Short Trade on AAVE 29 Jan 2026 at 16:14:17

Take profit at 145.5704 (1.16 %) and Stop Loss at 148.1348 (0.58 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 29 Jan 2026 at 16:14:17

With 9.3591 AAVE at 147.28$ per unit.

Position size of 1378.4065 $

Take profit at 145.5704 (1.16 %) and Stop Loss at 148.1348 (0.58 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 7.19
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.76
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.59
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.81
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.810759

15m : 0.052317

1H : -0.119955

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.569856085
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 147.895
  4. ema21 : 151.28
  5. ema50 : 154.073
  6. ema100 : 153.969
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00416478
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0223738
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0181268
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0434448
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.47839
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.350888
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.174703
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0732803
  17. rsi : 0.33511
  18. adx : 0.403418
  19. kc_percentage : 0.0679511
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0595053
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.238634
  22. volume_ema1 : 519131.49085393
  23. volume_ema2 : 419116.05138438
  24. chop : 21.9667
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 145.927
  29. ema21 : 146.542
  30. ema50 : 149.419
  31. ema100 : 152.706
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00927092
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00419794
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0192576
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0355366
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0775409
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.136946
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.142289
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.110513
  42. rsi : 0.506985
  43. adx : 0.343073
  44. kc_percentage : 0.676949
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0319075
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.456387
  47. volume_ema1 : 89224.053083978
  48. volume_ema2 : 164131.62457667
  49. chop : 54.4096
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 146.618
  54. ema21 : 145.976
  55. ema50 : 146.147
  56. ema100 : 147.583
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00451065
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00439986
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00117363
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00205543
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.104958
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0644906
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00811893
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.019088
  67. rsi : 0.693617
  68. adx : 0.261718
  69. kc_percentage : 1.08608
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0147651
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.729817
  72. volume_ema1 : 15117.476648228
  73. volume_ema2 : 55952.910393564
  74. chop : 43.6278
  75. regime : range_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    85111.9
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00836607
  81. 5m_price:
    84399.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.810759
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    86896.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0287314
  86. 15m_price:
    84399.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.052317
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    87817.6
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0389183
  91. 1H_price:
    84399.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.119955
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-26 03:00:00
                        [1] => 153.4
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-26 10:00:00
                        [1] => 154.78
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-26 16:00:00
                        [1] => 155.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-26 23:00:00
                        [1] => 155.26
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                        [1] => 152.76
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 18:00:00
                        [1] => 159.72
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 00:00:00
                        [1] => 156.43
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 07:00:00
                        [1] => 163.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 18:00:00
                        [1] => 161.39
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 14:00:00
                        [1] => 142.96
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -8.7180122684181
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0498041410185
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 22
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.891717963067
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 23:15:00
                        [1] => 155.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 00:00:00
                        [1] => 157.27
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 00:45:00
                        [1] => 156
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 03:15:00
                        [1] => 157.13
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 07:30:00
                        [1] => 153.06
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 09:00:00
                        [1] => 155.07
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 10:30:00
                        [1] => 145.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 12:15:00
                        [1] => 149.46
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 14:15:00
                        [1] => 142.96
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
                        [1] => 147.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.081389039609336
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0498041410185
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1337437045327
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 07:55:00
                        [1] => 153.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 09:10:00
                        [1] => 155.07
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 10:40:00
                        [1] => 145.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 12:20:00
                        [1] => 149.46
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 14:20:00
                        [1] => 142.96
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 14:30:00
                        [1] => 145.49
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 16:10:00
                        [1] => 147.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.081389039609336
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0498041410185
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 22
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3402983022888
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.05%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
22 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.34%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.9352
4.68%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.6104
1.79%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 07:55:00 153.35 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 09:10:00 155.07 ↑ High
2026-01-29 10:40:00 145.19 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 12:20:00 149.46 ↑ High
2026-01-29 14:20:00 142.96 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 14:30:00 145.49 ↑ High
2026-01-29 16:10:00 147.44 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.05%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.13%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.1352
6.17%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.6104
1.79%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-28 23:15:00 155.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 00:00:00 157.27 ↑ High
2026-01-29 00:45:00 156 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 03:15:00 157.13 ↑ High
2026-01-29 07:30:00 153.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 09:00:00 155.07 ↑ High
2026-01-29 10:30:00 145.19 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 12:15:00 149.46 ↑ High
2026-01-29 14:15:00 142.96 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:00:00 147.44 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-8.72%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.05%
Bars Since Swing High
22 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.89%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.6152
10.54%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.6104
1.79%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-26 03:00:00 153.4 ↑ High
2026-01-26 10:00:00 154.78 ↑ High
2026-01-26 16:00:00 155.19 ↑ High
2026-01-26 23:00:00 155.26 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:00:00 152.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 18:00:00 159.72 ↑ High
2026-01-28 00:00:00 156.43 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 07:00:00 163.75 ↑ High
2026-01-28 18:00:00 161.39 ↑ High
2026-01-29 14:00:00 142.96 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 Jan 2026
16:14:17
29 Jan 2026
20:35:00
4 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
147.28 148.1348 145.5704 2 112.84
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 147.28
  • Stop Loss: 148.1348
  • Take Profit: 145.5704

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 148.1348 - 147.28 = 0.85480000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 147.28 - 145.5704 = 1.7096

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.7096 / 0.85480000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1378.4065 100 9.3591 13.78
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.85480000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.85480000000001 = 9.36

Taille de position USD = 9.36 x 147.28 = 1378.54

Donc, tu peux acheter 9.36 avec un stoploss a 148.1348

Avec un position size USD de 1378.54$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 9.36 x 0.85480000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 9.36 x 1.7096 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 9.36
  • Taille de position USD 1378.54
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.16 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.58 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.16
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4413 % 76.03 % 12

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 145.5704
            [stop_loss] => 148.1348
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 145.143
            [stop_loss] => 148.1348
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 144.7156
            [stop_loss] => 148.1348
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 144.2882
            [stop_loss] => 148.1348
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 143.8608
            [stop_loss] => 148.1348
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 143.4334
            [stop_loss] => 148.1348
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 143.006
            [stop_loss] => 148.1348
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 142.5786
            [stop_loss] => 148.1348
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 142.1512
            [stop_loss] => 148.1348
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.7238
            [stop_loss] => 148.1348
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.2964
            [stop_loss] => 148.1348
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.97
            [max_drawdown] => 0.65000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.49
            [high] => 147.93000000
            [low] => 146.31000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.66
            [mae_pct] => 0.44
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.49
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-29T16:14:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-29T18:14:17-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 6.89
            [max_drawdown] => 0.65000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 10.6
            [high] => 147.93000000
            [low] => 140.39000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.68
            [mae_pct] => 0.44
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 10.6
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-29T16:14:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-29T23:14:17-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 149.46000000
            [high_after] => 147.93000000
            [low_before] => 142.96000000
            [low_after] => 140.39000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)