Short Trade on RENDER 29 Jan 2026 at 12:09:53
Take profit at 1.7898 (2.68 %) and Stop Loss at 1.8636 (1.34 %)
Short Trade on RENDER 29 Jan 2026 at 12:09:53
Take profit at 1.7898 (2.68 %) and Stop Loss at 1.8636 (1.34 %)
Position size of 598.1119 $
Take profit at 1.7898 (2.68 %) and Stop Loss at 1.8636 (1.34 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.92 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.65 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.77 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.505994 15m : 0.040368 1H : -0.144713 |
3 |
Indicators:
86713.8
-0.0181509
85139.9
0.505994
87932
-0.0317539
85139.9
0.040368
88337
-0.0361921
85139.9
-0.144713
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-25 14:00:00
[1] => 1.822
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 03:00:00
[1] => 1.945
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 10:00:00
[1] => 1.974
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-27 08:00:00
[1] => 1.791
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-27 11:00:00
[1] => 1.91
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 10:00:00
[1] => 2.008
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 12:00:00
[1] => 1.901
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 19:00:00
[1] => 2.003
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 09:00:00
[1] => 1.868
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 10:00:00
[1] => 1.758
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4453961456103
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7212741751991
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.2571103526735
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 16:00:00
[1] => 1.91
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 19:00:00
[1] => 2.003
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 23:15:00
[1] => 1.829
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 00:45:00
[1] => 1.866
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 03:15:00
[1] => 1.803
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 04:45:00
[1] => 1.826
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 07:30:00
[1] => 1.787
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 09:00:00
[1] => 1.868
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 10:00:00
[1] => 1.758
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 12:00:00
[1] => 1.847
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.32485110990796
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7212741751991
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.0625711035267
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 06:30:00
[1] => 1.797
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 07:15:00
[1] => 1.809
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 07:35:00
[1] => 1.787
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 08:25:00
[1] => 1.836
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 09:05:00
[1] => 1.868
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 10:10:00
[1] => 1.758
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 10:25:00
[1] => 1.812
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 10:55:00
[1] => 1.807
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 11:10:00
[1] => 1.769
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 12:05:00
[1] => 1.847
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.32485110990796
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0700960994912
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.4092707744488
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 06:30:00 | 1.797 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 07:15:00 | 1.809 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 07:35:00 | 1.787 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 08:25:00 | 1.836 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 09:05:00 | 1.868 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 10:10:00 | 1.758 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 10:25:00 | 1.812 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 10:55:00 | 1.807 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 11:10:00 | 1.769 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 12:05:00 | 1.847 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 16:00:00 | 1.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-28 19:00:00 | 2.003 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 23:15:00 | 1.829 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 00:45:00 | 1.866 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 03:15:00 | 1.803 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 04:45:00 | 1.826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 07:30:00 | 1.787 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 09:00:00 | 1.868 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 10:00:00 | 1.758 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 12:00:00 | 1.847 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 14:00:00 | 1.822 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-26 03:00:00 | 1.945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-26 10:00:00 | 1.974 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-27 08:00:00 | 1.791 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-27 11:00:00 | 1.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 10:00:00 | 2.008 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 12:00:00 | 1.901 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-28 19:00:00 | 2.003 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 09:00:00 | 1.868 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 10:00:00 | 1.758 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2026 12:09:53 |
29 Jan 2026 12:50:00 |
40 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.839 | 1.8636 | 1.7898 | 2 | 1.475 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.8636 - 1.839 = 0.0246
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.839 - 1.7898 = 0.0492
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0492 / 0.0246 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 598.1119 | 100 | 325.2376 | 5.98 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0246 = 325.2
Taille de position USD = 325.2 x 1.839 = 598.04
Donc, tu peux acheter 325.2 avec un stoploss a 1.8636
Avec un position size USD de 598.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 325.2 x 0.0246 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 325.2 x 0.0492 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.68 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.34 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 2.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2507 % | 93.5 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7898
[stop_loss] => 1.8636
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 12:50:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7775
[stop_loss] => 1.8636
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 13:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7652
[stop_loss] => 1.8636
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 13:45:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7529
[stop_loss] => 1.8636
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 13:50:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7406
[stop_loss] => 1.8636
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 13:50:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7283
[stop_loss] => 1.8636
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 14:10:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.716
[stop_loss] => 1.8636
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 14:20:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.103
[max_drawdown] => 0.023
[rr_ratio] => 4.48
[high] => 1.86200000
[low] => 1.73600000
[mfe_pct] => 5.6
[mae_pct] => 1.25
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.48
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-29T12:09:53-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-29T14:09:53-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.127
[max_drawdown] => 0.023
[rr_ratio] => 5.52
[high] => 1.86200000
[low] => 1.71200000
[mfe_pct] => 6.91
[mae_pct] => 1.25
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.52
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-29T12:09:53-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-29T19:09:53-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.86800000
[high_after] => 1.86200000
[low_before] => 1.75800000
[low_after] => 1.71200000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)