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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 27 Jan 2026 at 14:44:18

Take profit at 158.5961 (0.93 %) and Stop Loss at 160.837 (0.47 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 27 Jan 2026 at 14:44:18

With 10.7099 MSTR at 160.09$ per unit.

Position size of 1714.5505 $

Take profit at 158.5961 (0.93 %) and Stop Loss at 160.837 (0.47 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.69
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.69
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.4
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.7
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.737188

15m : -0.153337

1H : 0.027571

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.4979808633
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 159.895
  4. ema21 : 160.559
  5. ema50 : 161.271
  6. ema100 : 162.193
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00121424
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00413434
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00441497
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0129667
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.10878
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0578347
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0339637
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0267965
  17. rsi : 0.465131
  18. adx : 0.384444
  19. kc_percentage : 0.430041
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.03878
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.39444
  22. volume_ema1 : 2461262.9148378
  23. volume_ema2 : 1027905.3813989
  24. chop : 39.5871
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 158.857
  28. ema21 : 159.198
  29. ema50 : 160.116
  30. ema100 : 161.017
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00776041
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00214324
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00573659
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00576138
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0503707
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0561449
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0462837
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0329881
  41. rsi : 0.486417
  42. adx : 0.228701
  43. kc_percentage : 0.736493
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0245356
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.110632
  46. volume_ema1 : 450745.43030761
  47. volume_ema2 : 506815.54152038
  48. chop : 50.642
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 159.317
  52. ema21 : 158.998
  53. ema50 : 159.132
  54. ema100 : 159.652
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00485063
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00200316
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000840595
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00274128
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0514783
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0227825
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.000560089
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00803862
  65. rsi : 0.644661
  66. adx : 0.210174
  67. kc_percentage : 1.06463
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.011962
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.275533
  70. volume_ema1 : 161917.28919967
  71. volume_ema2 : 223498.66527157
  72. chop : 49.2651
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87975
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00556383
  78. 5m_price: 
    88464.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.737188
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    88133.2
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000766681
  83. 15m_price: 
    88200.8
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.153337
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88487.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000260567
  88. 1H_price: 
    88464.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.027571
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-25 12:00:00
                    [1] => 163.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-25 13:00:00
                    [1] => 163.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-25 14:00:00
                    [1] => 163.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-25 16:00:00
                    [1] => 163.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-25 18:00:00
                    [1] => 163.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-25 20:00:00
                    [1] => 163.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 09:00:00
                    [1] => 158.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
                    [1] => 163.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 23:00:00
                    [1] => 162.93
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                    [1] => 157.33
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.8167311115203
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6780016525774
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.5593974448611
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 23:45:00
                    [1] => 162.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 02:00:00
                    [1] => 161.95
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 03:00:00
                    [1] => 162.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 05:30:00
                    [1] => 161.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 07:15:00
                    [1] => 161.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 09:15:00
                    [1] => 161.78
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 10:30:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 11:15:00
                    [1] => 161.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 12:30:00
                    [1] => 157.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 14:30:00
                    [1] => 160.09
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.074957836217131
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6780016525774
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7542744549673
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 08:15:00
                    [1] => 160.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 08:40:00
                    [1] => 161.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 09:15:00
                    [1] => 161.78
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 09:40:00
                    [1] => 158.53
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 10:10:00
                    [1] => 160.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 10:35:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 11:20:00
                    [1] => 161.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 12:40:00
                    [1] => 157.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 13:55:00
                    [1] => 159.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 14:40:00
                    [1] => 160.09
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.074957836217131
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6780016525774
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 24
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.31330283852372
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.68%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
24 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.31%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.9430
0.59%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2661
0.80%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-27 08:15:00 160.86 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 08:40:00 161.48 ↑ High
2026-01-27 09:15:00 161.78 ↑ High
2026-01-27 09:40:00 158.53 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 10:10:00 160.9 ↑ High
2026-01-27 10:35:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 11:20:00 161.13 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:40:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 13:55:00 159.59 ↑ High
2026-01-27 14:40:00 160.09 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.68%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.75%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.5230
0.95%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2661
0.80%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-26 23:45:00 162.16 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 02:00:00 161.95 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 03:00:00 162.36 ↑ High
2026-01-27 05:30:00 161.02 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 07:15:00 161.65 ↑ High
2026-01-27 09:15:00 161.78 ↑ High
2026-01-27 10:30:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 11:15:00 161.13 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:30:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 14:30:00 160.09 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.82%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.68%
Bars Since Swing High
15 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.56%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.1330
1.95%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2661
0.80%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-25 12:00:00 163.33 ↑ High
2026-01-25 13:00:00 163.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 14:00:00 163.33 ↑ High
2026-01-25 16:00:00 163.33 ↑ High
2026-01-25 18:00:00 163.33 ↑ High
2026-01-25 20:00:00 163.33 ↑ High
2026-01-26 09:00:00 158.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-26 14:00:00 163.97 ↑ High
2026-01-26 23:00:00 162.93 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:00:00 157.33 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
27 Jan 2026
14:44:18		 27 Jan 2026
15:10:00		 25 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
160.09 160.837 158.5961 2 134.41
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 160.09
  • Stop Loss: 160.837
  • Take Profit: 158.5961

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 160.837 - 160.09 = 0.74699999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 160.09 - 158.5961 = 1.4939

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4939 / 0.74699999999999 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1714.5505 100 10.7099 17.15
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.74699999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.74699999999999 = 10.71

Taille de position USD = 10.71 x 160.09 = 1714.56

Donc, tu peux acheter 10.71 avec un stoploss a 160.837

Avec un position size USD de 1714.56$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 10.71 x 0.74699999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 10.71 x 1.4939 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 10.71
  • Taille de position USD 1714.56
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.93 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.47 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.47
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5372 % 115.13 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.5961
            [entry_price] => 160.09
            [stop_loss] => 160.9117
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-27 15:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.5961
            [entry_price] => 160.09
            [stop_loss] => 160.9864
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-27 15:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.5961
            [entry_price] => 160.09
            [stop_loss] => 161.0611
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-27 15:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.5961
            [entry_price] => 160.09
            [stop_loss] => 161.2105
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-27 15:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.16
            [max_drawdown] => 2.39
            [rr_ratio] => 0.49
            [high] => 162.48000000
            [low] => 158.93000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.72
            [mae_pct] => 1.49
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.49
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-27T14:44:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-27T16:44:18-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.16
            [max_drawdown] => 2.39
            [rr_ratio] => 0.49
            [high] => 162.48000000
            [low] => 158.93000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.72
            [mae_pct] => 1.49
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.49
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-27T14:44:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-27T21:44:18-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 161.13000000
            [high_after] => 162.48000000
            [low_before] => 157.33000000
            [low_after] => 158.93000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)