Short Trade on AVAX 25 Jan 2026 at 18:51:35

Take profit at 11.4039 (0.92 %) and Stop Loss at 11.563 (0.46 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 25 Jan 2026 at 18:51:35

With 150.8274 AVAX at 11.51$ per unit.

Position size of 1736.0232 $

Take profit at 11.4039 (0.92 %) and Stop Loss at 11.563 (0.46 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.29
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.94
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.71
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.765368

15m : 0.087211

1H : -0.145115

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.0353605113
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 11.5265
  4. ema21 : 11.6952
  5. ema50 : 11.8916
  6. ema100 : 12.062
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00143965
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0144203
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0165128
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0457698
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.301022
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.20926
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.12875
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0853104
  17. rsi : 0.35615
  18. adx : 0.491194
  19. kc_percentage : 0.172077
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0462422
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.369168
  22. volume_ema1 : 1114250.958597
  23. volume_ema2 : 813815.59293612
  24. chop : 17.4756
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 11.4332
  29. ema21 : 11.4505
  30. ema50 : 11.5818
  31. ema100 : 11.7303
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00671505
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00151203
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0113384
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0187831
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0394027
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.03992
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0712663
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0597507
  42. rsi : 0.522151
  43. adx : 0.476424
  44. kc_percentage : 0.726563
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0242859
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.653251
  47. volume_ema1 : 112492.90074558
  48. volume_ema2 : 324422.26061184
  49. chop : 54.2796
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 11.4607
  54. ema21 : 11.4311
  55. ema50 : 11.4293
  56. ema100 : 11.4971
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00430159
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00258337
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00016082
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00111832
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.065061
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0388477
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00952003
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00955976
  67. rsi : 0.669952
  68. adx : 0.226172
  69. kc_percentage : 1.06364
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0119091
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.655641
  72. volume_ema1 : 28958.432082996
  73. volume_ema2 : 84093.870787647
  74. chop : 38.5208
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    87024.3
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00414129
  81. 5m_price:
    86664
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.765368
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87955.6
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0146964
  86. 15m_price:
    86663
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.087211
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    89061.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0269244
  91. 1H_price:
    86664
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.145115
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.041
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 09:00:00
                        [1] => 11.987
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 12:00:00
                        [1] => 12.492
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.174
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 07:00:00
                        [1] => 12.138
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 11:00:00
                        [1] => 11.962
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 17:00:00
                        [1] => 12.116
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:00:00
                        [1] => 11.826
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 05:00:00
                        [1] => 12.06
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 14:00:00
                        [1] => 11.221
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.8092868988391
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3081721771678
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.4770519561536
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:30:00
                        [1] => 11.826
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 05:45:00
                        [1] => 12.06
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 07:15:00
                        [1] => 11.868
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 08:45:00
                        [1] => 11.966
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 09:15:00
                        [1] => 11.807
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 11:15:00
                        [1] => 11.565
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 14:45:00
                        [1] => 11.221
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 16:15:00
                        [1] => 11.45
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 18:00:00
                        [1] => 11.325
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 18:45:00
                        [1] => 11.513
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2866325023886
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3686534216336
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6600441501104
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 13:40:00
                        [1] => 11.454
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 14:00:00
                        [1] => 11.554
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 14:50:00
                        [1] => 11.221
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 15:35:00
                        [1] => 11.244
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 16:20:00
                        [1] => 11.45
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 16:35:00
                        [1] => 11.36
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 16:50:00
                        [1] => 11.434
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 17:30:00
                        [1] => 11.332
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 18:00:00
                        [1] => 11.325
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 18:50:00
                        [1] => 11.513
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2866325023886
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3686534216336
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6600441501104
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.37%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.66%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0090
0.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1829
1.60%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-25 13:40:00 11.454 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 14:00:00 11.554 ↑ High
2026-01-25 14:50:00 11.221 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 15:35:00 11.244 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 16:20:00 11.45 ↑ High
2026-01-25 16:35:00 11.36 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 16:50:00 11.434 ↑ High
2026-01-25 17:30:00 11.332 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 18:00:00 11.325 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 18:50:00 11.513 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.37%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.66%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4970
4.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1829
1.60%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-25 03:30:00 11.826 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 05:45:00 12.06 ↑ High
2026-01-25 07:15:00 11.868 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 08:45:00 11.966 ↑ High
2026-01-25 09:15:00 11.807 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 11:15:00 11.565 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 14:45:00 11.221 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 16:15:00 11.45 ↑ High
2026-01-25 18:00:00 11.325 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 18:45:00 11.513 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.81%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.31%
Bars Since Swing High
13 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.48%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.9290
8.03%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1829
1.60%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-23 03:00:00 12.041 ↓ Low
2026-01-23 09:00:00 11.987 ↓ Low
2026-01-23 12:00:00 12.492 ↑ High
2026-01-23 23:00:00 12.174 ↑ High
2026-01-24 07:00:00 12.138 ↑ High
2026-01-24 11:00:00 11.962 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 17:00:00 12.116 ↑ High
2026-01-25 03:00:00 11.826 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 05:00:00 12.06 ↑ High
2026-01-25 14:00:00 11.221 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Jan 2026
18:51:35
25 Jan 2026
19:55:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
11.51 11.563 11.4039 2 9.302
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 11.51
  • Stop Loss: 11.563
  • Take Profit: 11.4039

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 11.563 - 11.51 = 0.053000000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 11.51 - 11.4039 = 0.1061

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1061 / 0.053000000000001 = 2.0019

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1736.0232 100 150.8274 17.36
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.053000000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.053000000000001 = 150.94

Taille de position USD = 150.94 x 11.51 = 1737.32

Donc, tu peux acheter 150.94 avec un stoploss a 11.563

Avec un position size USD de 1737.32$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 150.94 x 0.053000000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 150.94 x 0.1061 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 150.94
  • Taille de position USD 1737.32
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0019

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.92 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.46 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.99 $ -0.46
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5126 % 111.31 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.4039
            [entry_price] => 11.51
            [stop_loss] => 11.5683
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 19:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.4039
            [entry_price] => 11.51
            [stop_loss] => 11.5736
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.4039
            [entry_price] => 11.51
            [stop_loss] => 11.5789
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 11.4039
            [entry_price] => 11.51
            [stop_loss] => 11.5895
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.049999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.234
            [rr_ratio] => 0.21
            [high] => 11.74400000
            [low] => 11.46000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.43
            [mae_pct] => 2.03
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.21
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-25T18:51:35-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-25T20:51:35-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.049999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.234
            [rr_ratio] => 0.21
            [high] => 11.74400000
            [low] => 11.46000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.43
            [mae_pct] => 2.03
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.21
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-25T18:51:35-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-26T01:51:35-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 11.51300000
            [high_after] => 11.74400000
            [low_before] => 11.24400000
            [low_after] => 11.46000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)