Short Trade on ORDI 25 Jan 2026 at 20:37:37
Take profit at 3.7953 (1.19 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8639 (0.6 %)
Short Trade on ORDI 25 Jan 2026 at 20:37:37
Take profit at 3.7953 (1.19 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8639 (0.6 %)
Position size of 1344.1056 $
Take profit at 3.7953 (1.19 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8639 (0.6 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.91 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.64 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.613128 15m : 0.019613 1H : -0.16014 |
1 |
Indicators:
86955.6
0.00705277
87568.9
0.613128
87840.9
-0.00252378
87619.3
0.019613
88927
-0.0152725
87568.9
-0.16014
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 10:00:00
[1] => 3.98
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 22:00:00
[1] => 4.193
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-23 09:00:00
[1] => 3.974
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-23 12:00:00
[1] => 4.162
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-23 20:00:00
[1] => 3.907
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 07:00:00
[1] => 4.101
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 11:00:00
[1] => 3.998
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 20:00:00
[1] => 4.073
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 14:00:00
[1] => 3.689
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 20:00:00
[1] => 3.848
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15592515592515
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.147465437788
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.3101111412307
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 05:30:00
[1] => 4.043
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 07:15:00
[1] => 3.945
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 08:45:00
[1] => 3.991
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 09:15:00
[1] => 3.928
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 10:30:00
[1] => 3.979
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 11:15:00
[1] => 3.837
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 14:45:00
[1] => 3.689
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 16:15:00
[1] => 3.777
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 17:30:00
[1] => 3.713
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 20:00:00
[1] => 3.848
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15592515592515
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4742795583086
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6358739563695
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 13:40:00
[1] => 3.808
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 14:50:00
[1] => 3.689
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 15:35:00
[1] => 3.698
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 16:20:00
[1] => 3.777
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 16:40:00
[1] => 3.739
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 16:50:00
[1] => 3.77
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 17:30:00
[1] => 3.713
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 19:20:00
[1] => 3.794
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 19:40:00
[1] => 3.749
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 20:10:00
[1] => 3.848
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15592515592515
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4806615097359
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.6407041877834
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 13:40:00 | 3.808 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 14:50:00 | 3.689 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 15:35:00 | 3.698 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 16:20:00 | 3.777 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 16:40:00 | 3.739 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 16:50:00 | 3.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 17:30:00 | 3.713 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 19:20:00 | 3.794 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 19:40:00 | 3.749 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 20:10:00 | 3.848 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 05:30:00 | 4.043 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 07:15:00 | 3.945 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 08:45:00 | 3.991 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 09:15:00 | 3.928 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 10:30:00 | 3.979 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 11:15:00 | 3.837 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 14:45:00 | 3.689 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 16:15:00 | 3.777 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 17:30:00 | 3.713 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 20:00:00 | 3.848 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 10:00:00 | 3.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-22 22:00:00 | 4.193 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-23 09:00:00 | 3.974 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-23 12:00:00 | 4.162 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-23 20:00:00 | 3.907 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-24 07:00:00 | 4.101 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-24 11:00:00 | 3.998 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-24 20:00:00 | 4.073 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 14:00:00 | 3.689 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 20:00:00 | 3.848 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 20:37:37 |
25 Jan 2026 22:45:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.841 | 3.8639 | 3.7953 | 2 | 2.446 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.8639 - 3.841 = 0.0229
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.841 - 3.7953 = 0.0457
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0457 / 0.0229 = 1.9956
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1344.1056 | 100 | 349.9364 | 13.44 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0229 = 349.34
Taille de position USD = 349.34 x 3.841 = 1341.81
Donc, tu peux acheter 349.34 avec un stoploss a 3.8639
Avec un position size USD de 1341.81$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 349.34 x 0.0229 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 349.34 x 0.0457 = 15.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.19 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.6 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.99 $ | 1.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5728 % | 96.08 % | 7 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.7952
[stop_loss] => 3.8639
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-25 22:45:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.038
[max_drawdown] => 0.022
[rr_ratio] => 1.73
[high] => 3.86300000
[low] => 3.80300000
[mfe_pct] => 0.99
[mae_pct] => 0.57
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.73
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-25T20:37:37-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-25T22:37:37-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.052
[max_drawdown] => 0.027
[rr_ratio] => 1.93
[high] => 3.86800000
[low] => 3.78900000
[mfe_pct] => 1.35
[mae_pct] => 0.7
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.93
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-25T20:37:37-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-26T03:37:37-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 3.84800000
[high_after] => 3.86300000
[low_before] => 3.71300000
[low_after] => 3.78900000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)