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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 29 Jan 2026 at 00:09:45

Take profit at 158.0969 (0.28 %) and Stop Loss at 158.7615 (0.14 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 29 Jan 2026 at 00:09:45

With 36.1131 MSTR at 158.54$ per unit.

Position size of 5725.3699 $

Take profit at 158.0969 (0.28 %) and Stop Loss at 158.7615 (0.14 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 5.17
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.77
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.59
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.66
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.453587

15m : 0.126587

1H : 0.061201

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.18
  4. atr: 0.1476841991
Details
  1. score: 1.18
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 158.666
  4. ema21 : 159.614
  5. ema50 : 160.537
  6. ema100 : 161.233
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000797477
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00594065
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00574568
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0167081
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.166973
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.117419
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0610018
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0361824
  17. rsi : 0.405014
  18. adx : 0.248986
  19. kc_percentage : 0.262617
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0269828
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.875782
  22. volume_ema1 : 110076.69324597
  23. volume_ema2 : 886158.24462294
  24. chop : 57.3578
  25. regime : bear_medium
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 158.202
  28. ema21 : 158.367
  29. ema50 : 159.104
  30. ema100 : 159.936
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00213024
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0010388
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00463456
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00873308
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0202118
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.028386
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0325592
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0260911
  41. rsi : 0.504894
  42. adx : 0.303239
  43. kc_percentage : 0.63383
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00914196
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.966268
  46. volume_ema1 : 5227.6279670414
  47. volume_ema2 : 154978.19867874
  48. chop : 61.7042
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 158.283
  52. ema21 : 158.153
  53. ema50 : 158.219
  54. ema100 : 158.401
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00161752
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000823771
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00041813
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.000875417
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.01608
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00689139
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00162457
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00353934
  65. rsi : 0.654682
  66. adx : 0.164459
  67. kc_percentage : 1.17604
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00356659
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.76513
  70. volume_ema1 : 1716.2722188471
  71. volume_ema2 : 7307.3470680319
  72. chop : 34.3
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    88580.1
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00391669
  78. 5m_price: 
    88233.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.453587
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    89004.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0086646
  83. 15m_price: 
    88233.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.126587
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88725.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0055537
  88. 1H_price: 
    88233.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.061201
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-25 20:00:00
                    [1] => 158.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 09:00:00
                    [1] => 158.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
                    [1] => 163.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 23:00:00
                    [1] => 162.93
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                    [1] => 157.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 16:00:00
                    [1] => 162.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 00:00:00
                    [1] => 161.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.3210621605311
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.72426937738246
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.19059720457432
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 04:15:00
                    [1] => 161.55
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 05:00:00
                    [1] => 162.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 09:30:00
                    [1] => 165.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 12:45:00
                    [1] => 161.47
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 14:30:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 14:45:00
                    [1] => 160.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 16:00:00
                    [1] => 158.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 16:45:00
                    [1] => 159.53
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:45:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 00:00:00
                    [1] => 158.54
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.72426937738246
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.72426937738246
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 17:50:00
                    [1] => 159.49
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 18:35:00
                    [1] => 159.47
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 18:40:00
                    [1] => 158.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 19:50:00
                    [1] => 158.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 20:15:00
                    [1] => 158.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                    [1] => 158.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:50:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 22:25:00
                    [1] => 158.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 23:20:00
                    [1] => 157.65
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 00:05:00
                    [1] => 158.54
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.56454170631144
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.56454170631144
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.56%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.56%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.7285
0.46%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6969
0.44%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-28 17:50:00 159.49 ↑ High
2026-01-28 18:35:00 159.47 ↑ High
2026-01-28 18:40:00 158.61 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 19:50:00 158.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 20:15:00 158.98 ↑ High
2026-01-28 21:00:00 158.02 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 21:50:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 22:25:00 158.22 ↑ High
2026-01-28 23:20:00 157.65 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 00:05:00 158.54 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.72%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.72%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.9385
4.37%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6969
0.44%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-28 04:15:00 161.55 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 05:00:00 162.59 ↑ High
2026-01-28 09:30:00 165.7 ↑ High
2026-01-28 12:45:00 161.47 ↑ High
2026-01-28 14:30:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 14:45:00 160.6 ↑ High
2026-01-28 16:00:00 158.48 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 16:45:00 159.53 ↑ High
2026-01-28 21:45:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 00:00:00 158.54 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.72%
Bars Since Swing High
15 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.19%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.9385
4.37%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.7669
0.49%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-25 20:00:00 158.88 ↓ Low
2026-01-26 09:00:00 158.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-26 14:00:00 163.97 ↑ High
2026-01-26 23:00:00 162.93 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:00:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 16:00:00 162.48 ↑ High
2026-01-28 00:00:00 161.08 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 09:00:00 165.7 ↑ High
2026-01-28 14:00:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 21:00:00 157.4 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 Jan 2026
00:09:45		 29 Jan 2026
03:50:00		 3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
158.54 158.7615 158.0969 2 129.69
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 158.54
  • Stop Loss: 158.7615
  • Take Profit: 158.0969

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 158.7615 - 158.54 = 0.22150000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 158.54 - 158.0969 = 0.44309999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.44309999999999 / 0.22150000000002 = 2.0005

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5725.3699 100 36.1131 57.25
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.22150000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.22150000000002 = 36.12

Taille de position USD = 36.12 x 158.54 = 5726.46

Donc, tu peux acheter 36.12 avec un stoploss a 158.7615

Avec un position size USD de 5726.46$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 36.12 x 0.22150000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 36.12 x 0.44309999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 36.12
  • Taille de position USD 5726.46
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0005

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.28 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.14 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.28
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1072 % 76.74 % 14

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 158.097
            [stop_loss] => 158.7615
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 03:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.98625
            [stop_loss] => 158.7615
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 03:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.8755
            [stop_loss] => 158.7615
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 03:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.76475
            [stop_loss] => 158.7615
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 03:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 157.654
            [stop_loss] => 158.7615
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 06:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.44
            [max_drawdown] => 0.17000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 2.59
            [high] => 158.71000000
            [low] => 158.10000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.28
            [mae_pct] => 0.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.59
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-29T00:09:45-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-29T02:09:45-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.92999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 0.17000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 5.47
            [high] => 158.71000000
            [low] => 157.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.59
            [mae_pct] => 0.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.47
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-29T00:09:45-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-29T07:09:45-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 158.98000000
            [high_after] => 158.71000000
            [low_before] => 157.40000000
            [low_after] => 157.61000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)