Short Trade on RIVER 29 Jan 2026 at 01:05:03

Take profit at 47.0944 (5.8 %) and Stop Loss at 51.4438 (2.9 %)

Short Trade on RIVER

The 29 Jan 2026 at 01:05:03

With 5.5179 RIVER at 49.994$ per unit.

Position size of 275.8641 $

Take profit at 47.0944 (5.8 %) and Stop Loss at 51.4438 (2.9 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.48
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.91
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.48
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.65
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bull_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.055656

15m : 0.1271

1H : -0.038145

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.11
  4. atr: 0.9665436055
Details
  1. score: 1.11
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 48.6301
  4. ema21 : 50.7088
  5. ema50 : 55.9418
  6. ema100 : 59.0261
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0280456
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0409932
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0935442
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.153019
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.434411
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.730572
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.632346
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.383962
  17. rsi : 0.452146
  18. adx : 0.335876
  19. kc_percentage : 0.462367
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.265878
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.590156
  22. volume_ema1 : 3163861.1873314
  23. volume_ema2 : 7719679.3148379
  24. chop : 75.3173
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 47.7403
  29. ema21 : 47.5042
  30. ema50 : 48.4486
  31. ema100 : 50.6081
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0472058
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0049703
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0194921
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0121358
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.111117
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0480167
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.127517
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.150389
  42. rsi : 0.632879
  43. adx : 0.299948
  44. kc_percentage : 0.89188
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.127694
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.200254
  47. volume_ema1 : 1463170.3099775
  48. volume_ema2 : 1219050.4988386
  49. chop : 44.2301
  50. regime : bull_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 48.2226
  54. ema21 : 47.3808
  55. ema50 : 47.2257
  56. ema100 : 47.7153
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0367323
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0177661
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00328546
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0477544
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.327089
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.128509
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0230508
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0177719
  67. rsi : 0.740299
  68. adx : 0.327869
  69. kc_percentage : 1.10809
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0849182
  71. volume_ema_diff : 1.40266
  72. volume_ema1 : 963422.44316493
  73. volume_ema2 : 400980.2511313
  74. chop : 17.1565
  75. regime : bull_high_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    88543.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00342295
  81. 5m_price:
    88240.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.055656
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    88936.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00783258
  86. 15m_price:
    88240.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.1271
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    88688.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0050589
  91. 1H_price:
    88240.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.038145
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-26 04:00:00
                        [1] => 86
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-26 12:00:00
                        [1] => 67.194
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-26 18:00:00
                        [1] => 78.896
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 06:00:00
                        [1] => 53.21
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                        [1] => 67.931
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 17:00:00
                        [1] => 56.113
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 22:00:00
                        [1] => 75.627
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 11:00:00
                        [1] => 46.542
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 20:00:00
                        [1] => 43.89
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 00:00:00
                        [1] => 51.695
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.656253022536
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.120984278879
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 17.783094098884
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 09:45:00
                        [1] => 49.029
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 11:00:00
                        [1] => 53.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 11:30:00
                        [1] => 46.542
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 14:15:00
                        [1] => 46.555
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 15:00:00
                        [1] => 51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 16:45:00
                        [1] => 50.679
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 18:45:00
                        [1] => 50.824
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 20:15:00
                        [1] => 43.89
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 00:00:00
                        [1] => 45.369
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 00:45:00
                        [1] => 51.695
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.656253022536
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.4985121999603
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 13.94344155701
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 19:50:00
                        [1] => 49.287
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 20:20:00
                        [1] => 43.89
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 20:55:00
                        [1] => 48.278
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 21:50:00
                        [1] => 45.534
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 22:10:00
                        [1] => 47.715
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 23:00:00
                        [1] => 47.514
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 00:00:00
                        [1] => 45.369
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 00:05:00
                        [1] => 46.772
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 00:30:00
                        [1] => 45.501
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 00:55:00
                        [1] => 51.695
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.656253022536
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.1866552383464
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 13.612887628843
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.66%
Dist From Last Low Pct
7.19%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
13.61%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2512
0.49%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.2044
6.80%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-28 19:50:00 49.287 ↑ High
2026-01-28 20:20:00 43.89 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 20:55:00 48.278 ↑ High
2026-01-28 21:50:00 45.534 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 22:10:00 47.715 ↑ High
2026-01-28 23:00:00 47.514 ↑ High
2026-01-29 00:00:00 45.369 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 00:05:00 46.772 ↑ High
2026-01-29 00:30:00 45.501 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 00:55:00 51.695 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.66%
Dist From Last Low Pct
7.50%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
13.94%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.1562
4.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.2044
6.80%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-28 09:45:00 49.029 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 11:00:00 53.6 ↑ High
2026-01-28 11:30:00 46.542 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 14:15:00 46.555 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 15:00:00 51 ↑ High
2026-01-28 16:45:00 50.679 ↑ High
2026-01-28 18:45:00 50.824 ↑ High
2026-01-28 20:15:00 43.89 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 00:00:00 45.369 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 00:45:00 51.695 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.66%
Dist From Last Low Pct
11.12%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
17.78%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
34.5562
67.17%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.2044
6.80%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-26 04:00:00 86 ↑ High
2026-01-26 12:00:00 67.194 ↓ Low
2026-01-26 18:00:00 78.896 ↑ High
2026-01-27 06:00:00 53.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 12:00:00 67.931 ↑ High
2026-01-27 17:00:00 56.113 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 22:00:00 75.627 ↑ High
2026-01-28 11:00:00 46.542 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 20:00:00 43.89 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 00:00:00 51.695 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 Jan 2026
01:05:03
29 Jan 2026
02:20:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
49.994 51.4438 47.0944 2 11.241
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 49.994
  • Stop Loss: 51.4438
  • Take Profit: 47.0944

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 51.4438 - 49.994 = 1.4498

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 49.994 - 47.0944 = 2.8996

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.8996 / 1.4498 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
275.8641 100 5.5179 2.76
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.4498

Taille de position = 8 / 1.4498 = 5.52

Taille de position USD = 5.52 x 49.994 = 275.97

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.52 avec un stoploss a 51.4438

Avec un position size USD de 275.97$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.52 x 1.4498 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.52 x 2.8996 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.52
  • Taille de position USD 275.97
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.8 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.9 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.90
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.5707 % 192.1 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 47.0944
            [entry_price] => 49.994
            [stop_loss] => 51.58878
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 02:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 47.0944
            [entry_price] => 49.994
            [stop_loss] => 51.73376
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 02:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 47.0944
            [entry_price] => 49.994
            [stop_loss] => 51.87874
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 02:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 47.0944
            [entry_price] => 49.994
            [stop_loss] => 52.1687
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 02:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.33
            [max_drawdown] => 2.785
            [rr_ratio] => 0.84
            [high] => 52.77900000
            [low] => 47.66400000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.66
            [mae_pct] => 5.57
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.84
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-29T01:05:03-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-29T03:05:03-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 6.161
            [max_drawdown] => 4.598
            [rr_ratio] => 1.34
            [high] => 54.59200000
            [low] => 43.83300000
            [mfe_pct] => 12.32
            [mae_pct] => 9.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.34
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-29T01:05:03-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-29T08:05:03-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 51.69500000
            [high_after] => 54.59200000
            [low_before] => 45.36900000
            [low_after] => 47.66400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)