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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 29 Jan 2026 at 18:48:14

Take profit at 143.939 (0.48 %) and Stop Loss at 144.9905 (0.24 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 29 Jan 2026 at 18:48:14

With 22.8241 MSTR at 144.64$ per unit.

Position size of 3301.2797 $

Take profit at 143.939 (0.48 %) and Stop Loss at 144.9905 (0.24 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.53
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.66
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.73
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.413126

15m : -0.081705

1H : 0.033625

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.13
  4. atr: 0.2336710047
Details
  1. score: 1.13
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 145.402
  4. ema21 : 149.639
  5. ema50 : 154.618
  6. ema100 : 157.724
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0052437
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0283182
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0321958
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0829591
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.67001
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.485443
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.279936
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.162799
  17. rsi : 0.272474
  18. adx : 0.521242
  19. kc_percentage : -0.124476
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0521484
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0102506
  22. volume_ema1 : 2047076.7355683
  23. volume_ema2 : 2026305.7277702
  24. chop : 7.81414
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 144.131
  28. ema21 : 144.102
  29. ema50 : 146.823
  30. ema100 : 150.59
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00352688
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000204096
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0185324
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0395149
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.121504
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0157002
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0904118
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0947819
  41. rsi : 0.510367
  42. adx : 0.323448
  43. kc_percentage : 0.732575
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0174135
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.92996
  46. volume_ema1 : 53217.244743664
  47. volume_ema2 : 759812.19833367
  48. chop : 44.5994
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 144.315
  52. ema21 : 144.121
  53. ema50 : 143.704
  54. ema100 : 143.66
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00224689
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00134742
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00289877
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00681876
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0125451
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0156603
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0181706
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00850132
  65. rsi : 0.6601
  66. adx : 0.253523
  67. kc_percentage : 1.13378
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0054663
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.890974
  70. volume_ema1 : 17718.894031148
  71. volume_ema2 : 162520.92247407
  72. chop : 60.861
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    84490.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00157193
  78. 5m_price: 
    84623.4
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.413126
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86369.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0202191
  83. 15m_price: 
    84623.4
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.081705
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87592.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0339016
  88. 1H_price: 
    84623.4
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.033625
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 09:00:00
                    [1] => 158.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
                    [1] => 163.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 23:00:00
                    [1] => 162.93
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                    [1] => 157.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 16:00:00
                    [1] => 162.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 00:00:00
                    [1] => 161.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:00:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -12.824381412191
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.134370983864
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 33
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.380408396402
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 03:30:00
                    [1] => 158.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 03:45:00
                    [1] => 157.73
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 06:00:00
                    [1] => 157.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 07:00:00
                    [1] => 158.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 11:00:00
                    [1] => 142.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 12:15:00
                    [1] => 145.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:15:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 18:30:00
                    [1] => 144.67
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15207022879657
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.134370983864
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.034561415635592
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 11:20:00
                    [1] => 144.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 12:20:00
                    [1] => 145.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 14:20:00
                    [1] => 140.77
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 14:55:00
                    [1] => 141.78
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:25:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:05:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 17:25:00
                    [1] => 143.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 18:00:00
                    [1] => 144.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 18:40:00
                    [1] => 144.67
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15207022879657
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.38220986796385
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.25641025641024
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.38%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.26%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2895
0.20%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.8790
2.69%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 11:20:00 144.91 ↑ High
2026-01-29 12:20:00 145.28 ↑ High
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 14:20:00 140.77 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 14:55:00 141.78 ↑ High
2026-01-29 15:25:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:05:00 144.72 ↑ High
2026-01-29 17:25:00 143.86 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 18:00:00 144.3 ↑ High
2026-01-29 18:40:00 144.67 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.13%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.03%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.6595
9.42%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.8790
2.69%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 03:30:00 158.65 ↑ High
2026-01-29 03:45:00 157.73 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 06:00:00 157.61 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 07:00:00 158.22 ↑ High
2026-01-29 11:00:00 142.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 12:15:00 145.28 ↑ High
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:15:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:00:00 144.72 ↑ High
2026-01-29 18:30:00 144.67 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-12.82%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.13%
Bars Since Swing High
33 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.38%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
20.7095
14.28%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.8790
2.69%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-26 09:00:00 158.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-26 14:00:00 163.97 ↑ High
2026-01-26 23:00:00 162.93 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:00:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 16:00:00 162.48 ↑ High
2026-01-28 00:00:00 161.08 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 09:00:00 165.7 ↑ High
2026-01-28 14:00:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 21:00:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:00:00 140.06 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 Jan 2026
18:48:14		 29 Jan 2026
19:30:00		 41 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
144.64 144.9905 143.939 2 130.26
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 144.64
  • Stop Loss: 144.9905
  • Take Profit: 143.939

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 144.9905 - 144.64 = 0.35050000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 144.64 - 143.939 = 0.70099999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.70099999999999 / 0.35050000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3301.2797 100 22.8241 33.01
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.35050000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.35050000000001 = 22.82

Taille de position USD = 22.82 x 144.64 = 3300.68

Donc, tu peux acheter 22.82 avec un stoploss a 144.9905

Avec un position size USD de 3300.68$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 22.82 x 0.35050000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 22.82 x 0.70099999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 22.82
  • Taille de position USD 3300.68
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.48 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.24 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.48
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 143.939
            [stop_loss] => 144.9905
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 143.76375
            [stop_loss] => 144.9905
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 143.5885
            [stop_loss] => 144.9905
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 19:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 143.41325
            [stop_loss] => 144.9905
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 143.238
            [stop_loss] => 144.9905
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 143.06275
            [stop_loss] => 144.9905
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 142.8875
            [stop_loss] => 144.9905
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 142.71225
            [stop_loss] => 144.9905
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 142.537
            [stop_loss] => 144.9905
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 142.36175
            [stop_loss] => 144.9905
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 142.1865
            [stop_loss] => 144.9905
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 6.22
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 144.48000000
            [low] => 138.42000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.3
            [mae_pct] => -0.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-29T18:48:14-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-29T20:48:14-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 6.55
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 144.48000000
            [low] => 138.09000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.53
            [mae_pct] => -0.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-29T18:48:14-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T01:48:14-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 144.72000000
            [high_after] => 144.48000000
            [low_before] => 140.06000000
            [low_after] => 138.09000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)