Short Trade on AVAX 25 Jan 2026 at 05:19:29

Take profit at 11.9297 (0.42 %) and Stop Loss at 12.0052 (0.21 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 25 Jan 2026 at 05:19:29

With 317.8478 AVAX at 11.98$ per unit.

Position size of 3807.8169 $

Take profit at 11.9297 (0.42 %) and Stop Loss at 12.0052 (0.21 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 6.12
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.79
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.65
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.683305

15m : -0.214339

1H : -0.031137

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.13
  4. atr: 0.0167795182
Details
  1. score: 1.13
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 11.9593
  4. ema21 : 12.0004
  5. ema50 : 12.0734
  6. ema100 : 12.1372
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00172554
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0034221
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00604527
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0129545
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0756368
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0614854
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0463443
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0317797
  17. rsi : 0.457732
  18. adx : 0.37256
  19. kc_percentage : 0.436776
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0227336
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.152435
  22. volume_ema1 : 249374.382736
  23. volume_ema2 : 294224.8038507
  24. chop : 42.4862
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 11.9431
  29. ema21 : 11.9403
  30. ema50 : 11.9693
  31. ema100 : 12.0068
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00308476
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000235382
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00242578
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00223652
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.00949831
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.00964036
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0169515
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0147375
  42. rsi : 0.571023
  43. adx : 0.276803
  44. kc_percentage : 0.804826
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0110384
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.0564652
  47. volume_ema1 : 72566.978748027
  48. volume_ema2 : 68688.465317563
  49. chop : 39.047
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 11.9571
  54. ema21 : 11.938
  55. ema50 : 11.9324
  56. ema100 : 11.9449
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00191089
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00159589
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000476717
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00293758
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0473516
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0260293
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00839226
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00105923
  67. rsi : 0.707249
  68. adx : 0.272136
  69. kc_percentage : 1.12502
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00547327
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.259164
  72. volume_ema1 : 34814.034560845
  73. volume_ema2 : 27648.51247043
  74. chop : 34.4475
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    88724.5
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00279235
  81. 5m_price:
    88476.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.683305
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    89066.4
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0066199
  86. 15m_price:
    88476.8
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.214339
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    89317.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00940931
  91. 1H_price:
    88476.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.031137
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.36
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.041
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 09:00:00
                        [1] => 11.987
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 12:00:00
                        [1] => 12.492
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.174
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 07:00:00
                        [1] => 12.138
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 11:00:00
                        [1] => 11.962
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 17:00:00
                        [1] => 12.116
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:00:00
                        [1] => 11.826
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 05:00:00
                        [1] => 11.986
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.033372267645598
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3191273465246
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3529511246406
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 10:15:00
                        [1] => 12.103
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 11:15:00
                        [1] => 11.962
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 13:30:00
                        [1] => 12.05
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 14:15:00
                        [1] => 12.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 17:00:00
                        [1] => 12.116
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 20:00:00
                        [1] => 12.074
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 22:30:00
                        [1] => 11.851
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 00:45:00
                        [1] => 11.986
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:30:00
                        [1] => 11.826
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 05:15:00
                        [1] => 11.986
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.033372267645598
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3191273465246
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3529511246406
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 23:30:00
                        [1] => 11.985
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 00:10:00
                        [1] => 11.945
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 00:55:00
                        [1] => 11.986
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 01:10:00
                        [1] => 11.919
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 01:40:00
                        [1] => 11.965
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 02:15:00
                        [1] => 11.881
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:20:00
                        [1] => 11.938
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:40:00
                        [1] => 11.826
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 04:45:00
                        [1] => 11.98
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 05:15:00
                        [1] => 11.986
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.033372267645598
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3191273465246
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 19
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.050083472454092
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.32%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
19 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.05%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0192
0.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1037
0.87%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-24 23:30:00 11.985 ↑ High
2026-01-25 00:10:00 11.945 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 00:55:00 11.986 ↑ High
2026-01-25 01:10:00 11.919 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 01:40:00 11.965 ↑ High
2026-01-25 02:15:00 11.881 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 03:20:00 11.938 ↑ High
2026-01-25 03:40:00 11.826 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 04:45:00 11.98 ↑ High
2026-01-25 05:15:00 11.986 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.32%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.35%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1108
0.92%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1037
0.87%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-24 10:15:00 12.103 ↑ High
2026-01-24 11:15:00 11.962 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 13:30:00 12.05 ↑ High
2026-01-24 14:15:00 12.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 17:00:00 12.116 ↑ High
2026-01-24 20:00:00 12.074 ↑ High
2026-01-24 22:30:00 11.851 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 00:45:00 11.986 ↑ High
2026-01-25 03:30:00 11.826 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 05:15:00 11.986 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.32%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.35%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4868
4.05%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1037
0.87%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-22 23:00:00 12.36 ↑ High
2026-01-23 03:00:00 12.041 ↓ Low
2026-01-23 09:00:00 11.987 ↓ Low
2026-01-23 12:00:00 12.492 ↑ High
2026-01-23 23:00:00 12.174 ↑ High
2026-01-24 07:00:00 12.138 ↑ High
2026-01-24 11:00:00 11.962 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 17:00:00 12.116 ↑ High
2026-01-25 03:00:00 11.826 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 05:00:00 11.986 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Jan 2026
05:19:29
25 Jan 2026
05:20:00
31 seconds

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
11.98 12.0052 11.9297 2 9.29
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 11.98
  • Stop Loss: 12.0052
  • Take Profit: 11.9297

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.0052 - 11.98 = 0.0252

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 11.98 - 11.9297 = 0.0503

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0503 / 0.0252 = 1.996

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3807.8169 100 317.8478 38.08
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0252

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0252 = 317.46

Taille de position USD = 317.46 x 11.98 = 3803.17

Donc, tu peux acheter 317.46 avec un stoploss a 12.0052

Avec un position size USD de 3803.17$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 317.46 x 0.0252 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 317.46 x 0.0503 = 15.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 317.46
  • Taille de position USD 3803.17
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.996

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.42 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.21 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -0.21
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2838 % 134.89 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.9297
            [entry_price] => 11.98
            [stop_loss] => 12.00772
            [rr_ratio] => 1.81
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.9297
            [entry_price] => 11.98
            [stop_loss] => 12.01024
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.9297
            [entry_price] => 11.98
            [stop_loss] => 12.01276
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.9297
            [entry_price] => 11.98
            [stop_loss] => 12.0178
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.108
            [max_drawdown] => 0.08
            [rr_ratio] => 1.35
            [high] => 12.06000000
            [low] => 11.87200000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.9
            [mae_pct] => 0.67
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.35
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-25T05:19:29-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-25T07:19:29-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.415
            [max_drawdown] => 0.08
            [rr_ratio] => 5.19
            [high] => 12.06000000
            [low] => 11.56500000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.46
            [mae_pct] => 0.67
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.19
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-25T05:19:29-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-25T12:19:29-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 11.98600000
            [high_after] => 12.06000000
            [low_before] => 11.82600000
            [low_after] => 11.57400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)