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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 29 Jan 2026 at 16:35:40

Take profit at 142.5772 (1.15 %) and Stop Loss at 145.0714 (0.58 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 29 Jan 2026 at 16:35:40

With 9.6225 MSTR at 144.24$ per unit.

Position size of 1387.9554 $

Take profit at 142.5772 (1.15 %) and Stop Loss at 145.0714 (0.58 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 7.17
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.81
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.86
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.9
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.542875

15m : -0.031471

1H : -0.011297

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.5542541267
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 145.942
  4. ema21 : 150.733
  5. ema50 : 155.466
  6. ema100 : 158.267
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0116643
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.031783
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0304468
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0886301
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.65111
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.439884
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.245104
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.141132
  17. rsi : 0.244753
  18. adx : 0.517579
  19. kc_percentage : -0.211808
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0603821
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.0264
  22. volume_ema1 : 4425255.924012
  23. volume_ema2 : 2183795.9097007
  24. chop : 3.98787
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 143.113
  28. ema21 : 143.928
  29. ema50 : 147.953
  30. ema100 : 151.818
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00787168
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0056606
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0272066
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0499201
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.04094
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.167632
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.191284
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.140374
  41. rsi : 0.467083
  42. adx : 0.53542
  43. kc_percentage : 0.598447
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0314408
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.333024
  46. volume_ema1 : 725717.79013362
  47. volume_ema2 : 1088073.4265859
  48. chop : 50.5981
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 143.864
  52. ema21 : 143.11
  53. ema50 : 143.326
  54. ema100 : 145.776
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00260809
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00527289
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00150771
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0105431
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.161596
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.102252
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0181079
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.030639
  65. rsi : 0.659815
  66. adx : 0.349193
  67. kc_percentage : 1.03692
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0140738
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.844993
  70. volume_ema1 : 65021.051728915
  71. volume_ema2 : 419472.76505879
  72. chop : 28.0014
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85033.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00840737
  78. 5m_price: 
    84319
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.542875
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86708.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0275557
  83. 15m_price: 
    84319
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.031471
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87816
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.039822
  88. 1H_price: 
    84319
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.011297
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 09:00:00
                    [1] => 158.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
                    [1] => 163.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 23:00:00
                    [1] => 162.93
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                    [1] => 157.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 16:00:00
                    [1] => 162.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 00:00:00
                    [1] => 161.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:00:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -12.866626433313
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0843924032557
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 31
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.380408396402
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 01:15:00
                    [1] => 158.71
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 03:30:00
                    [1] => 158.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 03:45:00
                    [1] => 157.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 06:00:00
                    [1] => 157.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 07:00:00
                    [1] => 158.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 11:00:00
                    [1] => 142.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 12:15:00
                    [1] => 145.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:15:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23493642896628
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0843924032557
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3271455090675
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 08:20:00
                    [1] => 158.03
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 11:10:00
                    [1] => 142.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 11:20:00
                    [1] => 144.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 12:20:00
                    [1] => 145.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 14:20:00
                    [1] => 140.77
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 14:55:00
                    [1] => 141.78
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:25:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:05:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23493642896628
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0843924032557
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3271455090675
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.08%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.33%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.9586
8.93%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5172
1.77%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 08:20:00 158.03 ↑ High
2026-01-29 11:10:00 142.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 11:20:00 144.91 ↑ High
2026-01-29 12:20:00 145.28 ↑ High
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 14:20:00 140.77 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 14:55:00 141.78 ↑ High
2026-01-29 15:25:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:05:00 144.72 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.08%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.33%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.6386
9.40%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5172
1.77%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 01:15:00 158.71 ↑ High
2026-01-29 03:30:00 158.65 ↑ High
2026-01-29 03:45:00 157.73 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 06:00:00 157.61 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 07:00:00 158.22 ↑ High
2026-01-29 11:00:00 142.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 12:15:00 145.28 ↑ High
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:15:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:00:00 144.72 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-12.87%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.08%
Bars Since Swing High
31 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.38%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
20.6286
14.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5172
1.77%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-26 09:00:00 158.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-26 14:00:00 163.97 ↑ High
2026-01-26 23:00:00 162.93 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:00:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 16:00:00 162.48 ↑ High
2026-01-28 00:00:00 161.08 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 09:00:00 165.7 ↑ High
2026-01-28 14:00:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 21:00:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:00:00 140.06 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 Jan 2026
16:35:40		 29 Jan 2026
20:20:00		 3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
144.24 145.0714 142.5772 2 128.31
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 144.24
  • Stop Loss: 145.0714
  • Take Profit: 142.5772

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 145.0714 - 144.24 = 0.8314

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 144.24 - 142.5772 = 1.6628

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.6628 / 0.8314 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1387.9554 100 9.6225 13.88
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.8314

Taille de position = 8 / 0.8314 = 9.62

Taille de position USD = 9.62 x 144.24 = 1387.59

Donc, tu peux acheter 9.62 avec un stoploss a 145.0714

Avec un position size USD de 1387.59$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 9.62 x 0.8314 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 9.62 x 1.6628 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 9.62
  • Taille de position USD 1387.59
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.15 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.58 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.15
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2981 % 51.72 % 14

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 142.5772
            [stop_loss] => 145.0714
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 142.1615
            [stop_loss] => 145.0714
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.7458
            [stop_loss] => 145.0714
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.3301
            [stop_loss] => 145.0714
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.9144
            [stop_loss] => 145.0714
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.4987
            [stop_loss] => 145.0714
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.083
            [stop_loss] => 145.0714
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.6673
            [stop_loss] => 145.0714
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.2516
            [stop_loss] => 145.0714
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.8359
            [stop_loss] => 145.0714
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.4202
            [stop_loss] => 145.0714
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.38
            [max_drawdown] => 0.25999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 1.46
            [high] => 144.50000000
            [low] => 143.86000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.26
            [mae_pct] => 0.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.46
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-29T16:35:40-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-29T18:35:40-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 6.15
            [max_drawdown] => 0.42999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 14.3
            [high] => 144.67000000
            [low] => 138.09000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.26
            [mae_pct] => 0.3
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 14.3
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-29T16:35:40-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-29T23:35:40-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 144.77000000
            [high_after] => 144.67000000
            [low_before] => 140.06000000
            [low_after] => 138.09000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)