Short Trade on ORDI 29 Jan 2026 at 12:15:37
Take profit at 3.7335 (2.42 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8723 (1.21 %)
Short Trade on ORDI 29 Jan 2026 at 12:15:37
Take profit at 3.7335 (2.42 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8723 (1.21 %)
Position size of 661.5469 $
Take profit at 3.7335 (2.42 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8723 (1.21 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.61 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.68 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.71 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.699287 15m : -0.039326 1H : -0.141411 |
3 |
Indicators:
86672.4
-0.0169891
85200
0.699287
87850.8
-0.0301746
85200
-0.039326
88338.1
-0.0355248
85200
-0.141411
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 17:00:00
[1] => 3.974
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-27 01:00:00
[1] => 3.868
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-27 09:00:00
[1] => 3.828
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-27 16:00:00
[1] => 3.988
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 06:00:00
[1] => 3.959
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 11:00:00
[1] => 3.834
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 18:00:00
[1] => 3.958
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 23:00:00
[1] => 3.753
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 07:00:00
[1] => 3.882
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 10:00:00
[1] => 3.581
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3137557959815
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.9812901424183
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.4054733314717
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 16:00:00
[1] => 3.857
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 18:00:00
[1] => 3.958
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 21:30:00
[1] => 3.768
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 23:15:00
[1] => 3.753
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 03:15:00
[1] => 3.869
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 05:00:00
[1] => 3.852
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 06:15:00
[1] => 3.814
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 07:00:00
[1] => 3.882
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 10:00:00
[1] => 3.581
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 12:00:00
[1] => 3.852
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.54517133956386
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.9812901424183
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.5677185143815
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 04:20:00
[1] => 3.833
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 04:55:00
[1] => 3.834
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 05:10:00
[1] => 3.852
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 06:20:00
[1] => 3.814
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 07:10:00
[1] => 3.882
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 07:50:00
[1] => 3.829
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 08:35:00
[1] => 3.879
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 09:30:00
[1] => 3.869
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 10:10:00
[1] => 3.581
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 12:10:00
[1] => 3.852
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.54517133956386
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.9812901424183
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 25
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.5677185143815
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 04:20:00 | 3.833 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 04:55:00 | 3.834 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 05:10:00 | 3.852 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 06:20:00 | 3.814 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 07:10:00 | 3.882 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 07:50:00 | 3.829 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 08:35:00 | 3.879 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 09:30:00 | 3.869 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 10:10:00 | 3.581 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 12:10:00 | 3.852 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 16:00:00 | 3.857 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-28 18:00:00 | 3.958 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 21:30:00 | 3.768 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-28 23:15:00 | 3.753 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 03:15:00 | 3.869 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 05:00:00 | 3.852 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 06:15:00 | 3.814 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 07:00:00 | 3.882 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 10:00:00 | 3.581 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 12:00:00 | 3.852 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 17:00:00 | 3.974 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-27 01:00:00 | 3.868 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-27 09:00:00 | 3.828 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-27 16:00:00 | 3.988 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 06:00:00 | 3.959 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 11:00:00 | 3.834 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-28 18:00:00 | 3.958 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 23:00:00 | 3.753 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 07:00:00 | 3.882 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 10:00:00 | 3.581 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2026 12:15:37 |
29 Jan 2026 13:15:00 |
59 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.826 | 3.8723 | 3.7335 | 2 | 2.436 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.8723 - 3.826 = 0.0463
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.826 - 3.7335 = 0.0925
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0925 / 0.0463 = 1.9978
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 661.5469 | 100 | 172.9082 | 6.62 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0463 = 172.79
Taille de position USD = 172.79 x 3.826 = 661.09
Donc, tu peux acheter 172.79 avec un stoploss a 3.8723
Avec un position size USD de 661.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 172.79 x 0.0463 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 172.79 x 0.0925 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.42 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.21 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.99 $ | 2.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3398 % | 28.08 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.7334
[stop_loss] => 3.8723
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 13:15:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.71025
[stop_loss] => 3.8723
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 13:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.6871
[stop_loss] => 3.8723
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.66395
[stop_loss] => 3.8723
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 14:10:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.168
[max_drawdown] => 0.013
[rr_ratio] => 12.92
[high] => 3.83900000
[low] => 3.65800000
[mfe_pct] => 4.39
[mae_pct] => 0.34
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 12.92
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-29T12:15:37-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-29T14:15:37-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.168
[max_drawdown] => 0.013
[rr_ratio] => 12.92
[high] => 3.83900000
[low] => 3.65800000
[mfe_pct] => 4.39
[mae_pct] => 0.34
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 12.92
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-29T12:15:37-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-29T19:15:37-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 3.87900000
[high_after] => 3.83900000
[low_before] => 3.58100000
[low_after] => 3.65800000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)