Short Trade on MSTR 27 Jan 2026 at 14:47:37

Take profit at 158.5756 (0.92 %) and Stop Loss at 160.7722 (0.46 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 27 Jan 2026 at 14:47:37

With 10.926 MSTR at 160.04$ per unit.

Position size of 1748.5963 $

Take profit at 158.5756 (0.92 %) and Stop Loss at 160.7722 (0.46 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.63
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.81
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.72
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.73354

15m : -0.145416

1H : -0.072529

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.4881324882
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 159.885
  4. ema21 : 160.555
  5. ema50 : 161.269
  6. ema100 : 162.192
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000964144
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00416843
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00443105
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.013269
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.109294
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.058069
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0340646
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0268472
  17. rsi : 0.462454
  18. adx : 0.384164
  19. kc_percentage : 0.422853
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0388422
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.42018
  22. volume_ema1 : 2498260.2539045
  23. volume_ema2 : 1032258.0095244
  24. chop : 39.5908
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 159.216
  29. ema21 : 159.338
  30. ema50 : 160.134
  31. ema100 : 160.951
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00516928
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000762861
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00497075
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00566023
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0350056
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.048252
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0429345
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0308271
  42. rsi : 0.531626
  43. adx : 0.223703
  44. kc_percentage : 0.683401
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0248331
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.194954
  47. volume_ema1 : 407253.98166063
  48. volume_ema2 : 505876.93333376
  49. chop : 51.6531
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 159.442
  54. ema21 : 159.083
  55. ema50 : 159.164
  56. ema100 : 159.667
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00374699
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00225735
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000511198
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00233505
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0594443
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0289386
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00294228
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.006246
  67. rsi : 0.640801
  68. adx : 0.222887
  69. kc_percentage : 1.00516
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0116689
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.339613
  72. volume_ema1 : 144678.24767756
  73. volume_ema2 : 219081.33357444
  74. chop : 48.7106
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    88000.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00507147
  81. 5m_price:
    88446.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.73354
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    88139.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00348734
  86. 15m_price:
    88446.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.145416
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    88487.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000455528
  91. 1H_price:
    88446.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.072529
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 12:00:00
                        [1] => 163.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 13:00:00
                        [1] => 163.33
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 14:00:00
                        [1] => 163.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 16:00:00
                        [1] => 163.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 18:00:00
                        [1] => 163.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-25 20:00:00
                        [1] => 163.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-26 09:00:00
                        [1] => 158.9
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
                        [1] => 163.97
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-26 23:00:00
                        [1] => 162.93
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                        [1] => 157.33
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.9026575830111
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5890167164559
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.5593974448611
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-26 23:45:00
                        [1] => 162.16
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 02:00:00
                        [1] => 161.95
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 03:00:00
                        [1] => 162.36
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 05:30:00
                        [1] => 161.02
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 07:15:00
                        [1] => 161.65
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 09:15:00
                        [1] => 161.78
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 10:30:00
                        [1] => 157.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 11:15:00
                        [1] => 161.13
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 12:30:00
                        [1] => 157.33
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 14:45:00
                        [1] => 160.11
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17487977015802
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5890167164559
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7669865886989
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 08:15:00
                        [1] => 160.86
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 08:40:00
                        [1] => 161.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 09:15:00
                        [1] => 161.78
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 09:40:00
                        [1] => 158.53
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 10:10:00
                        [1] => 160.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 10:35:00
                        [1] => 157.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 11:20:00
                        [1] => 161.13
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 12:40:00
                        [1] => 157.33
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 13:55:00
                        [1] => 159.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 14:45:00
                        [1] => 160.11
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17487977015802
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5890167164559
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 25
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.32583495206467
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.59%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
25 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.33%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.0078
0.63%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2456
0.79%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-27 08:15:00 160.86 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 08:40:00 161.48 ↑ High
2026-01-27 09:15:00 161.78 ↑ High
2026-01-27 09:40:00 158.53 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 10:10:00 160.9 ↑ High
2026-01-27 10:35:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 11:20:00 161.13 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:40:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 13:55:00 159.59 ↑ High
2026-01-27 14:45:00 160.11 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.59%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.77%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.5878
0.99%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2456
0.79%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-26 23:45:00 162.16 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 02:00:00 161.95 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 03:00:00 162.36 ↑ High
2026-01-27 05:30:00 161.02 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 07:15:00 161.65 ↑ High
2026-01-27 09:15:00 161.78 ↑ High
2026-01-27 10:30:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 11:15:00 161.13 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:30:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 14:45:00 160.11 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.90%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.59%
Bars Since Swing High
15 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.56%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.1978
1.99%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2456
0.79%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-25 12:00:00 163.33 ↑ High
2026-01-25 13:00:00 163.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-25 14:00:00 163.33 ↑ High
2026-01-25 16:00:00 163.33 ↑ High
2026-01-25 18:00:00 163.33 ↑ High
2026-01-25 20:00:00 163.33 ↑ High
2026-01-26 09:00:00 158.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-26 14:00:00 163.97 ↑ High
2026-01-26 23:00:00 162.93 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:00:00 157.33 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
27 Jan 2026
14:47:37
27 Jan 2026
15:10:00
22 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
160.04 160.7722 158.5756 2 132.01
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 160.04
  • Stop Loss: 160.7722
  • Take Profit: 158.5756

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 160.7722 - 160.04 = 0.73220000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 160.04 - 158.5756 = 1.4644

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4644 / 0.73220000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1748.5963 100 10.926 17.49
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.73220000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.73220000000001 = 10.93

Taille de position USD = 10.93 x 160.04 = 1749.24

Donc, tu peux acheter 10.93 avec un stoploss a 160.7722

Avec un position size USD de 1749.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 10.93 x 0.73220000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 10.93 x 1.4644 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 10.93
  • Taille de position USD 1749.24
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.92 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.46 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.46
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5686 % 124.28 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.5756
            [entry_price] => 160.04
            [stop_loss] => 160.84542
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-27 15:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.5756
            [entry_price] => 160.04
            [stop_loss] => 160.91864
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-27 15:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.5756
            [entry_price] => 160.04
            [stop_loss] => 160.99186
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-27 15:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.5756
            [entry_price] => 160.04
            [stop_loss] => 161.1383
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-27 15:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.11
            [max_drawdown] => 2.44
            [rr_ratio] => 0.45
            [high] => 162.48000000
            [low] => 158.93000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.69
            [mae_pct] => 1.52
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.45
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-27T14:47:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-27T16:47:37-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.11
            [max_drawdown] => 2.44
            [rr_ratio] => 0.45
            [high] => 162.48000000
            [low] => 158.93000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.69
            [mae_pct] => 1.52
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.45
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-27T14:47:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-27T21:47:37-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 161.13000000
            [high_after] => 162.48000000
            [low_before] => 157.33000000
            [low_after] => 158.93000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)