Short Trade on AAVE 29 Jan 2026 at 15:59:47
Take profit at 145.1595 (1.18 %) and Stop Loss at 147.7553 (0.59 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 29 Jan 2026 at 15:59:47
Take profit at 145.1595 (1.18 %) and Stop Loss at 147.7553 (0.59 %)
Position size of 1358.0967 $
Take profit at 145.1595 (1.18 %) and Stop Loss at 147.7553 (0.59 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.78 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.68 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.57 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.797342 15m : -0.02608 1H : 0.093931 |
3 |
Indicators:
85138.2
-0.0128689
84042.6
0.797342
86915.1
-0.0325746
84083.9
-0.02608
87948
-0.0444064
84042.6
0.093931
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Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 07:40:00 | 153.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 09:10:00 | 155.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 10:40:00 | 145.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 12:20:00 | 149.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 14:20:00 | 142.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 14:30:00 | 145.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 15:50:00 | 146.92 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 23:15:00 | 155.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 00:00:00 | 157.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 00:45:00 | 156 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 03:15:00 | 157.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 07:30:00 | 153.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 09:00:00 | 155.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 10:30:00 | 145.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 12:15:00 | 149.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 14:15:00 | 142.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 15:45:00 | 146.92 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 03:00:00 | 153.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-26 10:00:00 | 154.78 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-26 16:00:00 | 155.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-26 23:00:00 | 155.26 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-27 12:00:00 | 152.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-27 18:00:00 | 159.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 00:00:00 | 156.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-28 07:00:00 | 163.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 18:00:00 | 161.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 14:00:00 | 142.96 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2026 15:59:47 |
29 Jan 2026 16:45:00 |
45 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 146.89 | 147.7553 | 145.1595 | 2 | 115.94 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 147.7553 - 146.89 = 0.86530000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 146.89 - 145.1595 = 1.7305
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.7305 / 0.86530000000002 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1358.0967 | 100 | 9.2457 | 13.58 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.86530000000002 = 9.25
Taille de position USD = 9.25 x 146.89 = 1358.73
Donc, tu peux acheter 9.25 avec un stoploss a 147.7553
Avec un position size USD de 1358.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 9.25 x 0.86530000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 9.25 x 1.7305 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.18 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.59 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.708 % | 120.18 % | 2 |
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