: 490.2356

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 499.4372 - 496.37 = 3.0672

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 496.37 - 490.2356 = 6.1344

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.1344 / 3.0672 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1294.6469 100 2.6082 12.95
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 3.0672

Taille de position = 8 / 3.0672 = 2.61

Taille de position USD = 2.61 x 496.37 = 1295.53

Donc, tu peux acheter 2.61 avec un stoploss a 499.4372

Avec un position size USD de 1295.53$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2.61 x 3.0672 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2.61 x 6.1344 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2.61
  • Taille de position USD 1295.53
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.24 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.62 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3123 % 50.54 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 490.2356
            [stop_loss] => 499.4372
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 03:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 488.702
            [stop_loss] => 499.4372
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 03:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 487.1684
            [stop_loss] => 499.4372
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 05:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 485.6348
            [stop_loss] => 499.4372
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 05:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 484.1012
            [stop_loss] => 499.4372
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 06:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 482.5676
            [stop_loss] => 499.4372
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 06:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 481.034
            [stop_loss] => 499.4372
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 06:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 479.5004
            [stop_loss] => 499.4372
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 09:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 477.9668
            [stop_loss] => 499.4372
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 09:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 476.4332
            [stop_loss] => 499.4372
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 09:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 474.8996
            [stop_loss] => 499.4372
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 09:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 10.22
            [max_drawdown] => 1.55
            [rr_ratio] => 6.59
            [high] => 497.92000000
            [low] => 486.15000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.06
            [mae_pct] => 0.31
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.59
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-25T03:25:33-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-25T05:25:33-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 32.8
            [max_drawdown] => 1.55
            [rr_ratio] => 21.16
            [high] => 497.92000000
            [low] => 463.57000000
            [mfe_pct] => 6.61
            [mae_pct] => 0.31
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 21.16
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-25T03:25:33-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-25T10:25:33-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 498.63000000
            [high_after] => 497.92000000
            [low_before] => 482.71000000
            [low_after] => 474.03000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)