Short Trade on FIL 25 Jan 2026 at 05:31:24
Take profit at 1.2982 (0.6 %) and Stop Loss at 1.3099 (0.3 %)
Short Trade on FIL 25 Jan 2026 at 05:31:24
Take profit at 1.2982 (0.6 %) and Stop Loss at 1.3099 (0.3 %)
Position size of 2666.6034 $
Take profit at 1.2982 (0.6 %) and Stop Loss at 1.3099 (0.3 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.72 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.44 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.56 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.531713 15m : 0.094511 1H : -0.124289 |
2 |
Indicators:
88718.6
-0.00123107
88609.4
0.531713
89058.1
-0.00503873
88609.4
0.094511
89319.8
-0.00795388
88609.4
-0.124289
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-23 01:00:00
[1] => 1.367
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-23 09:00:00
[1] => 1.295
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-23 12:00:00
[1] => 1.351
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-23 15:00:00
[1] => 1.296
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-23 22:00:00
[1] => 1.323
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 03:00:00
[1] => 1.31
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 07:00:00
[1] => 1.321
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 11:00:00
[1] => 1.295
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 20:00:00
[1] => 1.329
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 03:00:00
[1] => 1.287
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.9563581640331
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2432012432012
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.2634032634033
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 14:15:00
[1] => 1.296
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 20:00:00
[1] => 1.329
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 22:30:00
[1] => 1.298
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 23:30:00
[1] => 1.311
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 00:30:00
[1] => 1.299
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 01:45:00
[1] => 1.308
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 02:00:00
[1] => 1.298
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 02:15:00
[1] => 1.308
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 03:30:00
[1] => 1.287
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 05:30:00
[1] => 1.306
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22970903522206
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2432012432012
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4763014763015
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 01:45:00
[1] => 1.308
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 02:10:00
[1] => 1.298
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 02:20:00
[1] => 1.298
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 02:25:00
[1] => 1.308
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 02:50:00
[1] => 1.304
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 03:00:00
[1] => 1.307
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 03:10:00
[1] => 1.307
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 03:40:00
[1] => 1.287
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 04:45:00
[1] => 1.303
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 05:30:00
[1] => 1.306
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22970903522206
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2432012432012
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 22
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.2302379125096
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 01:45:00 | 1.308 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 02:10:00 | 1.298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 02:20:00 | 1.298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 02:25:00 | 1.308 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 02:50:00 | 1.304 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 03:00:00 | 1.307 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 03:10:00 | 1.307 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 03:40:00 | 1.287 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 04:45:00 | 1.303 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 05:30:00 | 1.306 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 14:15:00 | 1.296 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-24 20:00:00 | 1.329 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-24 22:30:00 | 1.298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-24 23:30:00 | 1.311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 00:30:00 | 1.299 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 01:45:00 | 1.308 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 02:00:00 | 1.298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 02:15:00 | 1.308 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 03:30:00 | 1.287 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 05:30:00 | 1.306 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 01:00:00 | 1.367 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-23 09:00:00 | 1.295 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-23 12:00:00 | 1.351 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-23 15:00:00 | 1.296 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-23 22:00:00 | 1.323 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-24 03:00:00 | 1.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-24 07:00:00 | 1.321 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-24 11:00:00 | 1.295 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-24 20:00:00 | 1.329 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 03:00:00 | 1.287 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 05:31:24 |
25 Jan 2026 05:50:00 |
18 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.306 | 1.3099 | 1.2982 | 2 | 0.9904 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.3099 - 1.306 = 0.0039
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.306 - 1.2982 = 0.0078
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0078 / 0.0039 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2666.6034 | 100 | 2041.8097 | 26.67 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0039 = 2051.28
Taille de position USD = 2051.28 x 1.306 = 2678.97
Donc, tu peux acheter 2051.28 avec un stoploss a 1.3099
Avec un position size USD de 2678.97$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2051.28 x 0.0039 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2051.28 x 0.0078 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.6 % | 15.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.3 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.93 $ | 0.60 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2982
[stop_loss] => 1.3099
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-25 05:50:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.29625
[stop_loss] => 1.3099
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-25 06:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2943
[stop_loss] => 1.3099
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-25 06:05:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.29235
[stop_loss] => 1.3099
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-25 06:05:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2904
[stop_loss] => 1.3099
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-25 07:00:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.28845
[stop_loss] => 1.3099
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-25 07:00:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2865
[stop_loss] => 1.3099
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-25 07:15:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.28455
[stop_loss] => 1.3099
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-25 07:15:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2826
[stop_loss] => 1.3099
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-25 07:15:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.28065
[stop_loss] => 1.3099
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-25 07:15:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2787
[stop_loss] => 1.3099
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-25 07:15:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.034
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 1.30300000
[low] => 1.27200000
[mfe_pct] => 2.6
[mae_pct] => -0.23
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-25T05:31:24-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-25T07:31:24-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.056
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 1.30300000
[low] => 1.25000000
[mfe_pct] => 4.29
[mae_pct] => -0.23
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-25T05:31:24-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-25T12:31:24-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.30800000
[high_after] => 1.30300000
[low_before] => 1.28700000
[low_after] => 1.25000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)