Short Trade on TRUMP 29 Jan 2026 at 19:05:47
Take profit at 4.5655 (0.36 %) and Stop Loss at 4.5903 (0.18 %)
Short Trade on TRUMP 29 Jan 2026 at 19:05:47
Take profit at 4.5655 (0.36 %) and Stop Loss at 4.5903 (0.18 %)
Position size of 4434.6221 $
Take profit at 4.5655 (0.36 %) and Stop Loss at 4.5903 (0.18 %)
That's a 1.99 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.82 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.89 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.782411 15m : -0.028437 1H : -0.035243 |
2 |
Indicators:
84438.9
0.00297314
84690
0.782411
86328.9
-0.0189845
84690
-0.028437
87522.8
-0.0323669
84690
-0.035243
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 16:00:00
[1] => 4.785
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 20:00:00
[1] => 4.82
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-27 09:00:00
[1] => 4.73
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-27 16:00:00
[1] => 4.823
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-27 21:00:00
[1] => 4.735
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 05:00:00
[1] => 4.829
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 11:00:00
[1] => 4.71
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 18:00:00
[1] => 4.791
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 14:00:00
[1] => 4.502
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 19:00:00
[1] => 4.582
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.065473592317768
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7103509551311
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.776988005331
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 03:30:00
[1] => 4.7
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 07:30:00
[1] => 4.63
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 08:00:00
[1] => 4.652
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 10:00:00
[1] => 4.536
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 12:15:00
[1] => 4.632
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 14:00:00
[1] => 4.502
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
[1] => 4.577
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 16:45:00
[1] => 4.577
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 17:45:00
[1] => 4.552
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 19:00:00
[1] => 4.582
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.065473592317768
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.59314586994728
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.65905096660809
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 11:30:00
[1] => 4.556
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 12:15:00
[1] => 4.632
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 14:10:00
[1] => 4.502
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 14:45:00
[1] => 4.552
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 16:10:00
[1] => 4.577
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 16:30:00
[1] => 4.559
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 16:45:00
[1] => 4.577
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 17:45:00
[1] => 4.552
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 17:55:00
[1] => 4.567
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 19:00:00
[1] => 4.582
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.065473592317768
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.59314586994728
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.32844317932997
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 11:30:00 | 4.556 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 12:15:00 | 4.632 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 14:10:00 | 4.502 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 14:45:00 | 4.552 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 16:10:00 | 4.577 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 16:30:00 | 4.559 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 16:45:00 | 4.577 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 17:45:00 | 4.552 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 17:55:00 | 4.567 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 19:00:00 | 4.582 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 03:30:00 | 4.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 07:30:00 | 4.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 08:00:00 | 4.652 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 10:00:00 | 4.536 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 12:15:00 | 4.632 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 14:00:00 | 4.502 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 16:00:00 | 4.577 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 16:45:00 | 4.577 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 17:45:00 | 4.552 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 19:00:00 | 4.582 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 16:00:00 | 4.785 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-26 20:00:00 | 4.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-27 09:00:00 | 4.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-27 16:00:00 | 4.823 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-27 21:00:00 | 4.735 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-28 05:00:00 | 4.829 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 11:00:00 | 4.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-28 18:00:00 | 4.791 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 14:00:00 | 4.502 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 19:00:00 | 4.582 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2026 19:05:47 |
29 Jan 2026 19:30:00 |
24 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.582 | 4.5903 | 4.5655 | 1.99 | 3.475 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.5903 - 4.582 = 0.0083000000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.582 - 4.5655 = 0.0165
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0165 / 0.0083000000000002 = 1.988
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4434.6221 | 100 | 967.8355 | 44.35 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0083000000000002 = 963.86
Taille de position USD = 963.86 x 4.582 = 4416.41
Donc, tu peux acheter 963.86 avec un stoploss a 4.5903
Avec un position size USD de 4416.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 963.86 x 0.0083000000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 963.86 x 0.0165 = 15.9
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.9$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.97 $ | 0.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1091 % | 60.24 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.5654
[stop_loss] => 4.5903
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 19:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.56125
[stop_loss] => 4.5903
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.5571
[stop_loss] => 4.5903
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.55295
[stop_loss] => 4.5903
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.5488
[stop_loss] => 4.5903
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.54465
[stop_loss] => 4.5903
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.5405
[stop_loss] => 4.5903
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.53635
[stop_loss] => 4.5903
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.5322
[stop_loss] => 4.5903
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.52805
[stop_loss] => 4.5903
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.5239
[stop_loss] => 4.5903
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-29 20:10:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.161
[max_drawdown] => 0.012
[rr_ratio] => 13.42
[high] => 4.59400000
[low] => 4.42100000
[mfe_pct] => 3.51
[mae_pct] => 0.26
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 13.42
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-29T19:05:47-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-29T21:05:47-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.161
[max_drawdown] => 0.012
[rr_ratio] => 13.42
[high] => 4.59400000
[low] => 4.42100000
[mfe_pct] => 3.51
[mae_pct] => 0.26
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 13.42
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-29T19:05:47-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-30T02:05:47-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 4.58200000
[high_after] => 4.59400000
[low_before] => 4.54300000
[low_after] => 4.42100000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)