Short Trade on AVAX 25 Jan 2026 at 05:12:16

Take profit at 11.921 (0.41 %) and Stop Loss at 11.9945 (0.2 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 25 Jan 2026 at 05:12:16

With 326.7473 AVAX at 11.97$ per unit.

Position size of 3911.1654 $

Take profit at 11.921 (0.41 %) and Stop Loss at 11.9945 (0.2 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.28
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.82
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.68
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.55
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.685443

15m : -0.215186

1H : 0.061867

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.01632250066
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 11.9573
  4. ema21 : 11.9995
  5. ema50 : 12.073
  6. ema100 : 12.137
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00105678
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00351327
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00608828
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0137624
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0770177
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.062112
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0466135
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0319152
  17. rsi : 0.44648
  18. adx : 0.37409
  19. kc_percentage : 0.401234
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.022218
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.225244
  22. volume_ema1 : 225803.775736
  23. volume_ema2 : 291451.79126247
  24. chop : 42.4375
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 11.9339
  29. ema21 : 11.9363
  30. ema50 : 11.9688
  31. ema100 : 12.0064
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00302099
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000203924
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00270988
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00303418
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.000700601
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0156167
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0196228
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0158597
  42. rsi : 0.553968
  43. adx : 0.298189
  44. kc_percentage : 0.752421
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.011436
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.0742522
  47. volume_ema1 : 74234.79417204
  48. volume_ema2 : 69103.69215274
  49. chop : 40.2134
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 11.9514
  54. ema21 : 11.9339
  55. ema50 : 11.93
  56. ema100 : 11.9414
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00155304
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00146903
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000320215
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00239161
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0437721
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0224709
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00638767
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.000362897
  67. rsi : 0.680422
  68. adx : 0.260148
  69. kc_percentage : 1.06197
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00524735
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.31706
  72. volume_ema1 : 17605.377891267
  73. volume_ema2 : 25778.821832001
  74. chop : 31.3192
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    88724.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0029146
  81. 5m_price:
    88465.7
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.685443
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    89080.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00689767
  86. 15m_price:
    88465.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.215186
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    89316.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00953115
  91. 1H_price:
    88465.7
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.061867
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 10:00:00
                        [1] => 12.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.36
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.041
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 09:00:00
                        [1] => 11.987
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 12:00:00
                        [1] => 12.492
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.174
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 07:00:00
                        [1] => 12.138
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 11:00:00
                        [1] => 11.962
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 17:00:00
                        [1] => 12.116
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:00:00
                        [1] => 11.826
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2050181578078
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2176560121766
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4522239134111
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 10:15:00
                        [1] => 12.103
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 11:15:00
                        [1] => 11.962
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 13:30:00
                        [1] => 12.05
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 14:15:00
                        [1] => 12.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 17:00:00
                        [1] => 12.116
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 20:00:00
                        [1] => 12.074
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 22:30:00
                        [1] => 11.851
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 00:45:00
                        [1] => 11.986
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:30:00
                        [1] => 11.826
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 04:45:00
                        [1] => 11.98
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.083472454090148
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2176560121766
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3022154574666
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 22:30:00
                        [1] => 11.851
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 23:30:00
                        [1] => 11.985
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 00:10:00
                        [1] => 11.945
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 00:55:00
                        [1] => 11.986
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 01:10:00
                        [1] => 11.919
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 01:40:00
                        [1] => 11.965
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 02:15:00
                        [1] => 11.881
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:20:00
                        [1] => 11.938
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:40:00
                        [1] => 11.826
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 04:45:00
                        [1] => 11.98
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.083472454090148
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2176560121766
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3022154574666
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.22%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.30%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0085
0.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0950
0.80%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-24 22:30:00 11.851 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 23:30:00 11.985 ↑ High
2026-01-25 00:10:00 11.945 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 00:55:00 11.986 ↑ High
2026-01-25 01:10:00 11.919 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 01:40:00 11.965 ↑ High
2026-01-25 02:15:00 11.881 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 03:20:00 11.938 ↑ High
2026-01-25 03:40:00 11.826 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 04:45:00 11.98 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.22%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.30%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1215
1.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0950
0.80%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-24 10:15:00 12.103 ↑ High
2026-01-24 11:15:00 11.962 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 13:30:00 12.05 ↑ High
2026-01-24 14:15:00 12.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 17:00:00 12.116 ↑ High
2026-01-24 20:00:00 12.074 ↑ High
2026-01-24 22:30:00 11.851 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 00:45:00 11.986 ↑ High
2026-01-25 03:30:00 11.826 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 04:45:00 11.98 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.22%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.45%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4975
4.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0950
0.80%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-22 10:00:00 12.03 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 23:00:00 12.36 ↑ High
2026-01-23 03:00:00 12.041 ↓ Low
2026-01-23 09:00:00 11.987 ↓ Low
2026-01-23 12:00:00 12.492 ↑ High
2026-01-23 23:00:00 12.174 ↑ High
2026-01-24 07:00:00 12.138 ↑ High
2026-01-24 11:00:00 11.962 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 17:00:00 12.116 ↑ High
2026-01-25 03:00:00 11.826 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Jan 2026
05:12:16
25 Jan 2026
05:20:00
7 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
11.97 11.9945 11.921 2 9.29
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 11.97
  • Stop Loss: 11.9945
  • Take Profit: 11.921

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 11.9945 - 11.97 = 0.0245

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 11.97 - 11.921 = 0.049000000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.049000000000001 / 0.0245 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3911.1654 100 326.7473 39.11
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0245

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0245 = 326.53

Taille de position USD = 326.53 x 11.97 = 3908.56

Donc, tu peux acheter 326.53 avec un stoploss a 11.9945

Avec un position size USD de 3908.56$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 326.53 x 0.0245 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 326.53 x 0.049000000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 326.53
  • Taille de position USD 3908.56
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.41 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.2 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -0.20
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3676 % 179.58 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.921
            [entry_price] => 11.97
            [stop_loss] => 11.99695
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.921
            [entry_price] => 11.97
            [stop_loss] => 11.9994
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.921
            [entry_price] => 11.97
            [stop_loss] => 12.00185
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.921
            [entry_price] => 11.97
            [stop_loss] => 12.00675
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.065000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.09
            [rr_ratio] => 0.72
            [high] => 12.06000000
            [low] => 11.90500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.54
            [mae_pct] => 0.75
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.72
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-25T05:12:16-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-25T07:12:16-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.405
            [max_drawdown] => 0.09
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [high] => 12.06000000
            [low] => 11.56500000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.38
            [mae_pct] => 0.75
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-25T05:12:16-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-25T12:12:16-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 11.98000000
            [high_after] => 12.06000000
            [low_before] => 11.82600000
            [low_after] => 11.63900000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)