Short Trade on AAVE 25 Jan 2026 at 19:14:34

Take profit at 147.032 (0.95 %) and Stop Loss at 149.144 (0.47 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 25 Jan 2026 at 19:14:34

With 11.3639 AAVE at 148.44$ per unit.

Position size of 1686.8574 $

Take profit at 147.032 (0.95 %) and Stop Loss at 149.144 (0.47 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.14
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.73
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.51
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.81
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.74055

15m : 0.126705

1H : -0.015144

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.469322429
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 148.626
  4. ema21 : 150.909
  5. ema50 : 153.629
  6. ema100 : 155.93
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00125657
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.015124
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0177046
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0480386
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.342286
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.243758
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.146279
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0945797
  17. rsi : 0.346196
  18. adx : 0.464661
  19. kc_percentage : 0.138182
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0431747
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.303858
  22. volume_ema1 : 289059.5260847
  23. volume_ema2 : 221695.44114681
  24. chop : 18.6827
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 147.382
  29. ema21 : 147.667
  30. ema50 : 149.547
  31. ema100 : 151.652
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00717699
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00192997
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0125761
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0211837
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0148387
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0512439
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0804209
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.066355
  42. rsi : 0.529496
  43. adx : 0.433507
  44. kc_percentage : 0.713184
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0261772
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.146057
  47. volume_ema1 : 80982.518988909
  48. volume_ema2 : 94833.683832651
  49. chop : 58.0662
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 147.838
  54. ema21 : 147.438
  55. ema50 : 147.436
  56. ema100 : 148.322
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00406998
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00271073
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 1.5159E-5
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.000794904
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0594634
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0345559
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00697503
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0109023
  67. rsi : 0.657147
  68. adx : 0.179392
  69. kc_percentage : 1.03368
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0124002
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.00328338
  72. volume_ema1 : 30150.864424989
  73. volume_ema2 : 30250.187551475
  74. chop : 49.1003
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86980.4
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    3.174E-5
  81. 5m_price:
    86983.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.74055
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87941
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.010892
  86. 15m_price:
    86983.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.126705
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    89024.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0229255
  91. 1H_price:
    86983.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.015144
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 18:00:00
                        [1] => 156.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 23:00:00
                        [1] => 159.56
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 09:00:00
                        [1] => 154.65
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 12:00:00
                        [1] => 161.31
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 02:00:00
                        [1] => 157.99
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 10:00:00
                        [1] => 156.71
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 11:00:00
                        [1] => 155.28
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 18:00:00
                        [1] => 156.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 05:00:00
                        [1] => 155.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 14:00:00
                        [1] => 145.42
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.5889838678578
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0836198597167
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.9935359647916
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:15:00
                        [1] => 155.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:30:00
                        [1] => 154.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 05:30:00
                        [1] => 155.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 07:15:00
                        [1] => 154.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 08:45:00
                        [1] => 154.98
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 09:15:00
                        [1] => 153.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 14:45:00
                        [1] => 145.42
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 16:15:00
                        [1] => 147.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 17:45:00
                        [1] => 145.79
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 19:00:00
                        [1] => 148.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.094218991856797
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8245421496673
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9205706838604
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 13:40:00
                        [1] => 147.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 14:00:00
                        [1] => 148.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 14:50:00
                        [1] => 145.42
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 15:10:00
                        [1] => 147.3
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 15:40:00
                        [1] => 145.44
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 16:20:00
                        [1] => 147.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 16:35:00
                        [1] => 146.6
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 16:50:00
                        [1] => 147.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 17:50:00
                        [1] => 145.79
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 19:05:00
                        [1] => 148.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.094218991856797
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8245421496673
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9205706838604
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.82%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
16 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.92%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3040
0.20%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6120
1.10%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-25 13:40:00 147.61 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 14:00:00 148.84 ↑ High
2026-01-25 14:50:00 145.42 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 15:10:00 147.3 ↑ High
2026-01-25 15:40:00 145.44 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 16:20:00 147.96 ↑ High
2026-01-25 16:35:00 146.6 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 16:50:00 147.75 ↑ High
2026-01-25 17:50:00 145.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 19:05:00 148.59 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.82%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.92%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.4460
4.32%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6120
1.10%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-25 03:15:00 155.48 ↑ High
2026-01-25 03:30:00 154.2 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 05:30:00 155.59 ↑ High
2026-01-25 07:15:00 154.1 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 08:45:00 154.98 ↑ High
2026-01-25 09:15:00 153.25 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 14:45:00 145.42 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 16:15:00 147.96 ↑ High
2026-01-25 17:45:00 145.79 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 19:00:00 148.59 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.59%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.08%
Bars Since Swing High
14 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.99%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.1660
8.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6120
1.10%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-22 18:00:00 156.03 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 23:00:00 159.56 ↑ High
2026-01-23 09:00:00 154.65 ↓ Low
2026-01-23 12:00:00 161.31 ↑ High
2026-01-24 02:00:00 157.99 ↑ High
2026-01-24 10:00:00 156.71 ↑ High
2026-01-24 11:00:00 155.28 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 18:00:00 156.8 ↑ High
2026-01-25 05:00:00 155.59 ↑ High
2026-01-25 14:00:00 145.42 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Jan 2026
19:14:34
25 Jan 2026
19:50:00
35 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
148.44 149.144 147.032 2 116.18
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 148.44
  • Stop Loss: 149.144
  • Take Profit: 147.032

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 149.144 - 148.44 = 0.70400000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 148.44 - 147.032 = 1.408

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.408 / 0.70400000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1686.8574 100 11.3639 16.87
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.70400000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.70400000000001 = 11.36

Taille de position USD = 11.36 x 148.44 = 1686.28

Donc, tu peux acheter 11.36 avec un stoploss a 149.144

Avec un position size USD de 1686.28$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 11.36 x 0.70400000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 11.36 x 1.408 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 11.36
  • Taille de position USD 1686.28
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.95 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.47 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.47
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6265 % 132.09 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 147.032
            [entry_price] => 148.44
            [stop_loss] => 149.2144
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 19:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 147.032
            [entry_price] => 148.44
            [stop_loss] => 149.2848
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 19:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 147.032
            [entry_price] => 148.44
            [stop_loss] => 149.3552
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 19:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 147.032
            [entry_price] => 148.44
            [stop_loss] => 149.496
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.37
            [max_drawdown] => 3.64
            [rr_ratio] => 0.1
            [high] => 152.08000000
            [low] => 148.07000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.25
            [mae_pct] => 2.45
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-25T19:14:34-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-25T21:14:34-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.37
            [max_drawdown] => 3.64
            [rr_ratio] => 0.1
            [high] => 152.08000000
            [low] => 148.07000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.25
            [mae_pct] => 2.45
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-25T19:14:34-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-26T02:14:34-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 148.59000000
            [high_after] => 152.08000000
            [low_before] => 145.44000000
            [low_after] => 148.07000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)