Web3Way Logo

Short Trade on MSTR

Previous Trade Next Trade

Short Trade on MSTR 29 Jan 2026 at 16:06:31

Take profit at 142.4927 (1.47 %) and Stop Loss at 145.6837 (0.74 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 29 Jan 2026 at 16:06:31

With 7.5212 MSTR at 144.62$ per unit.

Position size of 1087.7134 $

Take profit at 142.4927 (1.47 %) and Stop Loss at 145.6837 (0.74 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 120
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.61
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.48
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.7
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.548467

15m : 0.085909

1H : -0.077254

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.3
  4. atr: 0.7091083926
Details
  1. score: 1.3
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 146.018
  4. ema21 : 150.767
  5. ema50 : 155.481
  6. ema100 : 158.274
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00957636
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0315008
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0303176
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0862725
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.647109
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.438075
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.244329
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.140742
  17. rsi : 0.261426
  18. adx : 0.517644
  19. kc_percentage : -0.172642
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0601958
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.958153
  22. volume_ema1 : 4231592.9667454
  23. volume_ema2 : 2161012.0323752
  24. chop : 3.98656
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 142.572
  28. ema21 : 143.902
  29. ema50 : 148.285
  30. ema100 : 152.173
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0143627
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00924729
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0295514
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0496397
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.125976
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.223686
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.214779
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.150177
  41. rsi : 0.484365
  42. adx : 0.603455
  43. kc_percentage : 0.669086
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0361151
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.238433
  46. volume_ema1 : 1428000.7980506
  47. volume_ema2 : 1153070.3899558
  48. chop : 51.4553
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 143.05
  52. ema21 : 142.314
  53. ema50 : 143.101
  54. ema100 : 145.947
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0109707
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00516904
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0054942
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00909269
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.106002
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0397211
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0260014
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.056377
  65. rsi : 0.721811
  66. adx : 0.325099
  67. kc_percentage : 1.29724
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0198251
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.00195131
  70. volume_ema1 : 508449.93588301
  71. volume_ema2 : 509444.02280561
  72. chop : 26.3396
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85111
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00963426
  78. 5m_price: 
    84291.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.548467
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86894.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0299595
  83. 15m_price: 
    84291.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.085909
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87815.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0401337
  88. 1H_price: 
    84291.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.077254
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 09:00:00
                    [1] => 158.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
                    [1] => 163.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 23:00:00
                    [1] => 162.93
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                    [1] => 157.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 16:00:00
                    [1] => 162.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 00:00:00
                    [1] => 161.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:00:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -12.776101388051
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1914893617021
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 31
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.380408396402
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 01:15:00
                    [1] => 158.71
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 03:30:00
                    [1] => 158.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 03:45:00
                    [1] => 157.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 06:00:00
                    [1] => 157.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 07:00:00
                    [1] => 158.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 11:00:00
                    [1] => 142.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 12:15:00
                    [1] => 145.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:15:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13128800442233
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1914893617021
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3271455090675
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 07:50:00
                    [1] => 157.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 08:10:00
                    [1] => 158.15
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 11:10:00
                    [1] => 142.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 11:20:00
                    [1] => 144.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 12:20:00
                    [1] => 145.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 14:20:00
                    [1] => 140.77
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 14:55:00
                    [1] => 141.78
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:25:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:05:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13128800442233
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1914893617021
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3271455090675
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.19%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.33%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.4663
8.56%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4327
1.71%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 07:50:00 157.5 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 08:10:00 158.15 ↑ High
2026-01-29 11:10:00 142.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 11:20:00 144.91 ↑ High
2026-01-29 12:20:00 145.28 ↑ High
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 14:20:00 140.77 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 14:55:00 141.78 ↑ High
2026-01-29 15:25:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:05:00 144.72 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.19%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.33%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.0263
8.94%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4327
1.71%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 01:15:00 158.71 ↑ High
2026-01-29 03:30:00 158.65 ↑ High
2026-01-29 03:45:00 157.73 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 06:00:00 157.61 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 07:00:00 158.22 ↑ High
2026-01-29 11:00:00 142.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 12:15:00 145.28 ↑ High
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:15:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:00:00 144.72 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-12.78%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.19%
Bars Since Swing High
31 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.38%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
20.0163
13.74%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4327
1.71%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-26 09:00:00 158.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-26 14:00:00 163.97 ↑ High
2026-01-26 23:00:00 162.93 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:00:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 16:00:00 162.48 ↑ High
2026-01-28 00:00:00 161.08 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 09:00:00 165.7 ↑ High
2026-01-28 14:00:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 21:00:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:00:00 140.06 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 Jan 2026
16:06:31		 29 Jan 2026
20:20:00		 4 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
144.62 145.6837 142.4927 2 129.12
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 144.62
  • Stop Loss: 145.6837
  • Take Profit: 142.4927

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 145.6837 - 144.62 = 1.0637

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 144.62 - 142.4927 = 2.1273

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.1273 / 1.0637 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1087.7134 100 7.5212 10.88
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.0637

Taille de position = 8 / 1.0637 = 7.52

Taille de position USD = 7.52 x 144.62 = 1087.54

Donc, tu peux acheter 7.52 avec un stoploss a 145.6837

Avec un position size USD de 1087.54$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7.52 x 1.0637 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7.52 x 2.1273 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 7.52
  • Taille de position USD 1087.54
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.47 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.74 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.47
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0346 % 4.7 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 142.4926
            [stop_loss] => 145.6837
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.96075
            [stop_loss] => 145.6837
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.4289
            [stop_loss] => 145.6837
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.89705
            [stop_loss] => 145.6837
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.3652
            [stop_loss] => 145.6837
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.83335
            [stop_loss] => 145.6837
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.3015
            [stop_loss] => 145.6837
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.76965
            [stop_loss] => 145.6837
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.2378
            [stop_loss] => 145.6837
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 21:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.75999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 144.53000000
            [low] => 143.86000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.53
            [mae_pct] => -0.06
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-29T16:06:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-29T18:06:31-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 6.53
            [max_drawdown] => 0.049999999999983
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 144.67000000
            [low] => 138.09000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.52
            [mae_pct] => 0.03
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 130.6
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-29T16:06:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-29T23:06:31-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 145.28000000
            [high_after] => 144.67000000
            [low_before] => 140.06000000
            [low_after] => 138.09000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)