Short Trade on XMR 25 Jan 2026 at 23:32:49
Take profit at 456.0563 (1.29 %) and Stop Loss at 464.9719 (0.64 %)
Short Trade on XMR 25 Jan 2026 at 23:32:49
Take profit at 456.0563 (1.29 %) and Stop Loss at 464.9719 (0.64 %)
Position size of 1243.661 $
Take profit at 456.0563 (1.29 %) and Stop Loss at 464.9719 (0.64 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.88 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.58 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.51 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.462896 15m : -0.005806 1H : 0.038271 |
1 |
Indicators:
87096.3
0.00879297
87862.2
0.462896
87734.9
0.00145087
87862.2
-0.005806
88894.9
-0.0116175
87862.2
0.038271
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 08:00:00
[1] => 494.45
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-22 15:00:00
[1] => 530.68
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-23 01:00:00
[1] => 536.38
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-23 08:00:00
[1] => 508.16
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-23 12:00:00
[1] => 531.33
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-23 20:00:00
[1] => 500.6
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 04:00:00
[1] => 531.98
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 10:00:00
[1] => 506.41
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 17:00:00
[1] => 446.04
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 23:00:00
[1] => 464.6
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.75118381403358
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3786207515021
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.1610617881804
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 02:00:00
[1] => 482.71
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 03:15:00
[1] => 498.63
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 06:45:00
[1] => 480.24
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 09:45:00
[1] => 463.57
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 16:00:00
[1] => 458.86
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 17:45:00
[1] => 446.04
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 19:30:00
[1] => 448.66
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 20:15:00
[1] => 456.3
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 21:00:00
[1] => 447.34
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 23:15:00
[1] => 464.6
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.75118381403358
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.078195555953
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8583627665758
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 17:50:00
[1] => 446.04
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 18:10:00
[1] => 453.87
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 18:55:00
[1] => 449.81
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 19:20:00
[1] => 453.75
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 19:30:00
[1] => 448.66
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 20:20:00
[1] => 456.3
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 21:05:00
[1] => 447.34
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 22:35:00
[1] => 455.74
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 22:55:00
[1] => 452.2
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 23:20:00
[1] => 464.6
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.75118381403358
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9703670942061
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7421494913755
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 17:50:00 | 446.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 18:10:00 | 453.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 18:55:00 | 449.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 19:20:00 | 453.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 19:30:00 | 448.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 20:20:00 | 456.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 21:05:00 | 447.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 22:35:00 | 455.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 22:55:00 | 452.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 23:20:00 | 464.6 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 02:00:00 | 482.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 03:15:00 | 498.63 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 06:45:00 | 480.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 09:45:00 | 463.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 16:00:00 | 458.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 17:45:00 | 446.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 19:30:00 | 448.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 20:15:00 | 456.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 21:00:00 | 447.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 23:15:00 | 464.6 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 08:00:00 | 494.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-22 15:00:00 | 530.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-23 01:00:00 | 536.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-23 08:00:00 | 508.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-23 12:00:00 | 531.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-23 20:00:00 | 500.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-24 04:00:00 | 531.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-24 10:00:00 | 506.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 17:00:00 | 446.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 23:00:00 | 464.6 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 23:32:49 |
26 Jan 2026 00:35:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 462 | 464.9719 | 456.0563 | 2 | 337.35 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 464.9719 - 462 = 2.9719
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 462 - 456.0563 = 5.9437
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.9437 / 2.9719 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1243.661 | 100 | 2.6919 | 12.44 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 2.9719 = 2.69
Taille de position USD = 2.69 x 462 = 1242.78
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.69 avec un stoploss a 464.9719
Avec un position size USD de 1242.78$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.69 x 2.9719 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.69 x 5.9437 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.29 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.64 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1147 % | 17.83 % | 5 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 456.0562
[stop_loss] => 464.9719
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 00:35:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 454.57025
[stop_loss] => 464.9719
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 01:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 453.0843
[stop_loss] => 464.9719
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 01:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 451.59835
[stop_loss] => 464.9719
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 01:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 450.1124
[stop_loss] => 464.9719
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 01:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 448.62645
[stop_loss] => 464.9719
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 01:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 447.1405
[stop_loss] => 464.9719
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 01:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 445.65455
[stop_loss] => 464.9719
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 01:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 444.1686
[stop_loss] => 464.9719
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 01:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 442.68265
[stop_loss] => 464.9719
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 01:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 441.1967
[stop_loss] => 464.9719
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 01:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 6.48
[max_drawdown] => 1.81
[rr_ratio] => 3.58
[high] => 463.81000000
[low] => 455.52000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.4
[mae_pct] => 0.39
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.58
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-25T23:32:49-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-26T01:32:49-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 6.48
[max_drawdown] => 9.5
[rr_ratio] => 0.68
[high] => 471.50000000
[low] => 455.52000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.4
[mae_pct] => 2.06
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.68
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-25T23:32:49-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-26T06:32:49-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 464.60000000
[high_after] => 471.50000000
[low_before] => 447.34000000
[low_after] => 455.52000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)