Short Trade on TRUMP 25 Jan 2026 at 20:11:49

Take profit at 4.7868 (0.65 %) and Stop Loss at 4.8336 (0.32 %)

Short Trade on TRUMP

The 25 Jan 2026 at 20:11:49

With 512.4535 TRUMP at 4.818$ per unit.

Position size of 2469.0008 $

Take profit at 4.7868 (0.65 %) and Stop Loss at 4.8336 (0.32 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 4.64
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.86
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.76
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.56
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.674478

15m : 0.101941

1H : -0.06573

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.47
  4. atr: 0.01040744907
Details
  1. score: 1.47
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.78493
  4. ema21 : 4.8195
  5. ema50 : 4.85853
  6. ema100 : 4.88179
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00691045
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00717284
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0080339
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0130671
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.197876
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.151943
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0816182
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0459673
  17. rsi : 0.47409
  18. adx : 0.352416
  19. kc_percentage : 0.506719
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0314602
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.294906
  22. volume_ema1 : 173653.22525083
  23. volume_ema2 : 246283.95033901
  24. chop : 26.2494
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4.77415
  29. ema21 : 4.76367
  30. ema50 : 4.78848
  31. ema100 : 4.82912
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00918438
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00219861
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00518069
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00230343
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0603761
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.011836
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.027969
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0319108
  42. rsi : 0.648426
  43. adx : 0.394746
  44. kc_percentage : 1.08067
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0194613
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.649351
  47. volume_ema1 : 28877.052631205
  48. volume_ema2 : 82353.35306599
  49. chop : 43.5986
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4.79351
  54. ema21 : 4.77656
  55. ema50 : 4.76153
  56. ema100 : 4.76256
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00510845
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00354706
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00315673
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0116393
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0626167
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0470277
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0265368
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0106691
  67. rsi : 0.757813
  68. adx : 0.326193
  69. kc_percentage : 1.47288
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00862199
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.52961
  72. volume_ema1 : 7287.6983834984
  73. volume_ema2 : 15492.887436735
  74. chop : 32.8326
  75. regime : bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    86927
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00367191
  81. 5m_price:
    87246.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.674478
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    87831.9
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00666851
  86. 15m_price:
    87246.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.101941
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    88920.6
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0188308
  91. 1H_price:
    87246.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.06573
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 13:00:00
                        [1] => 4.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 18:00:00
                        [1] => 4.827
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-22 23:00:00
                        [1] => 4.892
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 09:00:00
                        [1] => 4.808
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-23 12:00:00
                        [1] => 4.919
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 07:00:00
                        [1] => 5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 11:00:00
                        [1] => 4.912
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-24 18:00:00
                        [1] => 4.959
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 14:00:00
                        [1] => 4.683
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 20:00:00
                        [1] => 4.82
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14522821576765
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7759982916934
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9254751227845
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 02:00:00
                        [1] => 4.931
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 03:45:00
                        [1] => 4.877
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 05:30:00
                        [1] => 4.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 06:45:00
                        [1] => 4.874
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 08:45:00
                        [1] => 4.909
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 11:15:00
                        [1] => 4.773
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 14:45:00
                        [1] => 4.683
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 16:15:00
                        [1] => 4.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 18:00:00
                        [1] => 4.72
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 20:00:00
                        [1] => 4.82
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14522821576765
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9703389830508
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1186440677966
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 14:00:00
                        [1] => 4.767
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 14:50:00
                        [1] => 4.683
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 15:30:00
                        [1] => 4.702
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 16:20:00
                        [1] => 4.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 16:35:00
                        [1] => 4.733
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 17:35:00
                        [1] => 4.746
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 18:00:00
                        [1] => 4.72
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 19:20:00
                        [1] => 4.795
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 19:40:00
                        [1] => 4.759
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 20:10:00
                        [1] => 4.82
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14522821576765
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1346921622189
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.281781886951
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.13%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.28%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0136
0.28%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1038
2.17%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-25 14:00:00 4.767 ↑ High
2026-01-25 14:50:00 4.683 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 15:30:00 4.702 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 16:20:00 4.76 ↑ High
2026-01-25 16:35:00 4.733 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 17:35:00 4.746 ↑ High
2026-01-25 18:00:00 4.72 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 19:20:00 4.795 ↑ High
2026-01-25 19:40:00 4.759 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 20:10:00 4.82 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.97%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.12%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0974
2.02%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1038
2.17%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-25 02:00:00 4.931 ↑ High
2026-01-25 03:45:00 4.877 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 05:30:00 4.9 ↑ High
2026-01-25 06:45:00 4.874 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 08:45:00 4.909 ↑ High
2026-01-25 11:15:00 4.773 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 14:45:00 4.683 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 16:15:00 4.76 ↑ High
2026-01-25 18:00:00 4.72 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 20:00:00 4.82 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.78%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.93%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1664
3.44%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1038
2.17%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-22 13:00:00 4.9 ↑ High
2026-01-22 18:00:00 4.827 ↓ Low
2026-01-22 23:00:00 4.892 ↑ High
2026-01-23 09:00:00 4.808 ↓ Low
2026-01-23 12:00:00 4.919 ↑ High
2026-01-24 07:00:00 5 ↑ High
2026-01-24 11:00:00 4.912 ↓ Low
2026-01-24 18:00:00 4.959 ↑ High
2026-01-25 14:00:00 4.683 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 20:00:00 4.82 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Jan 2026
20:11:49
25 Jan 2026
21:05:00
53 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.818 4.8336 4.7868 2 3.378
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.818
  • Stop Loss: 4.8336
  • Take Profit: 4.7868

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.8336 - 4.818 = 0.0156

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.818 - 4.7868 = 0.031199999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.031199999999999 / 0.0156 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2469.0008 100 512.4535 24.69
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0156

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0156 = 512.82

Taille de position USD = 512.82 x 4.818 = 2470.77

Donc, tu peux acheter 512.82 avec un stoploss a 4.8336

Avec un position size USD de 2470.77$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 512.82 x 0.0156 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 512.82 x 0.031199999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 512.82
  • Taille de position USD 2470.77
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.65 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.32 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
15.99 $ 0.65
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0623 % 19.24 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.7868
            [stop_loss] => 4.8336
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 21:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.779
            [stop_loss] => 4.8336
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 23:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.7712
            [stop_loss] => 4.8336
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 23:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.7634
            [stop_loss] => 4.8336
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 23:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.7556
            [stop_loss] => 4.8336
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 23:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.7478
            [stop_loss] => 4.8336
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 23:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.74
            [stop_loss] => 4.8336
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 23:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.7322
            [stop_loss] => 4.8336
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 23:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.7244
            [stop_loss] => 4.8336
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 23:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.7166
            [stop_loss] => 4.8336
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 23:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.7088
            [stop_loss] => 4.8336
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-25 23:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.032
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0030000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 10.67
            [high] => 4.82100000
            [low] => 4.78600000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.66
            [mae_pct] => 0.06
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 10.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-25T20:11:49-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-25T22:11:49-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.032
            [max_drawdown] => 0.03
            [rr_ratio] => 1.07
            [high] => 4.84800000
            [low] => 4.78600000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.66
            [mae_pct] => 0.62
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.07
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-25T20:11:49-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-26T03:11:49-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.82000000
            [high_after] => 4.83900000
            [low_before] => 4.72000000
            [low_after] => 4.78600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)