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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 29 Jan 2026 at 16:40:09

Take profit at 142.8082 (1.09 %) and Stop Loss at 145.1659 (0.54 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 29 Jan 2026 at 16:40:09

With 10.1792 MSTR at 144.38$ per unit.

Position size of 1469.6709 $

Take profit at 142.8082 (1.09 %) and Stop Loss at 145.1659 (0.54 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 7.43
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.93
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.83
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.96
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.543612

15m : 0.091081

1H : -0.002014

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.5239449493
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 145.97
  4. ema21 : 150.745
  5. ema50 : 155.472
  6. ema100 : 158.27
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0108948
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.031679
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0303992
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0877615
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.649636
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.439218
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.244819
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.140988
  17. rsi : 0.250983
  18. adx : 0.517579
  19. kc_percentage : -0.197265
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0603236
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.02687
  22. volume_ema1 : 4426594.175812
  23. volume_ema2 : 2183953.351089
  24. chop : 3.98787
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 143.113
  28. ema21 : 143.928
  29. ema50 : 147.953
  30. ema100 : 151.818
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00884992
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0056606
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0272066
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0489979
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.04094
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.167632
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.191284
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.140374
  41. rsi : 0.467083
  42. adx : 0.53542
  43. kc_percentage : 0.629318
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0314103
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.333024
  46. volume_ema1 : 725717.79013362
  47. volume_ema2 : 1088073.4265859
  48. chop : 50.5981
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 143.99
  52. ema21 : 143.237
  53. ema50 : 143.373
  54. ema100 : 145.756
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00270692
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00525727
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000950187
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00944084
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.155506
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.104993
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0225572
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0275521
  65. rsi : 0.670478
  66. adx : 0.353655
  67. kc_percentage : 1.08631
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0130032
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.890066
  70. volume_ema1 : 44239.535685944
  71. volume_ema2 : 402422.3069512
  72. chop : 33.1793
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85032.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0072848
  78. 5m_price: 
    84412.8
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.543612
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86708.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0275557
  83. 15m_price: 
    84319
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.091081
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87817.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0387742
  88. 1H_price: 
    84412.8
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.002014
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 09:00:00
                    [1] => 158.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
                    [1] => 163.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 23:00:00
                    [1] => 162.93
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                    [1] => 157.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 16:00:00
                    [1] => 162.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 00:00:00
                    [1] => 161.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:00:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -13.059746529873
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8559188919035
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 31
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.380408396402
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 01:15:00
                    [1] => 158.71
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 03:30:00
                    [1] => 158.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 03:45:00
                    [1] => 157.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 06:00:00
                    [1] => 157.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 07:00:00
                    [1] => 158.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 11:00:00
                    [1] => 142.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 12:15:00
                    [1] => 145.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:15:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.45605306799336
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8559188919035
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3271455090675
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 08:35:00
                    [1] => 158
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 11:10:00
                    [1] => 142.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 11:20:00
                    [1] => 144.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 12:20:00
                    [1] => 145.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 14:20:00
                    [1] => 140.77
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 14:55:00
                    [1] => 141.78
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:25:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:05:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.45605306799336
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8559188919035
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3271455090675
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.46%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.86%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.33%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.8341
8.84%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.7482
1.92%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 08:35:00 158 ↑ High
2026-01-29 11:10:00 142.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 11:20:00 144.91 ↑ High
2026-01-29 12:20:00 145.28 ↑ High
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 14:20:00 140.77 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 14:55:00 141.78 ↑ High
2026-01-29 15:25:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:05:00 144.72 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.46%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.86%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.33%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.5441
9.33%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.7482
1.92%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 01:15:00 158.71 ↑ High
2026-01-29 03:30:00 158.65 ↑ High
2026-01-29 03:45:00 157.73 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 06:00:00 157.61 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 07:00:00 158.22 ↑ High
2026-01-29 11:00:00 142.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 12:15:00 145.28 ↑ High
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:15:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:00:00 144.72 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-13.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.86%
Bars Since Swing High
31 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.38%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
20.5341
14.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.7482
1.92%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-26 09:00:00 158.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-26 14:00:00 163.97 ↑ High
2026-01-26 23:00:00 162.93 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:00:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 16:00:00 162.48 ↑ High
2026-01-28 00:00:00 161.08 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 09:00:00 165.7 ↑ High
2026-01-28 14:00:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 21:00:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:00:00 140.06 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 Jan 2026
16:40:09		 29 Jan 2026
20:20:00		 3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
144.38 145.1659 142.8082 2 134.24
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 144.38
  • Stop Loss: 145.1659
  • Take Profit: 142.8082

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 145.1659 - 144.38 = 0.7859

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 144.38 - 142.8082 = 1.5718

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5718 / 0.7859 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1469.6709 100 10.1792 14.70
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.7859

Taille de position = 8 / 0.7859 = 10.18

Taille de position USD = 10.18 x 144.38 = 1469.79

Donc, tu peux acheter 10.18 avec un stoploss a 145.1659

Avec un position size USD de 1469.79$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 10.18 x 0.7859 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 10.18 x 1.5718 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 10.18
  • Taille de position USD 1469.79
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.09 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.54 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.09
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2009 % 36.91 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 142.8082
            [stop_loss] => 145.1659
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 142.41525
            [stop_loss] => 145.1659
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 142.0223
            [stop_loss] => 145.1659
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.62935
            [stop_loss] => 145.1659
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.2364
            [stop_loss] => 145.1659
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.84345
            [stop_loss] => 145.1659
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.4505
            [stop_loss] => 145.1659
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.05755
            [stop_loss] => 145.1659
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.6646
            [stop_loss] => 145.1659
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.27165
            [stop_loss] => 145.1659
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.8787
            [stop_loss] => 145.1659
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.51999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 0.28999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 1.79
            [high] => 144.67000000
            [low] => 143.86000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.36
            [mae_pct] => 0.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.79
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-29T16:40:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-29T18:40:09-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 6.29
            [max_drawdown] => 0.28999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 21.69
            [high] => 144.67000000
            [low] => 138.09000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.36
            [mae_pct] => 0.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 21.69
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-29T16:40:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-29T23:40:09-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 144.72000000
            [high_after] => 144.67000000
            [low_before] => 140.06000000
            [low_after] => 138.09000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)