Long Trade on XAU 26 Jan 2026 at 08:36:03
Take profit at 5086.71 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 5058.3 (0.19 %)
Long Trade on XAU 26 Jan 2026 at 08:36:03
Take profit at 5086.71 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 5058.3 (0.19 %)
Position size of 4281.1251 $
Take profit at 5086.71 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 5058.3 (0.19 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.95 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.74 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.57 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.027081 15m : -0.097181 1H : 0.075322 |
0 |
Indicators:
87822.4
0.0015866
87961.8
0.027081
87781.6
0.00226751
87980.7
-0.097181
88717.7
-0.00852113
87961.8
0.075322
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-23 20:00:00
[1] => 5010.49
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 01:00:00
[1] => 4984
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 04:00:00
[1] => 5002.6
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 07:00:00
[1] => 4985.96
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 11:00:00
[1] => 5035.69
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-24 18:00:00
[1] => 4993.68
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 06:00:00
[1] => 4993.02
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 18:00:00
[1] => 5009
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 01:00:00
[1] => 5110.91
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 08:00:00
[1] => 5058.97
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.80944489337515
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.20893581104453
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0266912039407
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 14:45:00
[1] => 5014.58
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 15:45:00
[1] => 5053.76
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 18:00:00
[1] => 5048.18
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 21:30:00
[1] => 5092.63
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 00:15:00
[1] => 5054.66
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 01:45:00
[1] => 5110.91
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 04:30:00
[1] => 5101.64
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 04:45:00
[1] => 5080.8
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 07:15:00
[1] => 5098.92
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 08:30:00
[1] => 5058.97
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.57620045029144
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.20893581104453
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.78968643814847
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 03:30:00
[1] => 5097.63
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 03:50:00
[1] => 5080.96
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 04:35:00
[1] => 5101.64
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 04:55:00
[1] => 5080.8
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 05:40:00
[1] => 5096.75
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 05:55:00
[1] => 5096.75
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 06:20:00
[1] => 5082.59
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 07:20:00
[1] => 5098.92
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 08:00:00
[1] => 5068.72
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 08:30:00
[1] => 5058.97
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.57620045029144
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.20893581104453
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.19272697802122
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 03:30:00 | 5097.63 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-26 03:50:00 | 5080.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-26 04:35:00 | 5101.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-26 04:55:00 | 5080.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-26 05:40:00 | 5096.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-26 05:55:00 | 5096.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-26 06:20:00 | 5082.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-26 07:20:00 | 5098.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-26 08:00:00 | 5068.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-26 08:30:00 | 5058.97 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 14:45:00 | 5014.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 15:45:00 | 5053.76 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 18:00:00 | 5048.18 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-25 21:30:00 | 5092.63 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-26 00:15:00 | 5054.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-26 01:45:00 | 5110.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-26 04:30:00 | 5101.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-26 04:45:00 | 5080.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-26 07:15:00 | 5098.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-26 08:30:00 | 5058.97 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 20:00:00 | 5010.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-24 01:00:00 | 4984 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-24 04:00:00 | 5002.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-24 07:00:00 | 4985.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-24 11:00:00 | 5035.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-24 18:00:00 | 4993.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 06:00:00 | 4993.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-25 18:00:00 | 5009 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-26 01:00:00 | 5110.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-26 08:00:00 | 5058.97 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2026 08:36:03 |
26 Jan 2026 09:35:00 |
58 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5067.77 | 5058.3 | 5086.71 | 2 | 5176.51 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 5058.3 - 5067.77 = -9.4700000000003
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 5067.77 - 5086.71 = -18.94
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -18.94 / -9.4700000000003 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4281.1251 | 100 | 0.8448 | 42.81 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -9.4700000000003 = -0.84
Taille de position USD = -0.84 x 5067.77 = -4256.93
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.84 avec un stoploss a 5058.3
Avec un position size USD de -4256.93$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.84 x -9.4700000000003 = 7.95
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.95$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.84 x -18.94 = 15.91
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.91$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.19 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1504 % | 80.47 % | 3 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5086.71
[stop_loss] => 5058.3
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 09:35:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5091.445
[stop_loss] => 5058.3
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 09:50:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5096.18
[stop_loss] => 5058.3
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 09:55:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5100.915
[stop_loss] => 5058.3
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 11:00:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5105.65
[stop_loss] => 5058.3
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 11:05:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5110.385
[stop_loss] => 5058.3
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5115.12
[stop_loss] => 5058.3
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5119.855
[stop_loss] => 5058.3
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5124.59
[stop_loss] => 5058.3
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5129.325
[stop_loss] => 5058.3
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 5134.06
[stop_loss] => 5058.3
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 29.919999999999
[max_drawdown] => 7.6200000000008
[rr_ratio] => 3.93
[high] => 5097.69000000
[low] => 5060.15000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.59
[mae_pct] => 0.15
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.93
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-26T08:36:03-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-26T10:36:03-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 38.219999999999
[max_drawdown] => 57.23
[rr_ratio] => 0.67
[high] => 5105.99000000
[low] => 5010.54000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.75
[mae_pct] => 1.13
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.67
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-26T08:36:03-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-26T15:36:03-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 5098.92000000
[high_after] => 5105.99000000
[low_before] => 5058.97000000
[low_after] => 5024.11000000
[is_new_high] => 1
[is_new_low] =>
)
)