Short Trade on AVAX 25 Jan 2026 at 04:48:30

Take profit at 11.9133 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 11.9968 (0.23 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 25 Jan 2026 at 04:48:30

With 287.4922 AVAX at 11.969$ per unit.

Position size of 3440.9943 $

Take profit at 11.9133 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 11.9968 (0.23 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.9
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.83
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.63
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.77
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.675067

15m : -0.097544

1H : -0.011829

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.18
  4. atr: 0.01855122706
Details
  1. score: 1.18
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 11.957
  4. ema21 : 12.0037
  5. ema50 : 12.078
  6. ema100 : 12.1427
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00100322
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00389401
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00615313
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0143095
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.072287
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0586287
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0446659
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0309748
  17. rsi : 0.444164
  18. adx : 0.366473
  19. kc_percentage : 0.390393
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0239089
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.042661
  22. volume_ema1 : 302778.65837066
  23. volume_ema2 : 316271.10084649
  24. chop : 42.2363
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 11.9277
  29. ema21 : 11.9342
  30. ema50 : 11.9694
  31. ema100 : 12.0085
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00345962
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000549572
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00293878
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00329326
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0139177
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0222713
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0225367
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0173929
  42. rsi : 0.553996
  43. adx : 0.31804
  44. kc_percentage : 0.759148
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0115604
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.103485
  47. volume_ema1 : 75425.186024727
  48. volume_ema2 : 68351.77917184
  49. chop : 39.8718
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 11.9301
  54. ema21 : 11.9176
  55. ema50 : 11.9239
  56. ema100 : 11.9427
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00325535
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00105114
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000526091
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00220087
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0206
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.00267863
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00450455
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0059437
  67. rsi : 0.700763
  68. adx : 0.242294
  69. kc_percentage : 1.17887
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00629161
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.0665777
  72. volume_ema1 : 27947.978903475
  73. volume_ema2 : 29941.411853945
  74. chop : 20.8276
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    88753.3
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00427882
  81. 5m_price:
    88373.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.675067
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    89096.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00811221
  86. 15m_price:
    88373.6
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.097544
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    89395.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0114298
  91. 1H_price:
    88373.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.011829
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 10:00:00
                        [1] => 12.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.36
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.041
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 09:00:00
                        [1] => 11.987
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 12:00:00
                        [1] => 12.492
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.174
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 07:00:00
                        [1] => 12.138
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 11:00:00
                        [1] => 11.962
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 17:00:00
                        [1] => 12.116
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:00:00
                        [1] => 11.826
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2380323539122
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1838322340605
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4522239134111
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 10:15:00
                        [1] => 12.103
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 11:15:00
                        [1] => 11.962
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 13:30:00
                        [1] => 12.05
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 14:15:00
                        [1] => 12.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 17:00:00
                        [1] => 12.116
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 20:00:00
                        [1] => 12.074
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 22:30:00
                        [1] => 11.851
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 00:45:00
                        [1] => 11.986
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:30:00
                        [1] => 11.826
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 04:45:00
                        [1] => 11.98
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11686143572622
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1838322340605
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3022154574666
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 22:30:00
                        [1] => 11.851
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 23:30:00
                        [1] => 11.985
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 00:10:00
                        [1] => 11.945
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 00:55:00
                        [1] => 11.986
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 01:10:00
                        [1] => 11.919
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 01:40:00
                        [1] => 11.965
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 02:15:00
                        [1] => 11.881
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:20:00
                        [1] => 11.938
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:40:00
                        [1] => 11.826
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 04:45:00
                        [1] => 11.98
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11686143572622
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1838322340605
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3022154574666
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.18%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.30%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0108
0.09%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0873
0.73%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-24 22:30:00 11.851 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 23:30:00 11.985 ↑ High
2026-01-25 00:10:00 11.945 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 00:55:00 11.986 ↑ High
2026-01-25 01:10:00 11.919 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 01:40:00 11.965 ↑ High
2026-01-25 02:15:00 11.881 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 03:20:00 11.938 ↑ High
2026-01-25 03:40:00 11.826 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 04:45:00 11.98 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.12%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.18%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.30%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1192
0.99%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0873
0.73%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-24 10:15:00 12.103 ↑ High
2026-01-24 11:15:00 11.962 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 13:30:00 12.05 ↑ High
2026-01-24 14:15:00 12.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 17:00:00 12.116 ↑ High
2026-01-24 20:00:00 12.074 ↑ High
2026-01-24 22:30:00 11.851 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 00:45:00 11.986 ↑ High
2026-01-25 03:30:00 11.826 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 04:45:00 11.98 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.18%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.45%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4952
4.13%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0873
0.73%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-22 10:00:00 12.03 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 23:00:00 12.36 ↑ High
2026-01-23 03:00:00 12.041 ↓ Low
2026-01-23 09:00:00 11.987 ↓ Low
2026-01-23 12:00:00 12.492 ↑ High
2026-01-23 23:00:00 12.174 ↑ High
2026-01-24 07:00:00 12.138 ↑ High
2026-01-24 11:00:00 11.962 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 17:00:00 12.116 ↑ High
2026-01-25 03:00:00 11.826 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Jan 2026
04:48:30
25 Jan 2026
05:20:00
31 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
11.969 11.9968 11.9133 2 9.248
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 11.969
  • Stop Loss: 11.9968
  • Take Profit: 11.9133

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 11.9968 - 11.969 = 0.027800000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 11.969 - 11.9133 = 0.0557

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0557 / 0.027800000000001 = 2.0036

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3440.9943 100 287.4922 34.41
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.027800000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.027800000000001 = 287.77

Taille de position USD = 287.77 x 11.969 = 3444.32

Donc, tu peux acheter 287.77 avec un stoploss a 11.9968

Avec un position size USD de 3444.32$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 287.77 x 0.027800000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 287.77 x 0.0557 = 16.03

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.03$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 287.77
  • Taille de position USD 3444.32
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.03
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0036

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.47 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.23 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.99 $ -0.23
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.376 % 161.86 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.9133
            [entry_price] => 11.969
            [stop_loss] => 11.99958
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.9133
            [entry_price] => 11.969
            [stop_loss] => 12.00236
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.9133
            [entry_price] => 11.969
            [stop_loss] => 12.00514
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.9133
            [entry_price] => 11.969
            [stop_loss] => 12.0107
            [rr_ratio] => 1.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.026
            [max_drawdown] => 0.091000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 0.29
            [high] => 12.06000000
            [low] => 11.94300000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.22
            [mae_pct] => 0.76
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.29
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-25T04:48:30-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-25T06:48:30-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.404
            [max_drawdown] => 0.091000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 4.44
            [high] => 12.06000000
            [low] => 11.56500000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.38
            [mae_pct] => 0.76
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.44
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-25T04:48:30-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-25T11:48:30-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 11.98600000
            [high_after] => 12.06000000
            [low_before] => 11.82600000
            [low_after] => 11.80700000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)